Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumJulin Castro: If Democrats Don't Elevate Voters of Color, 'Why Are We Democrats in the First Place"
WASHINGTON Its not uncommon for struggling presidential candidates to blast their partys nominating process, especially the decision to let Iowa and New Hampshire host the all-important opening two contests of the primary campaign.
The latest candidate to take aim at Iowa and New Hampshire states with overwhelmingly white populations is Julián Castro. The Texas Democrat and former Housing and Urban Development secretary has run one of the most progressive campaigns of any Democrat in the field. He released sweeping plans to tackle immigration and police brutality. He was the first candidate to visit Puerto Rico. And hes built his message around elevating the voices of the marginalized and the poor, visiting homeless encampments in underground drainage tunnels in Las Vegas and touring a jail in Washington, D.C., to highlight criminal justice reform efforts.
Yet Castro, 45, has struggled to break out since he announced his presidential bid almost a year ago. He registered in the single digits in recent polls, announced a last-ditch fundraising blitz to keep his campaign running, and failed to qualify for the November debate. Despite saying in a fundraising email that missing the debate would mean the end of my campaign, Castro isnt going away. And hes taking aim at his own party.
Last week, Castro, the sole Latino in the 2020 Democratic field, railed against Iowa and New Hampshires coveted first and second slots on the primary calendar, calling it antiquated and out of sync with an increasingly diverse party. In a rare joint op-ed, the two chairmen of the Iowa Democratic and Republican parties fired back at Castro. Iowas first-in-the-nation status isnt about party affiliation or identity politics, they wrote. Its about the uniqueness of retail politics, and its ability to get the future president to connect with Americans in a way few primaries can.
https://www.rollingstone.com/politics/politics-features/julian-castro-iowa-caucus-new-hampshire-primary-913971/
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TidalWave46
(2,061 posts)But its pretty messed up that our minority candidates have to face these states first. Seems like systemic oppression to me.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)But the fact that the Iowa and New Hampshire voters have such a disproportionate say in the future of all of the candidates in the primary make this extremely unfair.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oldsoftie
(12,521 posts)And one of the few times they did it was Obama.
But everyone on the losing end of something always needs something else to blame it on
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)Iowa and New Hampshire do indeed tend to pick the eventual nominee - nothing rare about it.
The winner of the Iowa caucuses went on to win the nomination in 7 of the last 9 primaries, beginning with Jimmy Carter in 1976. Five of the last 9 nominees carried New Hampshire. Only once in the last 43 years did the eventual nominee not win either Iowa or New Hampshire. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-much-do-iowa-and-new-hampshire-really-matter-for-2020/amp/
As I said, Iowa and New Hampshire have a disproportionate influence. Candidates who do well there get a boost. Those who do poorly are usually forever handicapped.
FYI, since I don't have a favorite candidate, your snide accusation doesn't apply to me
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
oldsoftie
(12,521 posts)And yes, my facts were wrong; from an incorrect site.
But Neither state delivers many delegates. What they DO deliver is media. So it really wouldnt matter WHICH state they were in. Nobody heard of Buttegeig, now he's winning Iowa. Biden isnt going to win Iowa, but he'll be far ahead by Super Tuesday.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TidalWave46
(2,061 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
msongs
(67,381 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)What a relief!
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
msongs
(67,381 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
StarfishSaver
(18,486 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)Maybe democratic primary voters are just not into him.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
onetexan
(13,033 posts)Working on cohesive, simple messaging woupd also help. Good practice for future elections.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BootinUp
(47,136 posts)In terms of my interest in seeing him do well. I really think hes turned out to be bottom tier worthy.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Tarheel_Dem
(31,228 posts)that Biden was past it. He could have found many ways to take on Biden, but the snark got him some attention, but not the right kind. I once thought he'd be a great #2. Not so much anymore, but he's right about IA & NH.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden