Bolstered by a strong debate Kamala Harris catapults to 2nd place in Iowa as Joe and Bernie falter

[DemocratSinceBirth]

New Suffolk/USA Today IOWA poll: Biden 24%, Harris 16%, Warren 13%, Sanders 9%

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2019/07/02/iowa-kamala-harris-surges-and-joe-biden-bernie-sanders-suffer/1626346001/

[katmondoo]

1. It is not going to last, some stuff is already coming out that could hurt her in the polls

[Politicub]

7. Maybe it will. Or maybe it will help her.

All of the well-run campaigns have staff pollsters or work with polling firms. Warren, Harris, etc. are building coalitions of voters -- not trying to appeal to everyone -- to win in the primaries. It is impossible to appeal to everyone, so there's no use bothering. In a primary, you need to convince enough people -- not all people.

Whoever is the nominee will need the Obama coalition plus others. And, spoiler alert, the coalition will not gel around a candidate just because he was Obama's VP.

The coalition that Biden is trying to build is different. I can't imagine Obama going after NRA members, for example.

[Iliyah]

2. I'll say more so for Bernie.

Nothing wrong with an legitimate contest.

[bluewater]

3. Iowa and New Hampshire are the launch pads

Failure to meet expectations there is a body blow to a campaign.

If Biden does not win Iowa, he's done.

Anyone else who wins Iowa will be skyrocketed upwards.

[ucrdem]

4. Iowa is going to love her busing plan.

[treestar]

5. I just realized she can't win

the nomination. We'll lose all 50 states. This busing stuff is stupid beyond belief. They won't bother to use it against Biden. But they will use it against her. They will be playing her statement to Biden on Fox daily if she is the nominee. She will have to backtrack it. We will be trying to defend it. What a huge mistake. UUUUGGGGGGEEEEE. There was no reason to bring this up. It has no benefit other than temporarily feeling like a better person than Biden. Every swing state voter will be Busing?

[ucrdem]

6. Insanity.

And good luck walking this one back.

[Kahuna7]

10. And slavery reparations...and eliminating private health insurers..

The problem with Democrats is that they believe the polls saying trump will lose to any Democrat. Nope. If Dems come across as too extreme, voters will vote for the 'devil they know,' or stay home. The wrong Dem would not only cost us the white house but also down ballet votes.

[DesertRat]

13. I never watch Morning Joe because it's on from 3-6 am here in the west

Much too early for us and I have no desire to record and watch it later. Welcome to DU!

[Watchfoxheadexplodes]

9. She may have had her "Dukakis" moment

With the busing flub

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. Don't forget to vote

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287185739

[DesertRat]

12. We still have a long way to go

The new standings are hardly set in stone. Six of 10 say they might change their mind before the caucuses; just one in four say their minds are firmly made up. The second set of debates, scheduled for the end of the month in Detroit, could upend the horserace again.

[Andy823]

14. That's true

and I am sure more attacks will come her way, but I honestly think she can handle whatever is thrown at her, and come out just fine. A lot of people didn't know her before the debates, now the do, and the poll numbers show they like her, and the more they get to know her, the more they will like her.

[Skya Rhen]

15. i have complete confidence that Joe will be the Democratic nominee.

When they show me polls of Kamala winning the primaries in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Texas, Nevada, Mississippi, Arkansas, Nebraska, Kentucky, Florida and other red states, then i will change my view. The delegate count is what matters...