**B+Rated Emerson Poll** Big Joe Loops Around The Field -Joe 30% Kamala 15% Elizabeth 15% Bernie 15%

[DemocratSinceBirth]

http://emersonpolling.com/2019/07/08/july-national-poll-biden-extends-lead-in-democratic-primary-trump-closes-the-gap-in-the-general-election/

[Thekaspervote]

1. Go Joe!

Voting dem for the nominee regardless

[Kahuna7]

2. ...

[Skya Rhen]

3. The bounce is gone. Yay, Joe!

[Vegas Roller]

4. K&R n/t

[liskddksil]

5. Don't count Beto out yet! nt

[JI7]

6. Swalwell gets 1 percent

[JI7]

7. why does Warren's 15 percent look smaller than the other two 15s ?

[TwilightZone]

9. Rounding.

They rounded to the nearest percent for the labels. If you look at the underlying numbers from the poll itself, she received fewer votes than the other two.

Bernie Sanders 74
Elizabeth Warren 70
Joe Biden 143
Pete Buttigieg 25
Kamala Harris 73


Link: http://emersonpolling.com/wp-content/uploads/sites/47/2019/07/julynationalresults.xlsx

[MineralMan]

8. Not really surprising, I think.

The folks who want someone other than Biden are averaging out their preferences over three candidates. So, the current race is for second place. All three show 15%, which is the threshold for getting any delegates in state primaries. The 15% rule is designed to limit the number of candidates who are considered at the convention.

I expect to see those 15% numbers doing the changing over the next few weeks, with Biden holding at about the same 30%. However, as other candidates opt to drop out for being nonviable, the distribution in the polls might chance in unexpected ways.

It looks to me like Biden has a solid base of Democrats who think he's the best choice. I think that 30% is probably his floor of support. What happens to that group of three will be worth watching, as will shifts from the rest of the field to other candidates, which is probably about to begin in earnest.

[Peacetrain]

10. Good numbers.. I am surprised to see Sen Sanders higher than

Sen Warren.. I think when he finally drops out.. . then you are going to see a horse race between VP Biden and Sen Warren.. if he does not drop out.. well all the better for VP Biden.. just my thoughts on it

[bluewater]

11. Biden's support falls from 34% to 30% in this poll, but his lead increases.

Emerson has been one of Joe Biden's strongest polls, having showed him consistently in the mid 30's% prior to this week's poll.

Biden went from 34% to 30%, but his lead increased because Sanders support fell more from 27% to 15%.

Harris's support increased 8%, from 7% to 15%.

Warren's support increased 1%, from 14% to 15%.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html


Disclaimer: This is a very early poll and the polls seem to be in flux. The results of any single poll should not be over emphasized this early.

[crazytown]

13. Beat me to it,

Sanders took a beating. Emerson is one of Joe's weakest polls relative to Sanders.

[Skya Rhen]

14. Biden's lead increased from 7 points to 15 points since June. That part was left out...

Snip...

Despite Biden losing 4 points of his support from 34% to 30%, he extended his lead in the Democratic primary from 7 points in June to 15 points,


http://emersonpolling.com/2019/07/08/july-national-poll-biden-extends-lead-in-democratic-primary-trump-closes-the-gap-in-the-general-election/

********************************************************************************************
This is the biggest lead that Biden has had in this poll, which solidifies his status as clear front-runner...

[crazytown]

15. Sanders support has collapsed.

Emerson was bernie's strongest poll.

[crazytown]

12. NB: Biden(-4) Sanders(-12) Harris(+8) Warren(+1) Buttigieg(-1) Beto(+3)

Harris' bump hurt Sanders the most; down from 27% to 15%.