Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumBoth Biden and Warren Do Well with White Working Class
Both Biden and Warren Do Well with White Working Class
September 27, 2019 at 12:23 pm EDT By Taegan Goddard207 Comments
https://politicalwire.com/2019/09/27/both-biden-and-warren-do-well-with-white-working-class/
"SNIP.....
A new Democracy Corps (D) survey finds Democrats have two electable candidates at the moment Joe Biden (leads by 8 points) and Elizabeth Warren (leads by 7), with Bernie Sanders at the edge (5 percent).
One of the reasons both Biden and Warren are proving to be electable is the surprising result with white working class voters. While Biden has more of a working class base in the Democratic primary, the 2020 election is being shaped by bigger forces. In this combined sample of white working class women (643 respondents), Biden loses by 9 points (50 to 41 percent) and Warren by 10 (51 to 41 percent). Both are gains on 2018 and a dramatic shift from 2016. That means the 13-point shift to the Democrats in the off-year has continued another 4 points now.
They both lose to Trump among white working class men (combined sample of 562) by a much bigger margin 31 points and 33 points respectively. As daunting as that appears, the trend with men is encouraging as well. Democrats gained 14 points in 2018 and Biden would take those gains 3 points further. Warren holds the 2018 gains, as there is no evidence of working class voters going back to the 2016 Trump margins.
Key takeaway: Both Biden and Warren perform comparably with the white working class, and both make impressive gains with the women. That may be the unfolding story in the 2020 elections.
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primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
MarcA
(2,195 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Bradshaw3
(7,490 posts)In spite of data-less claims to the contrary. Basically, she and Biden are in a statistical tie here.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ritapria
(1,812 posts)Hell, the Exit polls showed Hillary winning WI 48.2 % to 44.5% for Trump , winning Pa 50.5% to 46.1% for Trump .
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided