Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(48,908 posts) Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:01 PM Aug 2019

8/26 Morning Consult poll, NATIONAL: Biden 33%, Sanders 20%, Warren 15%, Harris 8%,

Buttigieg 5%, Booker & O'Rourke 3%, Yang 2%, all others 1% or less

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

22 replies

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8/26 Morning Consult poll, NATIONAL: Biden 33%, Sanders 20%, Warren 15%, Harris 8%, (Original Post) highplainsdem Aug 2019 OP

This poll hasn't obnoxiousdrunk Aug 2019 #1

lol! Cha Aug 2019 #2

Ouch!! Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #12

LOL treestar Aug 2019 #18

ZING! Princetonian Aug 2019 #21

Thanks for this, highplains! So this Cha Aug 2019 #3

B-rated. The Monmouth poll earlier today is A-rated but still looks like an outlier. MC's MOE is highplainsdem Aug 2019 #5

Thank you! Cha Aug 2019 #7

Oh, and MC polls a LOT more voters than Monmouth did, with their tiny sample. highplainsdem Aug 2019 #6

Thanks.. is that why it's Cha Aug 2019 #9

I think so. Not sure. We'll just have to see what happens with future polls, All we highplainsdem Aug 2019 #11

It looks to be an outlier Big Blue Marble Aug 2019 #16

MC was one of the most accurate polls in 2016. Had HRC winning popular vote by 3%, she won by 2.1%. highplainsdem Aug 2019 #8

Thanks for that! Cha Aug 2019 #10

Morning Consult methodology is outstanding. I enjoyed studying the data. Princetonian Aug 2019 #22

Since last week, Biden gained 2 points, Sanders and Warren remained unchanged & Harris lost 1 point. Skya Rhen Aug 2019 #4

Back down to earth. nt oasis Aug 2019 #13

You have to wonder videohead5 Aug 2019 #14

Would not surprise me..they do not want to face Joe!! Thekaspervote Aug 2019 #15

The interactive "Tracking The Field Over Time" feature is nifty. Princetonian Aug 2019 #17

Well as many suspected, the Monmouth poll was very likely simply an outlier... LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #19

Morning Consult is more in line with CNN and HarrisX polls. Monmouth is an outlier. Princetonian Aug 2019 #20

obnoxiousdrunk

(2,909 posts)

1. This poll hasn't

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:06 PM

Aug 2019

been approved by Bluewater and Associates. Sorry ...

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

Cha

(296,821 posts)

2. lol!

Reply to obnoxiousdrunk (Reply #1)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:07 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(32,705 posts)

12. Ouch!!

Reply to obnoxiousdrunk (Reply #1)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:52 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

treestar

(82,383 posts)

18. LOL

Reply to obnoxiousdrunk (Reply #1)

Tue Aug 27, 2019, 07:26 AM

Aug 2019

Biden plummeted to 13% yesterday, what happened between Sunday and today?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Princetonian

(1,501 posts)

21. ZING!

Reply to obnoxiousdrunk (Reply #1)

Tue Aug 27, 2019, 09:31 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(296,821 posts)

3. Thanks for this, highplains! So this

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:08 PM

Aug 2019

is a high rated poll?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(48,908 posts)

5. B-rated. The Monmouth poll earlier today is A-rated but still looks like an outlier. MC's MOE is

Reply to Cha (Reply #3)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:14 PM

Aug 2019

quite a bit smaller than Monmouth's.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(296,821 posts)

7. Thank you!

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #5)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:18 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(48,908 posts)

6. Oh, and MC polls a LOT more voters than Monmouth did, with their tiny sample.

Reply to Cha (Reply #3)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:16 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(296,821 posts)

9. Thanks.. is that why it's

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #6)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:22 PM

Aug 2019

called an "outlier" 'cause it polled so small?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(48,908 posts)

11. I think so. Not sure. We'll just have to see what happens with future polls, All we

Reply to Cha (Reply #9)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:25 PM

Aug 2019

know now is that it IS an outlier.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Big Blue Marble

(5,046 posts)

16. It looks to be an outlier

Reply to Cha (Reply #9)

Tue Aug 27, 2019, 12:14 AM

Aug 2019

because is is outside the average of the other recent polls. it could either be a the first of a
trend or it could just be in error due to the small sample size and thus the large margin
of error. We shall see.

Of course, the media is overhyping it to create the horse race effect and chip away at
Biden's front runner position.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

highplainsdem

(48,908 posts)

8. MC was one of the most accurate polls in 2016. Had HRC winning popular vote by 3%, she won by 2.1%.

Reply to Cha (Reply #3)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:19 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Cha

(296,821 posts)

10. Thanks for that!

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #8)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:23 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Princetonian

(1,501 posts)

22. Morning Consult methodology is outstanding. I enjoyed studying the data.

Reply to highplainsdem (Reply #8)

Tue Aug 27, 2019, 10:07 PM

Aug 2019

MC was one of the most accurate polls in 2016. Had HRC winning popular vote by 3%, she won by 2.1%.

https://morningconsult.com/2020-democratic-primary/

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Skya Rhen

(2,701 posts)

4. Since last week, Biden gained 2 points, Sanders and Warren remained unchanged & Harris lost 1 point.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:13 PM

Aug 2019

Change from last week:

Biden 31%...……….33% (+2)

Sanders 20%........20% ( - )

Warren 15%.........15% ( - )

Harris 9%...…………..8% (-1)

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

oasis

(49,326 posts)

13. Back down to earth. nt

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 10:56 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

videohead5

(2,165 posts)

14. You have to wonder

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 11:12 PM

Aug 2019

If some Republicans are trying to pull a fast one by claiming to be Democrats in the Monmouth poll.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Thekaspervote

(32,705 posts)

15. Would not surprise me..they do not want to face Joe!!

Reply to videohead5 (Reply #14)

Mon Aug 26, 2019, 11:52 PM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Princetonian

(1,501 posts)

17. The interactive "Tracking The Field Over Time" feature is nifty.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Aug 27, 2019, 06:53 AM

Aug 2019

Bookmarked.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts)

19. Well as many suspected, the Monmouth poll was very likely simply an outlier...

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Aug 27, 2019, 09:23 AM

Aug 2019

Comforting.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Princetonian

(1,501 posts)

20. Morning Consult is more in line with CNN and HarrisX polls. Monmouth is an outlier.

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Tue Aug 27, 2019, 11:43 AM

Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

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