Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumMy crystal ball on Bernie and Mayor Pete
For several months now, I have thought that our decision would and should come down to a choice between Biden or Warren. I think they both well represent the two wings of our party and I think either would beat Trump.
However, I dont see the field clearing to give them a one on one battle at least until after Super Tuesday and probably not even then. Bernie has a rock solid base of 15-20% and Mayor Pete is flush with cash.
The only fly in my progosticative ointment would be if either Biden or Warren swept 🧹 all 4 or even 3-4 of the early primaries. But, I dont see that happening.
What I do see happening is that if a candidate doesnt make the December debate, they will probably have to drop out. So we may only have 5-6 on the ballot in Iowa. Would be very interesting to see where those 3-4% candidates followers move.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
beastie boy
(9,229 posts)I clearly have my preference, but I cannot not venture to predict a winner. Not too long ago Harris was favorite to surpass Bernie and even Warren. Not too long ago Biden was consistently 15-20 points ahead of anyone else. Not too long ago Buttigieg was just a funny name. The chess pieces are moving, and that's what makes it interesting.
It is safe to say that alliances will be made between candidates, including top candidates. This will probably define the field more than the candidates who drop out, but I agree, it is not likely to happen until Super Tuesday. A lot also depends on how Republican candidates will do on Super Tuesday, and on the implications the outcomes of the GOP races, especially for Senate republicans, will have on Trump's impeachment and conviction prospects after the pressure of being "primaried" is lifted off the GOP candidates. This will certainly impact the democratic race, although I don't know how.
I've got my popcorn ready!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ritapria
(1,812 posts)That is what makes this race so fascinating to observe .In 2016 Hillary was the overwhelming favorite to win .
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
ritapria
(1,812 posts)Liz would make a fine President ...I am concerned she won't be able to defeat Trump
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
UniteFightBack
(8,231 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Funtatlaguy
(10,862 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
cwydro
(51,308 posts)Why dont you think she can?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
iwannaknow
(210 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
beastie boy
(9,229 posts)towards the end of the race.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden