**BREAKING A + RATED MONMOUTH NEW HAMPSHIRE POLL**: Biden 36% Sander 18% Mayor Pete 9%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Link to tweet

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/monmouthpoll_nh_050919/


WOW!

[Kahuna7]

1. Oh boy. The long knives are going to be out now.

[MineralMan]

8. They already are out. Folks are digging for dirt on the leading candidate.

Some are posting it here.

[Kahuna7]

17. I've seen it. It appears the poll respondents are like....

'talk to the hand, because the face don't want to hear it.'

[Cha]

45. Talk to the hand!

[DownriverDem]

2. Folks need to wake up

The country is not far left. It's Center left. That is what the polls are showing us. I would love to see a Biden/Harris ticket. She would be the first woman VP and aligned to be President too.

[Kahuna7]

3. For those who wanted things in America to get so bad

we'd turn to them for salvation...It does't seem to be working out that way.

[comradebillyboy]

31. Those folks couldn't deliver a pizza much less salvation.

Want a savior, go to church.

[LibFarmer]

34. You mean

their leader is not a messiah? Shocking

[Funtatlaguy]

4. Do Biden and Harris have a good relationship?

I know there’s that one picture of them together, but I’ve never heard either one talk about the other.
Hope they are on the same debate stage together. Would be interesting to gauge their chemistry.

[Kahuna7]

11. Harris recently remarked..."I'm crazy about Joe."

Smart lady.

[MineralMan]

13. She is, indeed, a smart woman.

[Kahuna7]

6. Get a load of this tidbit...

<< One-third of voters say that finding a candidate who will carry on former President Barack Obama’s legacy is very important to them and there is little difference in levels of candidate support by the importance voters place on Obama’s legacy. On the other hand, two-thirds of primary voters point to finding a nominee who can beat President Donald Trump as more important to them than agreement on the issues.>>

[MineralMan]

12. That's really interesting, I think.

People seem to have their priorities pretty straight there in New Hampshire.

[Kahuna7]

19. Yeah! I'm impressed. Aside from getting rid of Trump

it appears that healthcare is the top issue. I guess it isn't lost on the respondents who was part of the administration that enacted the ACA.

[SunSeeker]

15. I agree with those polled. My #1 priority is to beat Trump. nt

[Cha]

46. Yep.. I'm with the 2/3rds!

[pnwmom]

9. Amy Klobuchar is from the midwest and she's center left. nt

[MineralMan]

20. Yes, she is.

She's not getting the traction she might, though. She's come up a little in the polling, but not enough. She's one of my Senators, and I like her a lot. I don't see her as someone who could win next November, though.

Some would categorize a little more to the center than center left, though.

[pnwmom]

22. We haven't even started the primaries yet. Obama was nowhere at this point in

his first campaign.

[MineralMan]

24. Yeah, OK. Whatever you say.

There are lots of shiny candidates out there. Lots of distractions. Amy isn't quite as shiny or sparkly, though.

[qazplm135]

33. well no he wasn't nowhere

he was well behind Clinton but so was everyone else. He was solidly second in every poll around this time in 2007.

Edwards was usually third although a couple of polls had Gore third.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling_for_the_2008_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries

[hedda_foil]

39. That list starts in late May of 2008. We're at the equivalent of April 2007.

[qazplm135]

40. no, it doesn't...but here let me llink some numbers for you then...

CNN/Opinion Research Poll May 4–6, 2007 Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 24%, Al Gore 12%, John Edwards 12%, Bill Richardson 5%, Joe Biden 2%, Chris Dodd 2%, Dennis Kucinich 1%

USA Today/Gallup Poll (with Gore) May 4–6, 2007 Hillary Clinton 38%, Barack Obama 23%, Al Gore 14%, John Edwards 12%, Bill Richardson 2%, Joe Biden 2%, Wesley Clark 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Al Sharpton 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Someone else 1%, None (vol.) 1%, Unsure 4%

USA Today/Gallup Poll (without Gore) May 4–6, 2007 Hillary Clinton 45%, Barack Obama 27%, John Edwards 14%, Bill Richardson 3%, Joe Biden 2%, Wesley Clark 1%, Dennis Kucinich 1%, Al Sharpton 0%, Mike Gravel 0%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Someone else 1%, Unsure/None 5%

The latest poll to NOT have Obama in second place was in Nov of 2006, and even then he was statistically tied for second with Edwards and Gore.

WNBC/Marist Poll Nov 27 – Dec 3, 2006 Hillary Clinton 33%, John Edwards 14%, Al Gore 13%, Barack Obama 12%, John Kerry 5%, Joe Biden 3%, Evan Bayh 1%, Wesley Clark 1%, Bill Richardson 1%, Tom Vilsack 1%, Christopher Dodd 0%, Al Sharpton 0%

[hedda_foil]

42. Thanks!

[RVN VET71]

32. Biden/Harris sounds like a winner.

It is going to be interesting to see how Biden negotiates the rough waters stirred up by the sick-minded right wing in the coming months. (And by "right wing" I mean Trump, the entire GOP, and all the little peons who insist on voting against their own best interests.) They're already attacking Biden's son -- you know, because Ukraine collusion. But they're going to get some woman or women to come forward with lying allegations against Joe concerning sexual assault, sexual groping, sexual-something. All of it will be proven to be lies but the media will gobble it up, anyway.

And Harris! Harris is of Jamaican descent so, therefore, ipso facto, she must be a heavy user of marijuana. Media will find dozens, maybe thousands!, of people who personally smoked with her while she gyrated to reggae music which you can see and hear, in this smokey, poorly lit video.

I do believe -- steeped though I am in cynicism -- that the American people will see through the garbage the Republican Party might throw at a Biden/Harris ticket. But it will be ugly and nasty enough to put a real strain on 2 excellent people.

(I do like Mayor Pete, but it really looks like it will be Biden/Harris for the win.)

(But, as so many here have said before, I will vote for any Democrat who wins the nomination. For some, I may have to hold my nose, but I'm voting straight Democratic until we flush all the crap out of Washington -- and by crap, yes, I mean Republicans, all of them, each and every one of them.)

[LibFarmer]

38. Most of the attacks against Biden

are coming from the far left at this point. They frequently quote articles by David Sirota's biddies at the Greenwald rag.

[RVN VET71]

47. I think anyone who sincerely wants Trump out

but still stirs up crap about Democratic candidates for the sake of scoring "scoop" points is a fool. Period.

If a reporter knows and has proof of criminal behavior of a candidate, sure, let us know so we don't give that person the nomination. But hazy and dubious allegations should be tossed in the waste basket for now.

We are at war with a neo-fascist movement and have to defeat said movement or be consumed by it.

[Skya Rhen]

48. I agree - news outlets like CNN and MSNBC should refuse to cover any manufactured propoganda

from the Trump team. if they have hard evidence of anything, of course, report it. But they should not be complicit in spreading unfounded accusations.

Leave stuff like that to Fox News...

[MineralMan]

5. Why are all those other candidates stealing Bernie's votes?

That's the real question, isn't it?

[crazytown]

18. Sanders is up 2% from Monmouths April poll.

Bit 16% or 18% it is a terrible result for his backyard.

[BannonsLiver]

7. Bernie's really tanking.

[crazytown]

14. Sanders is up 2% from April

Biden +13% is crowding out the ‘minor’ candidates.

[qazplm135]

35. I wouldn't call it tanking

I would call it capping.

All the folks who didn't like Hillary last time have another place to go this time besides just Bernie.

Bernie's vote in 2016 was always two parts, folks who wanted a far left candidate, and folks who really didn't want Hillary as the nominee.

The former group I suspect hasn't gone anywhere...the latter group has a half dozen other candidates to choose from and I suspect he's lost a good chunk of them to the size of the field.

