Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumLIKELY VOTER Harris X, Aug. 24-27: Biden 37%, Warren 13%, Sanders 13%, Harris 6%, Buttigieg 4%,
Last edited Tue Aug 27, 2019, 10:00 PM - Edit history (2)
O'Rourke & Booker 3%, Yang & Steyer 2%
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/e/2PACX-1vTS1IwxqkfvLgjNxeWUFLzw2Snm0B9frZlSyxVOEB0kHjKwQ-x_ll828rL4KpGvbKGE_bAd7Ezp9gLU/pubhtml/sheet?headers=false&gid=0
538 is using the "definite voter" # from this Harris poll as their "likely voter" number, since the definite voter # is more likely to vote than the other two categories Harris has, and the definite voter category all by itself is 59% of the registered voters they polled. (Harris has likely and unlikely categories as well, but their unlikely voter category is only 11% of all the registered voters they polled. It would be nice if we had 89% turnout, but we don't, so I'm guessing that's why 538 is using the category which would correspond with a 59% voter turnout.)
As in yesterday's poll result, Biden does more than 10 points better with the voters most likely to vote than with those in the two less-likely-to-vote categories.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Cha
(296,748 posts)Thanks, !
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Scurrilous
(38,687 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,689 posts)Reason given...hahahhaha!!!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
flamingdem
(39,308 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oasis
(49,317 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
democratisphere
(17,235 posts)Glad to see legitimate polls.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Princetonian
(1,501 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Demsrule86
(68,455 posts)We will show the orange menace the door...by God.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LincolnRossiter
(560 posts)Nice.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden