Democratic Primaries

Autumn

(45,047 posts) Tue Aug 13, 2019, 07:58 PM Aug 2019

Sanders overtakes Biden in New Hampshire poll

Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) leads the Democratic presidential field in New Hampshire with 21 percent in a Gravis Marketing poll released Tuesday.

Sanders is followed by former Vice President Joe Biden with 15 percent and by Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 12 percent.

The poll stands in contrast from the most recent polls in New Hampshire compiled by RealClearPolitics, which have showed Biden leading in the critical primary state, followed by Sanders.

Gravis Marketing polled 250 Democratic primary voters on Aug. 2-6 using interactive voice responses and an online panel of cell phone users. The primary question had a margin of error of 6.2 percentage points.

https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign-polls/457235-sanders-overtakes-biden-in-new-hampshire-poll?fbclid=IwAR3RLZ9wVrzuzqHFi62Jec2-QDaB4Yg-YIVoQKeu9qKr3FavfJKqNtciNcU

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

14 replies

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Sanders overtakes Biden in New Hampshire poll (Original Post) Autumn Aug 2019 OP

Kicked and recommended. Uncle Joe Aug 2019 #1

You're welcome Uncle Joe. Autumn Aug 2019 #2

Go Joe! cwydro Aug 2019 #3

Sanders' margin over Biden is within the poll's MOE. The same pollster also did more reliable highplainsdem Aug 2019 #6

Margin of error of 6.2 points? OK... Skya Rhen Aug 2019 #4

Glad to know. zentrum Aug 2019 #5

*sigh* once again, MOE of 6.2 means all three are statistically tied nt Fiendish Thingy Aug 2019 #7

Pretty clearly an outlier, as the article notes. TwilightZone Aug 2019 #8

Trash poll. MOE 6.2% honest.abe Aug 2019 #9

Isn't it adorable TexasTowelie Aug 2019 #10

Awww... Skya Rhen Aug 2019 #11

Desperate times. Any port in a storm. NurseJackie Aug 2019 #12

let's go Joe ! stonecutter357 Aug 2019 #13

A margin of error of 6.2 and a population size of 250 isn't even statistically relevant. wasupaloopa Aug 2019 #14

Uncle Joe

(58,348 posts)

1. Kicked and recommended.

Reply to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 07:59 PM

Aug 2019

Thanks for the thread Autumn.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Autumn

(45,047 posts)

2. You're welcome Uncle Joe.

Reply to Uncle Joe (Reply #1)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:02 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

cwydro

(51,308 posts)

3. Go Joe!

Reply to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:03 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(48,966 posts)

6. Sanders' margin over Biden is within the poll's MOE. The same pollster also did more reliable

Reply to cwydro (Reply #3)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:15 PM

Aug 2019

polling on head-to-head match-ups against Trump in NH, with that part of the poll they released today having a smaller MOE, and that showed Biden doing better than Sanders against Trump:

https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287238605

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Skya Rhen

(2,701 posts)

4. Margin of error of 6.2 points? OK...

Reply to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:09 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

zentrum

(9,865 posts)

5. Glad to know.

Reply to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:10 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Fiendish Thingy

(15,569 posts)

7. *sigh* once again, MOE of 6.2 means all three are statistically tied nt

Reply to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:17 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

TwilightZone

(25,456 posts)

8. Pretty clearly an outlier, as the article notes.

Reply to Autumn (Original post)

Tue Aug 13, 2019, 08:20 PM

Aug 2019

Biden is +5 in the average of the other three recent polls. The MOE puts it in line with the others, however, if the entire 6% is a swing away from Sanders and to Biden.

It also has Warren about 5% below the average of the other three. Looks a bit shaky.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden