**BREAKING FLORIDA POLL**: Smoking Joe Biden 39% Sander 16% Warren 5%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

Biden
39%
Sanders
16%
Warren
5%
Harris
5%
Buttigieg
3%
O'Rourke
1%
Booker
1%
Klobuchar
1%


https://www.politico.com/f/?id=0000016a-a480-dbd0-ad7e-e6ef4b840001

[NYMinute]

1. K&R nt

[LakeArenal]

2. Soon-to be Smocking Joe!!

Yay. Joe Biden 2020.

[Honeycombe8]

3. Biden/Warren? Biden/Harris?

Biden is so far ahead. I don't recall a time when someone was that far ahead in the primary this early and didn't go on to win it.

What's interesting is the 2nd and 3rd slot. Sanders won't be VP, but looks like Warren and Harris could be possibilities.

Although I'm not leaning to supporting Biden, if he gets the nomination I'll vote for him, and I would be happy with either Warren or Harris being on the ticket. But strategy-wise, I don't think either of them offer what he needs in a VP. Buttigieg may (midwest, and a minority, if you count being gay). Indiana is a Republican stronghold, so I wonder if Buttigieg being on the ticket would help with that. O'Rourke helps because of Texas, but another white male probably is probably not a good idea.

Klobuchar? From MN. Female. Smart. I'd be happy to see her on the ticket, and she adds strength in a middle America area. But MN voted for Hillary, anyway, in 2016, so....

Stacey Abrams would add to the ticket. A minority and a woman (large Democratic demographic groups), and a southern state that narrowly voted for Trump. But people say she needs to run for the U S Senate, to help the party there. So I don't know.

A tough decision. Just thinking out loud.

[Funtatlaguy]

5. I can't imagine Warren on Bidens ticket.

She has too many philosophical differences with him.
But Harris or Klobuchar would work well with him.

[Kahuna7]

4. 58% of the respondents were interviewed on their cell phone.

[Honeycombe8]

6. Cell phone or landline...what's the difference?

I would think that cell phone reaches a younger audience. Other than that, I don't see the difference. Many people don't have landlines any more.

[Kahuna7]

7. I guess you don't get the inside joke. But that's on you.

I didn't need a lecture.

[Honeycombe8]

8. I was discussing, not lecturing.

If you were being sarcastic, that's what the "sarcasm" emoji is for.

[Kahuna7]

14. That's also what the rofl emoji is for.

[Honeycombe8]

16. Nope.

That's what a person making fun of using cell phones for the poll would do, even tho you say that wasn't your purpose for using it. So I accept what you say. But using the "sarcasm" emoji can't be used for either stance. Only for what you say your stance was.

Just sayin'. You are free to use whatever you want. But if you don't want your sarcasm misunderstood, it may be best to use the emoji intended for that.

Case in point: If that's what you meant, I misunderstood it. Whatever.

[Kahuna7]

17. The horse is dead. Do you not know when to

stop beating a dead horse?

[DemocracyMouse]

23. Kahuna, stop that nonsense. Please apologize to your sibling or no ice cream.

[Kahuna7]

24. He started it. Tell him...

why do I have to be the one to apologize. You gotta be kidding me.

[lapucelle]

28. It was an "inside joke" as opposed to a funny joke

and emoji choice is fluid.

Whatever.

[LongtimeAZDem]

9. I don't get the joke either. Can you help me out?

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. Partisans of a certain candidate question the results of all the polls they find displeasing.

[LongtimeAZDem]

12. That was my initial thought, but it didn't seem to be applicable in this case

[Kahuna7]

13. Sigh. They have two prominent attacks....

1. One of the first questions they ask is: Was this landlines only? Implying that only senior citizens were polled.

2. The age groupings or lack thereof. This is a dubious objection when out of a half dozen recent polls only one didn't report results of under 50 respondents.

[LongtimeAZDem]

15. No, I got that, but you support Biden, and I didn't see anyone else attacking the results

So, I had a confused.

I get it now, but it wasn't obvious to me at the start, Sorry to step on the joke.

[Kahuna7]

18. LOL! Case in point and see the landlines vs cellphones critiques...

Link to tweet

[lapucelle]

29. It was an "inside joke".

[Scurrilous]

11. K&R

[Nanjeanne]

19. The problem I have with most of these polls is how far weighted they are in the over 55 range.

Perhaps it's because younger people simply don't answer phone calls without knowing who is calling and are less likely to respond to polls. But it's a huge factor in actually understanding the breakdown of the polls.

In this case, 65% of respondents were over 55. And 60% were white.

Whether it's Biden in big numbers in these polls - or if it were someone else - I just don't think we can read much into them . . . especially this early in the game. I'm pretty sure if the demographics were 65% under 55 - and/or 60% nonwhite - the results would be different. But since we don't see polls like that - we have no way of knowing.

It will be much more telling after initial primary results are in.

[Still In Wisconsin]

20. Aaaaaand there it is... any poll not favorable to Bernie must be a poll of senior citizens.

Sigh...

[Nanjeanne]

21. Why would you say that? This is so silly. I simply discussed the demographics of any poll. Biden o

Sanders or Harris or Buttegieg.

It's really so sad that no discussion of any kind is possible when defensive people take everything as an attack. How do you know Biden isn't my 2nd or 3rd choice? Why do you need to misconstrue in support of your candidate?

Is it any wonder that many people won't even bother posting in this forum? What a pity . . .

[pnwmom]

22. This is why they weight the polls by demographics. n/t

[lunamagica]

25. How do you know that younger people don't answer calls without knowing who is calling

and that they are less likely to answer polls? Those are big assumptions on your part

[Nanjeanne]

31. What are you talking about? I didn't say younger people don't answer calls. I said maybe that

is why more than 60% of the respondents were over 55. I gave the pollster the benefit of the doubt and hoped they were calling many younger people but they weren't answering the phone. The demographics of the respondents gave facts.

You either misunderstood the post or you truly just want to be offensive. I made no assumptions. Read the post.

[lunamagica]

33. You wrote "erhaps it's because younger people simply don't answer phone calls without knowing who is

calling and are less likely to respond to polls"

I replies to exactly what you posted. It couldn't be more clear

[Nanjeanne]

34. Sorry. If I said perhaps with the p you would have better understood I was saying that I don't

Know the reason the poll is so heavily weighted to older people. I was trying to come up with a possible explanation for such an older skewered sampling. It wasn’t an assumption and certainly not one to have elicited such a strange and off putting response from you.

[Tarheel_Dem]

36. Could it be that pollsters know that "older people" reliably vote in every election?

[Nanjeanne]

37. That may be it. I'd love to know voting age percentages in Fl to better understand it.

[Hav]

27. Even though these numbers may sound extreme,

I think the question is whether these numbers are representative of the expected voters for the Democratic primary in Florida. And from what I read in other tweets, it seems that at least concerning the age, these numbers aren't that far off.

[Nanjeanne]

32. That's very possible. It would be sad but could very well be true about the age of voters in FL.

[Baclava]

26. 'Biden wins endorsement of Florida Democrats in early show of force'

TALLAHASSEE — In an early show of force, more than a third of Florida’s Democratic state legislators endorsed former Vice President Joe Biden in his bid for president.

https://www.politico.com/states/florida/story/2019/05/02/biden-wins-endorsement-of-florida-democrats-in-early-show-of-force-1005334



I approve

[SKKY]

30. I still think all of these polls are useless until we get to the debate...

...this are kinda like the NCAA College Basketball poll between November and February. I'll pay attention after the first debate.

[R B Garr]

35. K&R! Great polls.

Go Joe!