A whole bunch of state primary polls from NYT/Sienna

[beastie boy]

North Carolina Democratic Presidential Primary--- Biden 29, Warren 15, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 1, Harris 1, Yang 0, O'Rourke 2, Klobuchar 0, Booker 1, Castro, Gabbard 1--- Biden +14

Michigan Democratic Presidential Primary--- Biden 30, Sanders 17, Warren 21, Buttigieg 3, Harris 0, Booker 0, Yang 1, Gabbard 1, Klobuchar 1--- Biden +9

Arizona Democratic Primary--- Biden 24, Sanders 16, Warren 15, Buttigieg 5, Harris 3, Yang 1, Klobuchar 1, Gabbard 0, O'Rourke 0--- Biden +8

Florida Democratic Presidential Primary--- Biden 27, Warren 19, Sanders 13, Buttigieg 5, Harris 1, Messam, Klobuchar 2, O'Rourke 0, Gabbard 1--- Biden +8

Wisconsin Democratic Primary--- Biden 23, Warren 25, Sanders 20, Buttigieg 5, Harris 1, Yang 2, Klobuchar 0, Gabbard 1, Booker 1, O'Rourke 1--- Warren +2

Pennsylvania Democratic Presidential Primary --- Biden 28, Warren 16, Sanders 14, Buttigieg 4, Bennet, Klobuchar 1, Gabbard 0, Harris 1, Yang 2, Booker 0--- Biden +12



What jumped out at me was Sanders below 15% in North Carolina, Florida and Pennsylvania.

[Demsrule86]

1. These polls were delayed so Warren could have a she's leading Wisconsin moment...by two points

within the margin of error too. NYT in the tank for Warren...but they couldn't hide the truth forever.

[ritapria]

2. Bernie has had about a 3% bounce in national polls since these polls were taken

[crazytown]

4. Indeed

[crazytown]

3. 13%, 14% well with MOE 4.5%

[beastie boy]

8. That's good news for Biden

Outside Wisconsin, where he is within MOE of the leader, his numbers are well above MOE

[crazytown]

9. Agreed

"The polls are what the polls are"

[Thekaspervote]

5. Thx for posting!! Biden is either retaking leads or adding to existing leads...

[Demsrule86]

14. Or both things are true...K&R

[George II]

6. Good thing Biden didn't drop out like many were clamoring for last weekend. Whew!

[crazytown]

10. ?

The only one wanting Biden to drop out is trump.

[George II]

16. We saw a pack of BS supporters here claiming his cAmPaIgN wAs OvEr, He ShOuLd DrOp OuT.

[Cha]

15. lol.. like the stupid The Nation's plea?

The Nation: Joe Biden: An Anti-Endorsement

https://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1287&pid=338527

[Indykatie]

7. This is Why Polls at the National Level Are Misleading On the Candidates' Position in Race

Once voting starts in SC the only candidates picking up any substantial earned delegates may be Biden, Warren and Sanders because of the 15% vote threshold rule. Based on this polling even Bernie is at risk in some states. I'm surprised Sienna didn't poll SC since it's the first contest with a decent amount of delegates and also the first contest that mirrors the diversity of the Dem party.

[Tarheel_Dem]

12. "What jumped out at me was Sanders below 15% in North Carolina, Florida and Pennsylvania."

Doesn't surprise me in the least. Sanders did not do well in the Southeast last time, and that hasn't changed. It's purely anecdotal, but I don't know anyone personally who supports Sanders.

[judeling]

13. Still to many

That this is not much more then noise. The field remains to fluid yet.
I'll really start to pay attention the week after Thanksgiving. We may be able to glean something then.

[UniteFightBack]

17. We need to win the swing states and Joe is our best shot I believe and Dumps smear campaign

against him MUST NOT WORK. Everybody should be RALLYING around Joe.

[question everything]

18. I wonder whether these polls should include Trump

How well each is doing against Trump