Welcome to DU! The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards. Join the community: Create a free account Support DU (and get rid of ads!): Become a Star Member Latest Breaking News General Discussion The DU Lounge All Forums Issue Forums Culture Forums Alliance Forums Region Forums Support Forums Help & Search
Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

mtnsnake

(22,236 posts)
Thu May 2, 2019, 09:13 AM May 2019

I think Biden or Sanders are both great, but neither one will be the last one standing,

IMO, because by the end of the day, and after the debates get started, the voters will be thirsting for a fresh face to lead them to victory in 2020.

Bernie Sanders is one of my favorite progressive voices ever, but his journey is getting a little old and is losing some of its magic. He isn't going to be nearly as effective as that fresh new voice anymore.

Joe Biden has the experience and the charm. At the same token, I think much of his high polling has been due the fact that he was unnannounced for so long. That and the obvious name recognition and his close association with someone who goes by the name of Barack Obama have given him the initial boost in the polls that isn't going to last. Had Joe announced right from the start, I believe he'd only be polling in the middle of the pack by now.

Unless someone new jumps in like Adam Schiff or Andrew Gillum, I predict that the winner will be either Kamala Harris or Beto O'Rourke, not just because of their intensity and their views on the issues, but because of their charisma as a campaigner, which is going to grab voters by the heart once the debates begin. Two other candidates who I think could rise dramatically in the polls, once we get to hear more of them, are Cory Booker and Eric Swalwell.

Despite the fact that my opinion is nothing more than an opinion, I am sure of one thing: I am absolutely confident that, with only a handful of exceptions (such as Kirsten Gillibrand for starters), almost every one of our other candidates can beat Trump despite what any polls might ever say about it. Bottom line, we are going to have a Democratic president in 2020....that is, as long as we don't somehow snatch defeat out of the jaws of victory, as they say.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
7 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
Highlight: NoneDon't highlight anything 5 newestHighlight 5 most recent replies
I think Biden or Sanders are both great, but neither one will be the last one standing, (Original Post) mtnsnake May 2019 OP
In political timelines, the nominating conventions are a long way away. Who knows what will happen. hlthe2b May 2019 #1
I just wanna beat Chump DemocratSinceBirth May 2019 #2
Don't we all... There will be a lot of bumps and crashes among the candidates... hlthe2b May 2019 #3
Early favorites sometimes fizzle. Sometimes not. Kaleva May 2019 #4
I agree JI7 May 2019 #5
You could get some good gambling odds right now. Funtatlaguy May 2019 #6
It may end up that way but in the end it depends who MSM wants to run, they will be the yaesu May 2019 #7
 

hlthe2b

(102,058 posts)
1. In political timelines, the nominating conventions are a long way away. Who knows what will happen.
Thu May 2, 2019, 09:18 AM
May 2019

I think those monitoring every poll for "reveals" are going to be driving themselves crazy. They are volatile and pretty damned meaningless this far out.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

hlthe2b

(102,058 posts)
3. Don't we all... There will be a lot of bumps and crashes among the candidates...
Thu May 2, 2019, 09:26 AM
May 2019

Today's Beto might be tomorrows' Harris and in the end, it is possible that the DEM electorate will, instead seek what they perceive to be the safest choice--whoever that might be.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Kaleva

(36,235 posts)
4. Early favorites sometimes fizzle. Sometimes not.
Thu May 2, 2019, 09:29 AM
May 2019
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

yaesu

(8,020 posts)
7. It may end up that way but in the end it depends who MSM wants to run, they will be the
Thu May 2, 2019, 09:55 AM
May 2019

deciding force as long as we have unfettered corporate controlled media & big money influencing our elections.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
Latest Discussions»Retired Forums»Democratic Primaries»I think Biden or Sanders ...