Bill Richardson, appearing on Smerconish, predicted a brokered convention

[question everything]

no link, just heard it on his program. I don't know that the show provides transcripts.

[evertonfc]

1. I don't see it

it would be to decisive at such a late point. Having friends that are political operatives in a number of campaigns- only Sanders would probably relish a brokered convention. It would be ugly.

[judeling]

2. The dynamics of the nomination process argues against it.

Beat Trump and get on with it.
That is the overwhelming dynamic. The most likely model to consider is 2004.
Iowa could settle it but most likely pare the field and probably determine the "Moderate" candidate.
New Hampshire could settle it but probably just collapse the "Progressive" lane.
Nevada and South Carolina will confirm and Super Tuesday will settle it.

[Wellstone ruled]

3. At this time,

sure looking that way.

[left-of-center2012]

4. As a New Mexican ...

I am no fan of Richardson since his hit and run auto incident.

Ex-governor Richardson pleads no contest in hit-and-run case (May 27, 2016)

Former Gov. Bill Richardson pleaded no contest on Friday to one count in a hit-and-run case. But unlike the typical defendant in Santa Fe Municipal Court, Richardson was allowed to phone in his plea ...

Richardson agreed to complete a defensive driving course, pay $56 in court costs and write a letter of apology to the other driver. As part of his plea agreement, the two-term Democratic governor and one-time presidential candidate pleaded no contest to failing to give immediate notice of an accident.

According to a police report, the driver of an Acura told officers she stopped at the four-way stop about 8 a.m. when the former governor drove into her vehicle from behind. The woman told police Richardson hit her a second time “hard enough” that it “pushed her into the intersection,” the report says. The woman saw Richardson’s Jeep continue north on Paseo de Peralta, fleeing the accident, according to the report.

“Did I hit somebody?” Richardson later asked when interviewed by police, the incident report says. “It popped a little bit, but I think it was just a little hit. I failed to notice her vehicle suffered damage,” he said of the other driver.

https://www.santafenewmexican.com/news/local_news/ex-governor-richardson-pleads-no-contest-in-hit-and-run/article_8f7af772-9031-5b30-8322-8a294a8bf998.html

[PoindexterOglethorpe]

5. The likelihood of a brokered convention

is infinitesimally small.

Candidates are already dropping out, and we'll probably be down to two, at the most three after the first two primaries.

Every single election cycle that I can recall (other than when the President is being renominated) people gleefully predict a brokered convention. It really hasn't been close in over 60 years.

[rusty fender]

6. Do you mean the Epstein Ranch visitor Bill Richardson

[loyalsister]

7. That's disappointing

Speculative commentary dressed jump as political expertise contributes nothing positive to this process. The media's quest for controversy is toxic.