Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumWhy Bernie Sanders thinks he can win California this time
Sen. Bernie Sanders isnt conceding California in the Democratic presidential primary race to home state Sen. Kamala Harris. Far from it. Top Sanders campaign officials say hes planning to have field offices and run commercials across the nations most populous state.
Were going to have a robust campaign in California. said Ben Tulchin, Sanders San Francisco-based pollster, adding that Bernie is extremely well-positioned in California. It will be a well-funded media and field campaign.
(snip)
Now, Sanders is topping most polls among the announced candidates as in, not including former Vice President Joe Biden or former Texas Rep. Beto ORourke. Roughly half his support comes from Latinos and African Americans, some surveys suggest. Sanders favorability rating among Latino voters is 59 percent, according to a recent poll higher than the rest of the announced field.
(snip)
Heres one sign that the Sanders campaign is far ahead of where it was the last time he ran for president. Then, pollster Tulchin wasnt hired until October 2015, just four months before the Iowa caucuses. Now, were nearly a year away from the first voting, and Tulchin is already on the payroll.
https://www.sfchronicle.com/politics/article/Why-Bernie-Sanders-thinks-he-can-win-California-13682842.php
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
sacto95834
(393 posts)is very expensive. Any serious candidate would be foolish not to have something in place in California. I understand why California moved up their primaries, but I still wish it was later in the season when the array of candidates thins out. Going late in the season was the "gold at the end of the rainbow" - assuming you could make it there.
I still think Kamala Harris will do very well in the California primary. It's been ages since California had a son/daughter in the race, so Kamala makes it more exciting.
Can you win the primary w/out California - yes, but you got to place well (close 2 or 3) and do well elsewhere. But pretty hard to not place well here and still win in today's political world. We have just too many delegates at stake.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
brush
(53,726 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
OhZone
(3,212 posts)I'm not into delusional politicians.
The GOP cornered that category.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Garrett78
(10,721 posts)If she were to, say, win 3 of the first 4 contests, I think she'd be on her way to a huge win in California and the nomination.
If she merely has a decent showing in the first 3 but wins South Carolina, California might be somewhat close.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
CrossingTheRubicon
(731 posts)People are turned off in a yuge way.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ZeroSomeBrains
(638 posts)I expect a tough fight with Senator Harris here. The antipathy towards Bernie is very prevalent here at DU but not so much from Democratic primary voters as a whole.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
jaceaf
(89 posts)He said the same thing last time and Hillary cleaned his clock with less candidates.
Kamala will take it.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
David__77
(23,311 posts)We shall see how the dynamics play out!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
madville
(7,403 posts)A 25-30% split between the three is completely plausible, and they all walk away from CA with a decent chunk of delegates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(144,884 posts)I see sanders being a distant fourth place finisher
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)I wonder when he's going to release his tax returns?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)... and I'll just leave it at that.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(144,884 posts)I do not believe that sanders can beat trump
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Gothmog
(144,884 posts)No one took sanders seriously and so he was not vetted. Vetting is important https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2019/01/28/why-bernie-sanders-has-an-uphill-climb-ahead/?utm_term=.1b4f90c2a717
Which is what we could say about the Sanders candidacy as a whole: Theres no way to know how its going to go. But hes got his work cut out for him.
See also https://www.cnn.com/2019/02/19/politics/bernie-sanders-2020-campaign-donald-trump/index.html?utm_source=twCNNp&utm_content=2019-02-20T14%3A52%3A07&utm_term=image&utm_medium=social%C2%A0
One of the secrets to Sanders' success in 2016 was that no one -- most especially Clinton -- thought he had any chance of going anywhere in the race. Clinton largely ignored him for the better part of 2015, allowing some problematic parts of Sanders' record for Democrats -- most notably his voting record on guns -- to go unnoticed. (When the race began to tighten, Clinton gently prodded Sanders on guns and health care.) Sanders, too, largely flew under the radar of investigative reporters for major news outlets who were busy looking into Clinton, Jeb Bush, Marco Rubio and others seen as more viable candidates. (That reality clearly benefited Donald Trump in the early days of the campaign, as well.)
Sanders will get no pass -- from either the media or his fellow candidates -- this time around. He is among the frontrunners -- and will be treated as such. His wife's time as president of Burlington College could well come up. And his opponents will do a deep dive into his nearly 30 years of votes as a member of the House and Senate. This is all very normal stuff in a campaign. But not for Sanders.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden