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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Iamaartist

(3,300 posts)
Fri May 17, 2019, 11:18 AM May 2019

Biden leads Dems by 18 points, followed by Sanders and Warren 😎

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/poll-biden-leads-dems-by-18-points-followed-by-sanders-and-warren/ar-AABvaqU

Former Vice President Joe Biden maintains a comfortable lead over the other candidates in the Democratic Party's 2020 primary field, according to a new poll.

A Fox News poll released Thursday found that Biden enjoys an 18-point lead over his closest challenger, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) sitting in third place.

Biden was supported by 35 percent of likely Democratic primary voters in the poll, up from 31 percent in March, while Sanders sat at 17 percent, a slight dip from March when he registered support from 23 percent of voters






Go Joe....Your the one.....
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
19 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Biden leads Dems by 18 points, followed by Sanders and Warren 😎 (Original Post) Iamaartist May 2019 OP
Fux news even!!! LakeArenal May 2019 #1
Wow even Fox... Iamaartist May 2019 #3
Hillary led Obama by 19 points in 2007 Bradshaw3 May 2019 #2
well...she came awfully close qazplm135 May 2019 #5
Who ever won at that time I would have voted for either.... Iamaartist May 2019 #6
Sanders is far better known now than Obama was then DavidDvorkin May 2019 #7
Agree.... Iamaartist May 2019 #9
Point stands Bradshaw3 May 2019 #11
No, the point doesn't stand DavidDvorkin May 2019 #13
Polls this far out are meaningless Bradshaw3 May 2019 #14
There weren't two dozen Dems in the race. TwilightZone May 2019 #18
No, many of those races had almost as many candidates Bradshaw3 May 2019 #19
K&R stonecutter357 May 2019 #4
K&R 😎🎨 Iamaartist May 2019 #8
K&R Scurrilous May 2019 #10
K&R Iamaartist May 2019 #12
K and r. Tipperary May 2019 #15
That's a fact jack musicman65 May 2019 #16
Go Joe! Turin_C3PO May 2019 #17
 

LakeArenal

(28,817 posts)
1. Fux news even!!!
Fri May 17, 2019, 11:21 AM
May 2019

Wow!!

Love Joe.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Iamaartist

(3,300 posts)
3. Wow even Fox...
Fri May 17, 2019, 11:32 AM
May 2019

I love Joe to the only one I would feel safe with in the White House....🏛

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Bradshaw3

(7,513 posts)
2. Hillary led Obama by 19 points in 2007
Fri May 17, 2019, 11:30 AM
May 2019

Was she the one in 2008?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

qazplm135

(7,447 posts)
5. well...she came awfully close
Fri May 17, 2019, 11:34 AM
May 2019

her support didn't collapse so far that she didn't come in a very close second.

I suspect Biden will come back to the field a bit, but the odds are that he will be in the top two at the end are pretty strong.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Iamaartist

(3,300 posts)
6. Who ever won at that time I would have voted for either....
Fri May 17, 2019, 11:35 AM
May 2019

I voted for Hillary and Obama in the general elections...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

DavidDvorkin

(19,473 posts)
7. Sanders is far better known now than Obama was then
Fri May 17, 2019, 11:36 AM
May 2019

Sanders is also widely disliked.

He's not going to rise.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Iamaartist

(3,300 posts)
9. Agree....
Fri May 17, 2019, 11:44 AM
May 2019

My opinion he doesn't have the experience enough ….right now we need someone has been there and knows how to take over ..with no job training. Trump has to go....

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Bradshaw3

(7,513 posts)
11. Point stands
Fri May 17, 2019, 02:13 PM
May 2019

I never said Sanders would be in the final group. Don.t think he will be. Others will pass him, just as Obama did. Polls now don't mean much.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

DavidDvorkin

(19,473 posts)
13. No, the point doesn't stand
Fri May 17, 2019, 02:25 PM
May 2019

The comparison is meaningless.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Bradshaw3

(7,513 posts)
14. Polls this far out are meaningless
Fri May 17, 2019, 02:29 PM
May 2019

I'll make it simple: polls this far out are meaningless. That's the point. The 2007 polls, as well as many in the past, prove that, whether people like it or not.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

TwilightZone

(25,464 posts)
18. There weren't two dozen Dems in the race.
Fri May 17, 2019, 09:59 PM
May 2019

19 points ahead of one person is one thing; a similar lead over a field of 22+ is quite another.

Comparisons with prior cycles don't really tell us anything of substance. This one is pretty much unprecedented.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Bradshaw3

(7,513 posts)
19. No, many of those races had almost as many candidates
Sat May 18, 2019, 04:09 PM
May 2019

Bill Clinton was in the bottom tier of almost 20 candidates in the 1991 polls. The year Jimmy Carter won there were 18 candidates and Dukakis won with a field of 17 candidates. So, no having this many candidates doesn't change the fact that non-incumbents leading the early polls in the Democratic presdiential race haven't won since John Kennedy, who was actually just tied with Stevenson in the early polls. They are 0 for 5.

I'm not sure why people are so reluctant to know this. It's just historical fact and should tell us that while polls may be play a role in positioning early, they are worthless as a predictor for the eventual nominee - unless you want to know who likley won't be the nominee. Added a link:
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-more-than-40-years-of-early-primary-polls-tell-us-about-2020-part-1/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Tipperary

(6,930 posts)
15. K and r.
Fri May 17, 2019, 02:58 PM
May 2019

Very difficult to make choices this time!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

musicman65

(524 posts)
16. That's a fact jack
Fri May 17, 2019, 09:10 PM
May 2019

get used to it

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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