Hofstra poll: Suburban voters prefer Dems over Trump, narrowly (Biden polling best)

[highplainsdem]

Hofstra University did a national poll, both GE and primary polling, and looked especially closely at the numbers for the suburbs.

Overall, the GE poll showed Biden beating Trump by 3 points, Sanders beating him by 2, and Warren tied with Trump.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/

But when just the surburban vote was considered:

https://www.newsday.com/news/nation/hofstra-presidential-poll-trump-1.38555526

In hypothetical general election matchups, former Vice President Joe Biden had a 6.6-percentage point advantage over Trump in the suburbs, Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont had a 3-percentage point edge and Sen. Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts led by 0.4 percentage points, according to the poll released Thursday.

Among suburbanites, 52.7 percent disapproved of the job Trump is doing as president while 47.3 percent approved. Suburban women — a critical subset courted by both parties — disapproved of Trump’s job performance by a higher rate: about 56 percent.

“There is an opening for Democrats,” said Craig Burnett, a Hofstra University associate professor of political science and a designer of the poll. “It really just matters who the Democrats nominate and if they choose somebody who’s close to suburban voters on the issues.”

As for their primary polling:

In the contest for the Democratic nomination, Biden led among likely Democratic voters overall with 27.5 percent, Warren was next with 26.6 percent, Sanders had 12.3 percent and South Bend, Indiana, Mayor Pete Buttigieg had 8.1 percent. No other Democratic candidate scored above 5 percent.

Biden and Warren were tied among suburban Democrats at 27.5 percent each. Democrats in the suburbs backed Sanders by 13.3 percent and Buttigieg by 7.7 percent. No other Democratic candidate scored above 3 percent.

Since Biden and Warren are tied in primary polling among suburban Dems, while he does 6 points better than Warren against Trump in the suburbs, that suggests Biden would pick up independents and maybe some Republicans Warren couldn't win over.

[AJT]

1. Many wealthy suburban voters are self serving "libertarians" who endlessly rant about "those people"

stealing their tax dollars by cheating the government when they should be pulling themselves up by thier bootstraps. A large number bath themselves in faux news. They claim to be Christians while voting for cuts to medicaid and foodstamp programs and send their children to private schools while voting for school choice vouchers that suck money out of public schools.
Getting a majority of suburban voters to vote for a Democrat is going to be tough. There are a number of suburban areas that are true blue, I live in one outside of Madison WI, but most are quite red.

[question everything]

2. The suburban voters, many previously voted Republicans, are the ones that flipped

the house in 2018. Let's not forget this.

[highplainsdem]

3. We need as many of those voters as we can get, especially in swing states.

[DrToast]

4. And they vote all the time

If they can be reliably Democratic voters, that would go a long way in eliminating weakness in midterms, as shown in 2018.

[highplainsdem]

5. Very good point!

[Cha]

6. KR!