Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumElizabeth Warren leads Joe Biden in ranked-choice poll
Just saw an interesting Vox article on results of a YouGov poll commissioned by FairVote, advocates or ranked-choice voting. Of course, we by and large don't use ranked-choice voting in this process, so the significance of the headline about Warren relative to Biden is open to debate.
There are, however, some states that do plan to apply ranked choice in the primaries. The FairVote site suggests a way of looking at their poll results to simulate how that could play out, and the result using their national polling data would (were this the vote in a RCV state) result in essentially a dead heat between Biden and Warren, with Sanders the only other candidate receiving delegates.
If nothing else, it's a good reminder of the ways voting methods shape outcomes in ways that make categorical statements about the way elections reflect the purported collective "will of the voters" problematic. As far as the poll results themselves, I think they suggest Warren might be the greatest beneficiary of an early winnowing of the field (which I'd already thought) even in a three-way race for the nomination including Sanders (which seemed less obvious to me).
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bootcamp
(16 posts)I decided to try out this so-called online voting system and was able to vote several times. When will we stop bashing Biden?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)poll "bash" Biden?
It is but one poll among many. What I like is that it shows graphically how ranked-choice voting works.
But most states do not used ranked-choice voting in their primaries.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting_in_the_United_States
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bootcamp
(16 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)unreliability of the poll.
But how does it "bash" Biden?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
blm
(113,043 posts)How does a posted poll become bashing to you?
In a million years I wouldnt accuse all the Biden on top polls of being bashing the other candidates.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
caraher
(6,278 posts)The inputs to the whole thing are the results of an already-concluded, national poll. There is no option to vote, even once, let alone multiple times, that I can see. Can you provide the link you are using to vote? I don't think it can possibly be affecting the data already collected.
If you somehow found a survey link on the page it's feeding something else, not these results.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Joe941
(2,848 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
caraher
(6,278 posts)The purpose of the exercise is not prognostication
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DrFunkenstein
(8,745 posts)I love a good algorithm uncluttered by nuance.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
DemocracyMouse
(2,275 posts)after each shift in the deluge of news. We cannot predict an election with much accuracy any more than we can predict the path of a hurricane.
Algorithms, like any artificial intelligence, are simply a new version of a sharpie thrust into nature's path.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
OilemFirchen
(7,143 posts)Trump would be leading the Democratic Primaries with 99.9%.
If my aunt had...
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden