New Iowa Poll: Warren Leads, Harris And Biden Close Behind, Sanders Falls To 4th

[PunkinPi]

Link to tweet

New Iowa poll from @IAStartingLine :

Warren 20
Harris 18
Biden 17
Sanders 12
Buttigieg 10
Klobuchar 4
Booker 2
ten candidates at https://iowastartingline.com/2019/07/03/new-iowa-poll-warren-leads-harris-and-biden-close-behind-sanders-falls-to-4th/

More at link above

[LovingA2andMI]

1. Keep It Going Liz

Doing the slow by STEADY WORK as it will pay off!!

[PunkinPi]

3. She is a harder worker and I'm happy that she's doing so well. nt

[LovingA2andMI]

8. Same with Kamala....

Hopefully, she will continue to do so.

[Demsrule86]

2. The poll is new but was sourced right after the debate...before the nature of the attacks on Biden

had been reported...more recent polls posted today do not show a 'shake up'... and I would point out the margin of error is +- four

"The poll was commissioned by the Focus On Rural America organization, which has been running quarterly polls on the Iowa Caucus this year. It surveyed 600 Iowans by cell phone and landline right after the debates, between June 29 and July 1, and has a margin of error of no greater than +/-4.0%."

Thus at best it is a statistical tie...and right after the debates not less! Thanks for posting this...I think Biden may very well win Iowa!

[marylandblue]

4. Warren has a huge staff in IA and Biden has spend less time there than other candidates.

I think this is less about the debates and more about Iowans loving attention. If I were advising Biden, I'd tell him he needs to spend more time in IA.

[Demsrule86]

13. That would be my advice too...he missed something when his granddaughter graduated from college too.

[Skya Rhen]

6. I feel that Joe will win but it will be close, as it has been for months...

[Demsrule86]

11. If he ties in Iowa and wins super Tuesday, he will be our nominee...and I expect he will beging to

spend more time there...I hope it isn't close as it leads to division.

[Skya Rhen]

22. i am confident that he will win Super Tuesday and that he will be our nominee...

He will have insurmountable leads in swing and red states which will propel him to victory.

[ucrdem]

7. So basically they're polling debate performance ..

and if the survey mentions the debate even more so. Well, Harris had a good night, Biden had a bad one, or at least every pundit swears he did (that was not my impression by the way), so that's what these polls are going to show today. Next week, probably less, and so on.

[Demsrule86]

10. That is what they are polling and it is a statistical tie with a +- 4 margin of error...

Also, only 600 folks were called.

[Demsrule86]

12. I thought Biden did fine at the time...and most folks on the debate threads did too...it was

the media that attacked his performance.

[ucrdem]

15. It was sooo obvious they wanted one of them to tear his face off.

Rachel feeding Bernie a question about his Iraq AUMF vote when they were supposed to be going to a break was about as obvious as it gets. Fortunately Bernie chose not to make a spectacle of himself and gave a reasonable answer.

[Demsrule86]

18. I have not watched Rachel since...took MSNBC out of my DVR...I think their coverage has been

unfair. I will pick my own candidate thank you very much...do they want a horse race or a Trump win?

[ucrdem]

19. Sometimes I wonder

[Demsrule86]

21. Me too.

[Skya Rhen]

20. During the debate, I saw the comments, in real time on DU, and the consensus was that Joe was

doing great. (Personally, i felt the same way and still do).

Then Harris stepped in and the media cheered with glee - they were giddy and set the narrative since then...

[Kind of Blue]

5. Freaking Beautiful!

[NurseJackie]

9. Even with his "name recognition" it's clear that BS is being rejected...

Even with his "name recognition" it's clear that BS is being rejected. He's in a statistical (MOE) tie with newcomer Mayor Pete who doesn't have the same name recognition of BS.

Pete's done very well for himself. I'm very impressed with him and I think he's a likely contender for the VP slot. It's becoming increasingly apparent, however, that BS will not be our party's nominee and the eventual nominee will not select BS as the VP, because the best VP candidate will be one who can "take over" and continue on, and BS isn't likely to want to do that in eight years from now... but Pete or Harris would be well suited to do so.

[PunkinPi]

16. Sanders has much more competition this go around, so not surprised by his declining numbers.

I could definitely see Pete as VP this time around (especially if Harris or Warren are the nominee), he is quite impressive and has a bright future in the democratic party.

[jcgoldie]

14. Thanks for posting!

Notice some of the Biden folks getting nervous trying to explain away the obvious sea change in these post debate polls. Looks like we will have a good race may the best candidate win!

[PunkinPi]

17. You're welcome and we will have a good race. Go team blue!