Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumGallup Election Review: October 2007
PRINCETON, NJ -- The first official vote in the 2008 presidential primaries will be cast in early January, just a little more than three months away...
____Gallups 2007 national presidential polling strongly points to Clinton winning the 2008 Democratic nomination. Barring something unusual or otherwise unexpected, she is well positioned for the 2008 Democratic primaries. Obama has not been an insignificant rival: he came within single digits of tying Clinton for the lead at two points this spring. But he has recently lost ground and is now in the weakest position relative to Clinton that he has been in all year.
Clinton has led the Democratic pack in every Gallup Poll conducted between November 2006 and October 2007. For most of this time, Clinton has led Obama by a double-digit margin.
Clintons lead over Obama has expanded to nearly 30 points in Gallups latest poll ...
Importantly, two-thirds of Democrats who prefer Clinton for their partys nomination say they are certain to vote for her in the primaries, a higher percentage than is found for supporters of the other Democratic candidates.
Clinton holds a commanding lead among nearly every major subgroup of potential Democratic primary voters. Some of her strongest showings are among women, nonwhites, those in lower-income households, those with less formal education, and Southerners.
Democrats also rate Clinton as the candidate most likely to defeat the Republican in the general election -- a key perceptual advantage given that primary voters are trying to distinguish among candidates with largely similar issue positions...
https://news.gallup.com/poll/102277/Gallup-Election-Review-October-2007.aspx
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
saidsimplesimon
(7,888 posts)inevitability, imo.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
bigtree
(85,986 posts)One reason I dont write about *national* horse race polls in the Trailer?
Here were the national horse race numbers in the final month before the 2008 Iowa caucuses. First number is Obama, second is Clinton.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
question everything
(47,465 posts)for Obama winning Iowa and the subsequent coronation.
Clinton also had incompetent campaign team.
Still, we really should not rely too much on event from before "Social Media" took control of our lives (and will bring down civilization as we know it..)
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bigtree
(85,986 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Andy823
(11,495 posts)is far from over and way too far for anyone to say only one candidate has the only chance to win against trump. Heck even Biden said when asked which other candidate could win against trump, "all of them"! I like Joe, and he was right.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden