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Democratic Primaries

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts) Tue May 28, 2019, 11:05 PM May 2019

8

BRAND NEW B- RATED MORNING CONSULT EARLY PRIMARY POLL Big Joe 42% Sanders 20% Pete 7%

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

9 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

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***BRAND NEW B- RATED MORNING CONSULT EARLY PRIMARY POLL*** Big Joe 42% Sanders 20% Pete 7% (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth May 2019 OP

Can't wait to see what the polls are Cha May 2019 #1

The 1% Or Less Club Indykatie May 2019 #2

I'm also surprised Klobuchar hasn't gotten at least a little bit of traction. Still In Wisconsin May 2019 #7

Is this another online panel poll? I don't give them very much weight. nt pnwmom May 2019 #3

Nate The Great gives them a B DemocratSinceBirth May 2019 #4

B minus. With 63% of races called correctly. pnwmom May 2019 #5

Average error of 2.5 points DemocratSinceBirth May 2019 #6

What do polls mean before a single debate has occurred? pnwmom May 2019 #9

Post removed Post removed May 2019 #8

Cha

(297,158 posts)

1. Can't wait to see what the polls are

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Tue May 28, 2019, 11:11 PM

May 2019

like after his AFT townhall!

Link to tweet

Link to tweet

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Indykatie

(3,696 posts)

2. The 1% Or Less Club

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Tue May 28, 2019, 11:18 PM

May 2019

There are many candidates polling 1% or less at this early point in the race. Most of them will still be polling 1% or less after the debates even if they manage to get a debate spot. I'm surprised that Julian Castro isn't polling higher. He's a good guy. I admit I'm happy to see Gillibrand, Tulsi and Moulton polling so poorly.

Michael Bennet U.S. Senator
1%

Julian Castro Former Secretary, HUD
1%

John Delaney Former U.S. Representative
1%

Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senator
1%

John Hickenlooper Former Governor
1%

Amy Klobuchar U.S. Senator
1%

Andrew Yang Business Person
1%

Marianne Williamson Activist & Author
1%

Steve Bullock Governor
1%

Tim Ryan U.S. Representative
1%

Tulsi Gabbard U.S. Representative
1%
19

Bill de Blasio Mayor
0%

Jay Inslee Governor
0%

Seth Moulton U.S. Representative
0%

Eric Swalwell U.S. Representative
0%

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Still In Wisconsin

(4,450 posts)

7. I'm also surprised Klobuchar hasn't gotten at least a little bit of traction.

Reply to Indykatie (Reply #2)

Tue May 28, 2019, 11:34 PM

May 2019

I like her and think she'd be good.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)

3. Is this another online panel poll? I don't give them very much weight. nt

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

Tue May 28, 2019, 11:21 PM

May 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

4. Nate The Great gives them a B

Reply to pnwmom (Reply #3)

Tue May 28, 2019, 11:24 PM

May 2019

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)

5. B minus. With 63% of races called correctly.

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #4)

Tue May 28, 2019, 11:27 PM

May 2019

Better than chance, but not all that much better.

By contrast, they give an A to SurveyUSA, with 90% of races called correctly.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)

6. Average error of 2.5 points

Reply to pnwmom (Reply #5)

Tue May 28, 2019, 11:32 PM

May 2019

If my quick math is correct Big Joe can be leading Bernie by as much as 28 or as low as 16. You can do it for the others.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)

9. What do polls mean before a single debate has occurred?

Reply to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #6)

Tue May 28, 2019, 11:42 PM

May 2019

They're all about name recognition at this point. So Joe and Bernie, because Joe was VP and Bernie was #2 in the last primary.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Original post)

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