Cast-Your-Kernel results so far from the Iowa State Fair

[highplainsdem]

First, if you're not familiar with Cast Your Kernel, here's a tweet with a photo from CNN's DJ Judd:

Link to tweet

Results page:

https://whotv.com/2019/08/08/cast-your-kernel-results-4/


The current update there was at 2:17 pm today:


Biden 27%
Buttigieg 16%
Warren 15%
Harris 12%
Sanders 6%
Gabbard 4%
Klobuchar & Booker -- 3% each
Steyer, Yang, & O'Rourke -- 2% each
Bullock, Delaney, Castro, Williamson, Gillibrand, Inslee & Hickenlooper -- 1% each
All others 0%

[Cha]

1. Thank you for your post, highplainsdem!

No I was not familiar

[highplainsdem]

8. You're welcome, Cha!

[DesertRat]

2. According to updates on Twitter, Biden filled 2 jars, DT filled 7

[highplainsdem]

4. I don't like that, either. But the results page shows a 51/49 Democrat/Republican split.

And with Trump getting 97% of the Republican vote, and Weld getting 3%.

[DesertRat]

5. I just updated my post above

Trump has filled 7 jars.

[highplainsdem]

6. It's a reminder that Democrats have to unite behind the nominee, and no one can stay home.

[DesertRat]

9. Yes! And we all need to work our @sses off to GOTV!

[Skidmore]

16. Local news

interview of kern we l voters a couple of days as go found some trump voters making more than one trip through the line.

[Princetonian]

11. Farmer welfare package has kicked in.They are happy living on Trump's vote buying deficit spending.

[world wide wally]

3. The real reason I won't run for President is because I couldn't stand being at the Iowa State Fair

for an entire week... Or any other State Fair for that matter.

[DesertRat]

7. You don't like food on a stick?

[world wide wally]

10. Only martinis

[JI7]

13. i wouldn't because i hate taking pics and all the non important stuff. i don't want to go on shows

like the view and others where you don't actually talk about the issues.

so this applies to most public offices.

if i was going to run for office i would tell them to vote for me so they can let me do the job while they spend time and have a beer with the others running.

but i would do things like town halls and other things where i can talk to people about issues and their concerns.

[world wide wally]

14. I'll vote for you!

[TSIAS]

12. This has to be an episode of Veep?

Is this what running for US President has come to?

As an aside, it also shows how weird white people can be.

[highplainsdem]

15. You're taking a fun state-fair version of a straw poll much too seriously.

And btw, we have had straw polls posted here.

[a kennedy]

17. and oh my......Mayor Pete is in second??? M

[highplainsdem]

18. Nate Silver tweet about the poll this morning:

Link to tweet

"Poll" cast by people putting corn kernels in jars at the Iowa State Fair:
Biden 24
Buttigieg 16
Warren 15
Harris 11
Sanders 9

Monmouth University scientific poll of Iowa:
Biden 28
Warren 19
Harris 11
Sanders 9
Buttigieg 8

Pretty close, actually!

[BannonsLiver]

22. Nate may be starting to go off the rails.

[highplainsdem]

23. LOL! Nate isn't suggesting this poll is scientific. He's just pointing out the results

haven't been that different from the professional polls.

The main difference is that Buttigieg is doing much better in this straw/kernel poll. And reply 20 here explains why -- his organizers are urging people to go vote for him in this state fair poll, to try to beat Biden.

[Peacetrain]

19. As I have said so many times I am actually a little blue in the face ...

State Fair is when the average Democratic voters in Iowa start to really check in with who they like.. The early numbers are our Democratic Activists who are probably some of the most liberal and progressive in the United States..and Biden was leading with them.. sooooooooooooooo

[highplainsdem]

20. LOL! Mayor Pete's organizers have been telling people to go vote for Pete in this poll:

Link to tweet

Mayor Pete organizer to person behind me, have you voted in the Channel 13 corn poll yet? We’re trying to beat Biden. OK, guy says, I’ll go do that. #IACaucus

In case anyone was wondering why he's doing better than every candidate except Biden...

[highplainsdem]

21. 8/17 results: Biden 26%, Buttigieg 17%, Warren 15%, Harris 11%, Sanders 8%

Biden's doing 2 points better and Buttigieg is doing 1 point better than when Nate Silver tweeted about the poll a couple of days ago (see that reply above). Warren and Harris are the same. Sanders has lost a point since that reply about Nate Silver.

But this is still pretty close to the poll results from a week ago, posted in the OP.

[Garrett78]

24. Not that I put much stock (or is it stalk?) in this, but...

...if Sanders were to finish 4th or worse in Iowa and fail to win New Hampshire, he needs to drop out.

And Iowa is a must-win for neighboring Klobuchar. Lose and she needs to drop out, assuming she doesn't drop out sooner.