Biden campaign says Iowa is not a must-win state

[Voltaire2]

Joe Biden’s campaign on Tuesday said Iowa is not a must-win state on the former vice president’s path to the Democratic presidential nomination and signaled that the campaign is already “ramping up” its Super Tuesday efforts.
...
Still, the campaign downplayed expectations in first-in-the-nation Iowa as well as in the first primary state, New Hampshire, which borders the home states of Warren and Sanders.

https://www.politico.com/story/2019/09/03/joe-biden-iowa-super-tuesday-1479854


Odd.

[George II]

1. This is the third OP on this subject in the last few hours. Why?

[Voltaire2]

3. If you prefer I could post it in ALLCAPSEZ

It is sort of huge news when the alleged "most electable" candidate concedes the first two primaries.

[George II]

6. But the fact is that the most electable candidate, not "alleged", has NOT....

..."conceded the first two primaries" and unless they make a change, the first is a caucus, not a primary.

And as I pointed out in one of the first two OPs (this is NOT "refighting the primary" ) our last nominee won Iowa by 1/10 of one percent and lost New Hampshire by 22%, nevertheless she persisted and became our nominee.

So why is this "sort of huge news"?

[Voltaire2]

10. can't apparently compete in the first two primaries.

[George II]

15. How is that? RCP:

Iowa - Biden 26.0, Warren 18.0, BS 14.0, Harris 13.5. Biden gets 59% of the delegates, Warren gets 41%, others ZERO
New Hampshire - Biden 21.0, BS 19.3, Warren 14.7, Harris 9.0. Biden gets 52% of the delegates, BS 48%, others ZERO

Who can't compete?

BTW, the other two early states:

Nevada - Biden 30.0, Warren 15.3, BS 15.3, Harris 8.7. Biden gets 50% of the delegates, Warren and BS get 25% each, others ZERO
South Carolina - Biden 38.0, BS 14.3, Warren 12.7, Harris 12.0. Biden gets 100% of the delegates, others ZERO

[highplainsdem]

12. They're NOT conceding. Third paragraph of the article says they think they're going to win.

[sprinkleeninow]

2. I...uh...whut? Sumbuddy pls 'splain. Thx. n/t

[Voltaire2]

4. Apparently the internal polling for the first two states are not looking good for Biden

But it is seriously odd to start conceding months before the actual event.

[George II]

7. What makes you say that, have you seen their internal polling? And who is "conceding"?

[sprinkleeninow]

8. Thanks for that. It does come across leaving one's mind with a ?

I don't wish to offend those favoring Biden. Now I'm in the realm of undecided bc of Inslee bowing out. I don't mind Joe and recently Elizabeth has become more appealing to me.

[highplainsdem]

13. Third paragraph of the article says the campaign thinks they'll win Iowa.

[TwilightZone]

9. He would be correct.

There's more to the primary process than Iowa. Super Tuesday is going to be a deal-maker or -breaker for some, particularly with the changes for 2020.

[highplainsdem]

11. 3rd paragraph of that article says they think they're going to win Iowa.

Here are the 2nd and 3rd paragraphs, which you skipped:

“Do I think we have to win Iowa? No,” a senior adviser told campaign reporters Tuesday in a background briefing. The adviser said Iowa, which holds the first nominating contest in the nation, will be “critical.”

“We think we’re going to win. We think it’s going to be a dogfight. … But we think there are several candidates in this field, there’s probably three or four, that are going to go awhile.”

[still_one]

16. I am sure that was just an oversight from the OP

[highplainsdem]

17. Or foresight in knowing what the 3rd paragraph would do to the "they're conceding Iowa" line.

[still_one]

18. Sounds so much like the Judy Miller interview with Jon Stewart, when she said she wasn't detailed

enough about the Aluminum Tubes Iraq story, because there wasn't enough room in the paper to print it

[RockRaven]

14. Was it MAD TV or SNL who had that recurring bit "Low-ered Ex-pec-ta-ay-tions"?

I can never remember...

[Gothmog]

19. I agree with Nate

Link to tweet

?s=20