Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumThree Polls up to 9/26 still have Biden ahead by double digits
Haven't seen this posted Maybe I missed it The three previous polls had Warren up higher, but this is the latest and in line with polls before those three came out.
CP Average 9/13 - 9/24 28.4 21.1 17.1 5.5 5.0 3.3 2.5 1.8 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.9 0.8 Biden +7.3
Harvard-Harris 9/22 - 9/24 28 17 16 3 6 3 3 2 1 2 1 -- 2 Biden +11
Not posted on CP:
HarrisX C+) from 538 (LV 9/13 - 9/24) has JB 31, EW 20 BS 13 Harris 7...Biden +11
HarrisX C+) from 538 (RV 9/13 - 9/24) has JB 28, EW 15 BS 14 Harris 7...Biden +13
The movement upward in the three polls for Warren is not reflected ion these polls.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
stonecutter357
(12,695 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
JI7
(89,247 posts)since that's where the campaigns are taking place. and wins in early states can help in later states. while losses could hurt.
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
InAbLuEsTaTe
(24,122 posts)Bernie & Elizabeth 2020!! or
Elizabeth & Bernie 2020!!
Either way, welcome to the revolution!!!
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
UncleNoel
(864 posts)they reflect a narrow range of potential voters where Biden is stronger.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
PhoenixDem
(581 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,757 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BeyondGeography
(39,370 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
UncleNoel
(864 posts)But the Biden campaign, according to emails I receive, are aware of this for early states (and California!). They wn't stand idly by to watch her pass their bus.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
DownriverDem
(6,228 posts)believe that Biden is the best candidate to win the Electoral College which means state by state. It's clear trump thinks this too. That is why trump is trying so hard to bring Biden down. If Warren gets the nomination, of course I'll vote for her, but I don't think she can win.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MiniMe
(21,714 posts)National polls at this point mean nothing, everything goes State by State.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UncleNoel
(864 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UncleNoel
(864 posts)Bidens lead has been pervasive and steady. Given the double digit leads, they do indicate that many voter groups prefer him, though Warren is great with the college educated crown and white voters. Still, overall, Biden is in the lead.
It remains to be seen if Iowa and New Hampshire bring about a change in the other states.
Warren is rising, but Biden is still solid.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LincolnRossiter
(560 posts)say that Warren pulling even or ahead in 4-5 polls over the past couple of weeks is indicative of a tightening. Biden isn't down that much. She's just up. But I think the stories of her momentum and inevitability are way overblown. If she were really pulling ahead the polls would look more like they do after a candidate gets a good post convention bounce. Or like Kamala did after the first debate. Basically taking a lead in every or nearly every poll. Instead she's pulling close, tying, or going ahead 1-3 points in a few polls while losing in most others--including by double digits in several.
I think she's running a great campaign but am not sold on the fundamental strength of her candidacy. Not close.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Thekaspervote
(32,757 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UncleNoel
(864 posts)Bless her heart, but Biden is my bet.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ritapria
(1,812 posts)Biden 31% Warren 17% Bernie 16 %
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
UncleNoel
(864 posts)I would like to see Biden stronger in Iowa and New Hampshire. Will be watching those state polls.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
UncleNoel
(864 posts)538 gives Zogby a B rating.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
saljr1
(273 posts)I still believe as I said months ago, Warren will will be nominee and will kick shitler's ass in debates and will win.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Response to UncleNoel (Original post)
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