[crazytown]

10. cf April : Buttigrieg -2, Warren +1, Sanders +2, Biden +13

The field is narrowing.

[Funtatlaguy]

16. I don't understand Warrens weak numbers in next door NHampshire.

[crazytown]

21. Othe NH polls have shown her passing Pete with up to 12%

Compared with Monmouth’s April survey, Warren is up 1, from 7% to 8%

[MineralMan]

23. Warren's having trouble gaining traction.

Her support will be coming from the Sanders camp and those on the left. Problem is that Sanders still has a lot of people's loyalty, and those who are ready to switch have a lot of candidates to look at. I don't think Warren is going to pick up steam quickly enough to have much of a chance.

[crazytown]

25. cf Warren makes headway in three new polls

The Hill, April 30
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign-polls/441401-warren-makes-headways-in-three-new-polls

Quinnipiac Apri 26 - 29

Biden 36%
Warren 12%
Sanders 11%
Buttigieg 20%

[MineralMan]

26. OK. Still, Biden seems to be making the most headway...

The others seem to be divvying up the rest of the vote, one way or another. There's a big difference from nationwide polling to polling in a specific early primary state, too. We'll all keep watching.

[crazytown]

27. Biden is killing it.

There are other polls showing him closing in on 50% As time goes by, his polls are looking less like a bump, and more like a wave.

As long as people don’t accuse me of preferring a candidate who is certain to lose the GE, I am happy enough with his success. It is spectacular.

NH is probably his weakest state.

[qazplm135]

36. Warren and Sanders have the same pool

so they are splitting up that pool. If one of them dropped out, the other would instantly shoot up to be the main challenger at this time to Biden.

[deurbano]

41. I think if Sanders dropped out, most of those voters would likely go to Warren...

but I think Harris could pick up many of Warren's voters. Maybe my sampling is unrepresentative, but the Warren supporters I know (and I would be very happy with Warren, myself), are not Sanders' fans.

[peggysue2]

28. So far, Joe Biden's numbers are holding and the . . .

electability factor (unpopular as it may be) is strongly tilted in Joe's direction. I think we need to give our electorate credit: they too know that dumping Trump and his cohorts is the prime motivator for 2020 because the critical issues--healthcare, climate change and the environment--all depend on a 2020 victory.

Interesting, too: second choices, Elizabeth Warren and Kamala Harris.

Preferences are beginning to gel.

[calguy]

29. Unless Joe does something to really mess things up...

The candidates will be classified in only two tier levels:
First Teir = Joe Biden
Second Teir = Everybody Else

[ucrdem]

30. Yes the veepstakes are where the action is

Of course things could change dramatically again but I'm fairly confident that they won't.

[delisen]

37. Biden 53% of 65+ 36% of 50-64; Sanders gets under 50s

in Monmouth Poll 9 months before Feb 2020 primary

New Hampshire pop: 1,316,000. 93% White; 2% Hispanic/Latinx; 2% Asian; 1% Black 1%

from Monmouth Poll:
Biden voters 53% are 65+ ; Sanders + other candidates get the under 50 voters

Biden does especially well among voters aged 65 and older, garnering 53% support with this group compared to only 9% for Sanders. The former vice president also bests Sanders by 36% to 19% among those aged 50 to 64, but he trails the Vermont senator by 20% to 27% among voters under the age of 50. Biden tops Sanders by 45% to 10% among self-described moderates and conservatives, but he lags by 23% to 29% among liberals. A majority of likely Democratic primary voters (58%) describe themselves as moderates or conservatives in New Hampshire, a state that allows unaffiliated voters to participate in either party’s primary.

[WeekiWater]

43. Solid news for Biden.

His strongest blocks are those who vote at the highest percentage.

[rogue emissary]

44. Funny thing, the last two Democratic presidents lost their 1st primaries

In New Hampshire.

The state is notorious for getting it wrong or picking the eventually Democratic loser in the general.

Addendum

Have to go back to my birth year when Jimmy Carter ran and won New Hampshire on his way to victory in november.