Wisconsin 2020: Bernie Sanders Leads Democratic Field

[workinclasszero]

The first Emerson College Wisconsin Poll of the Democratic primary finds Bernie Sanders holding a strong lead with 39% of the vote, followed by Joe Biden at 24%.

In third place, Elizabeth Warren, the only other candidate in double digits, is at 14%. The poll was conducted March 15-17, n=324, +/- 5.4%.


https://emersonpolling.reportablenews.com/pr/wisconsin-2020-bernie-sanders-leads-democratic-field-trump-competitive-in-general-election

[workinclasszero]

1. More info from the poll....

Sanders holds a large lead among 18-29 year olds, with 61% of the vote, while Warren is second with 15% of support.

With voters over the age of 65, Biden leads with 38%; Sanders is in second with 26%.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

2. No surprise there... and Bernie currently has Iowa and New Hampshire pretty much locked up.

Once he surges in the polls in California and South Carolina, as I fully expect he will, this race is all but over before it even starts.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[workinclasszero]

4. This polling is awesome!!!

This was done after Beto announced too right?

Wisconsin is Berning today!!!!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

7. You know it!! Bernie speaks for regular folks & they love the progressive message he's promoting...

Couldn't be more proud of Bernie, especially with all the new voters he's bringin' to the Party to vote for those Democratic ideals. No doubt, they're feelin' the Bern!!


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[workinclasszero]

6. The two most progressive candidates in the race

are 1 and 3 in this poll.

I think we can put the centrist notion to bed now! The party is definitely moving left!

Look at 18 to 29 stats! Bernie has them at 61%!

Welcome to the revolution indeed!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

8. Yes, Bernie has found a winnin progressive message that unites Democrats & which theyll rally around

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[Legrant]

12. I think you're right about New Hampshire and Wisconsin

Not sure about Iowa.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

13. I'm actually more sure about Iowa than any other state... lot could depend on whether Uncle Joe

decides to throw his hat into the ring.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[Hassin Bin Sober]

18. Yeah, but stitches-gate isn't reflected in this poll!!!

[workinclasszero]

20. OMG

That might hurt Bernie’s campaign as bad as Beto entering the race did!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

25. Yes, Bernie might lose another 7 votes... one for each stitch!!

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

24. True dat!! You got ME in stitches now... can't stop laughin!! Good one!!

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[CentralMass]

27. That is great.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

31. Maybe with the recent blow to Bernie's head, he'll get another "bump" in the polls, that is, unless

the MSM gets all worked up in a "lather," demanding that Bernie "come clean" about the shower incident, stop with the "cover up" by showing what's under the bandage, and exhibit more "transparency" about the shower door.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[workinclasszero]

49. I hope you are right!

That would be amazing!

[RobertDevereaux]

3. Thanks, workinclasszero.

[workinclasszero]

5. My pleasure!

Bernie has a huuuuge lead over Biden too!

He has the young votes locked up!!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

9. YESSSSS!!!!! And we need to actively promote & support Nancy's call to lower the voting age to 16...

If that happens, Bernie can't possibly lose!!


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[workinclasszero]

10. Sounds like a winning idea to me!

Go Bernie!

“Not me. Us!”

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

11. I was disappointed to hear Nancy say that impeaching tRump is not worth it...

her calling for lowering the voting age to 16 is a brilliant idea!!


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[workinclasszero]

14. Yeah I think it defies logic

that a Democratic President can be impeached for lying about consensual sex but a Republican criminal white supremacist that lies about everything under the sun and inspires terrorist killers here and overseas to commit vile crimes against humanity....has nothing to fear as far as impeachment goes.

It sends a dangerous message to the GOP IMO.

Let’s hope we can survive tRump till 2020 when Bernie and Us put Dump and his evil party into the dustbin of history!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

17. You said it!!

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[Nanjeanne]

15. Bernie and Elizabeth. Two of my three picks so far.

[workinclasszero]

16. That's got to be the best poll yet for both of them

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

26. Mine too...

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[Hassin Bin Sober]

19. K and r

[Uncle Joe]

21. Kicked and recommended.

Thanks for the thread workinclasszero.

[workinclasszero]

22. I was overjoyed to do it Uncle Joe

I guess those million plus volunteers that Bernie signed up in week one are having a great effect for him already!

I can’t get over the spread on those numbers!

39% to Biden’s 24%...wow!

Bernie with 61% of the 18 to 29 group and he even gets 26% of the voters over 65!

Bernie seems to be building up a large head of steam early and I just love it so much!!!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

28. I read that Bernie is on track to have over TWO million volunteers by just the end of this month...

That would be impressive as hell!! No wonder Bernie is making some people nervous.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[workinclasszero]

30. Man that's awesome!

Talk about who’s got MO eh? He has just exploded right out the gate!

Bernie Sanders has got big MO!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

32. IKR!! I can't remember a candidate ever

raising this much in campaign donations - small, individual donations no less!! (not corporate PAC money) - and signing up MILLIONS of volunteers right out of the fuckin' gate!! It's gotta be one for the record books!! SO damn proud of Bernie & us!!


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[workinclasszero]

35. Yes that's the best thing about it really

No Big Oil, Big Pharma, Big Health Care, Wall Street or secret billionaire dark money!

This is people power and Bernie has got it coming out his ears! LOL

This is so exciting! I can’t wait till the campaign releases new money and volunteer numbers!

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

46. Yesss, Bernie is killin it!! Which splains why he's continually under attack.

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[workinclasszero]

52. You know it!

If he was a non factor, Bernie would be ignored.

As it is, everybody is nipping at his heels LOL

[Autumn]

23. Wow! thanks for posting this.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

33. Yes, but where's Bernie's taxes?! (There, saved some the trouble.)

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[TexasTowelie]

29. LOL.

So Bernie leads among the group of least knowledgeable voters who probably aren't even registered to vote. Bookmarking for laughs in the future.

[dgauss]

34. I'm just surprised to see a positive Bernie Sanders thread go 28 posts

before the inevitable "LOL so what?" post.

[workinclasszero]

37. This poll was a shock to many no doubt

I mean here is Joe Biden the “front runner” in every poll even though he’s not even declared yet getting blown out of the water in Wisconsin, the home of the 2020 Democratic Party convention no less!

Not by a point or two but 15!

That probably shattered a few illusions I bet.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

38. I was just watching Star Wars last night

[workinclasszero]

39. Lololololol!

That’s great

[TexasTowelie]

42. How amusing.

Claiming that you support Beto while you are serving as a host for the Bernie Sanders Group. I'm not fooled.

[LongtimeAZDem]

45. Lot of that going around; they think nobody notices.

[vsrazdem]

55. I'm sure any minute someone will say it is not a reliable poll. It never stops.

Go Bernie!!!

[workinclasszero]

56. Yup

Of course if their pol was in the lead it would be a different story LOL

[TexasTowelie]

40. After nearly 35 years of analyzing statistical data

I am able to recognize crappy data. With the total sample size of 324, only around 100 are in the 18-29 age group.

This is mostly a name recognition poll rather than anything useful that can be extrapolated to the larger population. The fact that the only people who responded to this thread before me are Sanders supporters and one undecided who supported Sanders previously doesn't offset the fact that the data is meaningless.

[wasupaloopa]

43. This thread is a Bernie love fest hread. You don't see the other candidate supporters doing

anything like this.

It is a year away from Supper Tuesday. Predicting anything this early is just pissing in the wind.

[TexasTowelie]

44. Exactly.

I would say more, but I'm certain that there are trigger fingers ready to click the alert button.

[Tipperary]

48. Spot on.

+1.

[workinclasszero]

53. And after 60 some years of seeing human nature I know

that you and all other Beto backers on this board would be over the moon with joy if he was 15 points ahead of Joe in Wisconsin, running away with it like Bernie is!

[TexasTowelie]

59. Did you notice that in a direct head-to-head matchup with Trump

that Biden is +8 while Sanders is only +4. O'Rourke is at +2 even though he has never run a national campaign. The results in Michigan are similar to those in Wisconsin. If you want to believe the Emerson polls, then it is obvious that Biden has a much easier path to defeating Trump than Sanders does.

However, since you are putting so much emphasis on Emerson polls you might want to examine the Emerson poll for Michigan that was posted on March 11. The poll for Michigan shows Biden at 40% and Sanders at 23%. Chew on that for awhile and I'll be amused watching you try to spin it since you mentioned observing human nature.

I could provide a statistics lesson on why the Emerson poll is meaningless due to its small sample size, but I'm preparing for a job interview this week. You wouldn't be convinced no matter how much information is presented so it would be a waste of my time. I'll suggest reading up on inferential statistics and hypothesis testing instead.

You are correct that I would be thrilled if O'Rourke had a lead in the polls, but O'Rourke is a relative unknown in most of the country. His trajectory is still to be determined while Bernie has plateaued because he is a known entity. I'm confident that the independent senator from Vermont will not win the Democratic nomination in 2020.

The data that I mentioned can be found at /www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

[sheshe2]

36. ;)

[radius777]

41. Polls this early are more about name recognition

and mean very little. Most voters are still learning about the new candidates and don't have firm support for anyone. The polling models are also not that accurate this far out.

At this point in:
2015 Jeb Bush and Scott Walker were leading polls and Trump was at 1%.
2007 Obama was still way behind Hillary.
1991 Bill was at about 5%; Jerry Brown was the frontrunner.

What this shows is how wrong the polls had it, failed to sense what the electorate really was and what it really wanted.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

47. Soon, even MORE will know Bernie's name... along with all those new Democrats whom he will register

to vote.


Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[Hassin Bin Sober]

50. What I don't get about these "name recognition" theories is this:

I thought they hated Bernie.

Their theory doesn’t make sense. I guess the people who hate Bernie are the people who never heard of him.

[InAbLuEsTaTe]

54. Okay, now that is SO funny... cuz it's SO true!!

Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!!!
Welcome to the revolution!!!

[RandySF]

51. More than a year out.

[democrank]

57. Yeah but....

Vermonters are all SOCIALISTS and the state is so WHITE and Bernie is covering up what REALLY happened in that bathroom. REAL Democrats should call for an investigation and see what is under that bandage.SHOWERGATE will be worse than Watergate when the truth comes out. And what about all those lazy, non-voting youngsters Bernie seems to attract? UNICORN-RIDERS, I tell you! All they do is stand around holding up ANTI-ESTABLISHMENT signs! REAL Democrats should ban these dangerous people and not allow them to influence OUR people. They have crazy ideas that go against The Program. We can’t have that, or the whole country might turn into VERMONT! I heard they even force their grade schools to have gardens up there and they probably all have to wear HEMP shirts to go along with their BIRKENSTOCKS! We need an investigation of the ENTIRE STATE! What is a REALLY going on up there?

What kind of state would have Bernie for a Senator?

[David__77]

58. Good news!

Hope to see more polls like this.