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Joe BidenCongratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
 

Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin

(107,922 posts)
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 01:06 PM Aug 2019

Biden edges higher atop field of 2020 Democrats: poll

Former Vice President Joe Biden increased his lead atop a crowded field of Democratic presidential candidates by 2 points, a new poll finds.

Biden now has the support of 33 percent of Democratic primary voters across the nation, according to the Morning Consult survey, 13 points above the next-most popular candidate, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.)

Rounding out the top five are Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 15 percent, followed by Sen. Kamala Harris (D-Calif.) at 8 percent and South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg at 5 percent, the poll shows.

Among early voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina or Nevada, Biden maintains a 16-point lead over Sanders, who is followed by Warren, Harris and billionaire Tom Steyer, according to Morning Consult.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/biden-edges-higher-atop-field-of-2020-democrats-poll/ar-AAGoCxP?li=BBnb7Kz

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Biden edges higher atop field of 2020 Democrats: poll (Original Post) Yo_Mama_Been_Loggin Aug 2019 OP
The online MornigConsult Poll has been consistently strong for Biden. bluewater Aug 2019 #1
The average doesn't incorporate more than one of a particular poll at a time. LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #2
You are correct! Thanks for pointing that out. bluewater Aug 2019 #3
No worries. LincolnRossiter Aug 2019 #4
Thanks for the unskewing! BannonsLiver Aug 2019 #7
the polls are what the polls are! bluewater Aug 2019 #8
It also means that they can release a once a week poll Lordquinton Aug 2019 #10
KR! Thank you, Yo! Cha Aug 2019 #5
Thanks for posting this...he is going to win and deliver us from Trump AKA ...the 'king of the Jews' Demsrule86 Aug 2019 #6
KICK! Cha Aug 2019 #9
 

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
1. The online MornigConsult Poll has been consistently strong for Biden.
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 01:08 PM
Aug 2019
The polls are what the polls are.

Being an online poll of preselected voters that is surveyed over and over again, MorningConsult is able to release these polls AT LEAST every week.

There have been FIVE, that's 5, MorningConsult Polls included in AUGUST ALONE in the RCP Polls Tracker. This gives this poll's results considerable influence compared to live caller polls that are barely conducted once every month or two.

EDIT: Um, no it doesn't! A poster just pointed out where its possible to see which polls are currently used in the average and that only the most recent poll from a pollster is selected at a time.


So, the polling AVERAGE is what the polling AVERAGE is.

As of this morning, front runner Biden has 28% AVERAGE support in the RCP Polls Tracker.

That is down from the 29.3% AVERAGE support back on April 25th when he announced his candidacy.



https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/us/2020_democratic_presidential_nomination-6730.html#polls
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

LincolnRossiter

(560 posts)
2. The average doesn't incorporate more than one of a particular poll at a time.
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 01:27 PM
Aug 2019

So it doesn’t really give morning consult any outsized influence. Every time a new morning consult poll is added, the last one drops off.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
3. You are correct! Thanks for pointing that out.
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 01:32 PM
Aug 2019

I just checked, since you mentioned it, that the previously highlighted MorningConsult Poll was unhighlighted in the fuller listing.

Thanks again.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

BannonsLiver

(16,370 posts)
7. Thanks for the unskewing!
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 03:32 PM
Aug 2019

For a second there I thought we might have been dealing with a legitimate poll showing Biden ahead but those fears have been allayed.

Praise be to the knowledgeable!

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

bluewater

(5,376 posts)
8. the polls are what the polls are!
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 04:02 PM
Aug 2019

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
 

Lordquinton

(7,886 posts)
10. It also means that they can release a once a week poll
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 11:13 PM
Aug 2019

that shows the same thing over and over, with it being a new headline, but not new information.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Undecided
 

Demsrule86

(68,555 posts)
6. Thanks for posting this...he is going to win and deliver us from Trump AKA ...the 'king of the Jews'
Tue Aug 27, 2019, 03:30 PM
Aug 2019
Trump is no 'king' of any sort...just nuts.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for:
Joe Biden
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