Biden Soars, Everyone Else Stalls

[SunSeeker]

The former vice president is capturing 40 percent of the national Democratic primary vote, stretching his lead over second-place Bernie Sanders to 21 points, according to Morning Consult's weekly tracking survey.

But the numbers in the earliest nominating states are even better news for Biden, who officially announced his campaign less than two weeks ago. Firehouse Strategies, a Republican strategy firm, found Biden holding double-digit leadsover his most high-profile rivals in the caucus state of Iowa and the primary states of New Hampshire and South Carolina.

Biden got even more good news from a pollster in Arizona on Tuesday that bolsters his most persuasive argument of electability. According to the Phoenix-based OH Predictive Insights, Biden is ahead of President Donald Trump in a hypothetical general election match-up in the Grand Canyon State.

Biden leads Trump 49 percent to 44 percent and was the only one of the six Democrats tested who came out on top of the president in traditionally red Arizona. The last Republican presidential nominee to lose Arizona in a general election was Bob Dole in 1996, when President Bill Clinton carried the state during his re-election.

https://www.usnews.com/news/the-run/articles/2019-05-07/joe-biden-soars-in-2020-polls-while-everyone-else-stalls

[Cha]

1. We all know it's early.. but

I also know that these months are going to go by very fast.

My main goal is to kick trump out of our WH like so many Peeps.. so ever since I chose Biden in solidarity I've been surprised and delighted to see how his national support has grown since his brilliant announcement vid 2 weeks ago(that went fast!)

Mahalo, SunSeeker!

[SunSeeker]

2. That's my main goal too. And Biden's AZ numbers indicate he's most likely to do that.

But you're right, it's early still.

[Cha]

3. Yeah, Arizona! That's

between Biden and the Psycho.. and Biden's ahead by 5 points.

Steady on, Biden!

[SunSeeker]

5. Leading by 5 points against Trump in AZ is a big fucking deal...

...as Biden would say.

[Cha]

7. It is a BFD..

kinda surreal.

[onetexan]

11. Lol well as long as he's ahead in the polls that orange Idiot

Will be relentless in his tweet attacks. Unfortunate for him everyone except his ardent followers believe it.

[Tarheel_Dem]

4. Ditto!

[Cha]

6. Wow, Tarheel!

Cool!

[murielm99]

8. I would be good with Biden

as our nominee.

Could he at least put Mayor Pete on the ticket as VP?

If Biden is the nominee, I can't wait to see Obama out campaigning with him.

[Cha]

9. I thought about that,

Muriel.

It wasn't too hard to go there.

[onetexan]

12. My preference would be Beto or Kamala but Buttigieg is fine

It would be history making for sure.

[ProudMNDemocrat]

10. We NEED more good Democrats running for the US Senate so we can retire McTurtle.

That Joe will support.

Yo ho! I'm with Joe!

[oasis]

13. Joe will rescue democracy and restore sanity to America.

[Snoopy 7]

14. wake up people

Why do we go through these mental exercises when you need to wake up and realize it's the media that makes you decide. Right now the media owners, the one percent, want Biden because he is one of them... As long as they keep mentioning his name and airing how he's leading(?) and if you don't believe that look at the current "president". He was made through Russian interference but most importantly thousands of hours of media manipulation.

[Cha]

15. When are you gonna to quit

blaming this on the media?

In this case the polls back up what the media is saying about Joe Biden being ahead now.

We're awake.. thank you very much.

[NYMinute]

16. Biden's popularity existed

before he announced.

The way he announced convinced many of his bona fides in taking on Trump forcefully.

People inherently and viscerally trust Biden and the media didn't make them do that.

[Cha]

17. That it did, NYMinute.. might have

had something to do with Biden being a well known VP for 8 years and making a lot of friends, evidently.

Thank you!

[Laelth]

19. Perhaps, but most of us don't care. You know how it goes.

If a yellow dog could beat Trump, I'd vote for the yellow dog.

-Laelth

[Demsrule86]

24. They hated Biden and predicted his failure. He surprised everyone. They all

Trashed him,

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

26. The People are smarter than the media think... it'll all turn out fine.

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[John Fante]

27. The "he/she is a corporatist" speil isnt going to work this time.

Sorry.

[Laelth]

18. That's a well-written article. k&r n/t

-Laelth

[Cha]

20. K!

[LibFarmer]

21. If Mark Kelly is running for the senate

he will elevate Biden to take Arizona. (Reverse coattails)

Mark Kelly is extremely popular and will get most of the sane independents plus the Democrats.

[Cha]

22. I so hope Mark Kelly wins Arizona!

[Gothmog]

23. Washington Post-Opinion: Voters aren't playing along with the media narrative

Link to tweet

The latest Hill-HarrisX poll shows former vice president Joe Biden opening up a 32-point lead over Sanders, whose claim to the party’s heart is evaporating before our eyes. The latest Morning Consult poll shows Biden expanding his share to 40 percent (up 4 points from the previous week) and Sanders tumbling to 19 percent (down from 27 percent in February). In other words, available evidence suggests that at present the predicted story lines aren’t emerging.....

The most reliable voters — African American women — have little affection for Sanders, nor have they automatically gravitated to African American candidates to the left of Biden. They know Biden, they like him and so far they are content to reward him with their support after his eight years of service in the Obama administration.

The lack of appeal among African American candidates is now a significant problem for Sanders and for other progressives such as Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg. (The latest Quinnipiac poll found, “Biden had the support of 42 percent of nonwhite respondents, more than 30 points ahead of his nearest rival, Warren. Sanders, who struggled with nonwhite voters during his 2016 campaign, had only 7 percent support.”)

In short, in going far to the left, Sanders and other candidates misfired not only with older, more moderate whites but also with the critical African American electorate. The media likewise has overestimated the influence of the far left and failed to appreciate the centrist bent of both white and African American voters.

[Cha]

25. Thank you!

[NBachers]

28. I see things moving more in the direction of Biden / Harris.

[StevieM]

29. I wonder if we will hear that it is a coronation, that he is entitled, and he'll be called King Joe.

Oh wait...he is a man. None of those things will happen.

Nor should they.

[SunSeeker]

30. Agree. Shouldn't happen to any Dem. nt