Warren almost even with Sanders in UI mock caucus Friday

[MH1]

Sorry if this was already posted, and yes I changed the headline. I think it is notable that the students were almost evenly divided between Warren and Sanders. Because a lot has been made of the enthusiasm of younger voters for Sanders .. but in my real life experience with young Democratic activists, my sense is the lean this year is to Warren.

We'll see how well they turn out for the real caucus. Go Liz!

https://dailyiowan.com/2020/01/31/bernie-sanders-narrowly-wins-ui-mock-caucus-over-elizabeth-warren-and-andrew-yang/

Emphasis added.

...

Both the Sanders and the Warren campaigns drew large groups of potential first-time caucusgoers, gathering in opposite corners of the room.

The Sanders campaign narrowly won out in the end, with a final total of 74 likely caucusgoers to Warren’s 70. Andrew Yang came in third place with 52 caucusgoers, leaving the three candidates viable after the first alignment.

...

Amy Klobuchar, Joe Biden, Tulsi Gabbard and Pete Buttigieg were all unviable after the first alignment.

UI fourth-year Jacob Gordon caucused undecided on the first round, but was swayed by the Warren campaign. He said the experience of caucusing was overwhelming, but he feels more prepared for Monday evening after having made a decision on which candidate to support.

“I really wanted to hear people’s personal reasons for why they chose a certain candidate and I wanted to feel the passion that they would have for [a candidate], and that’s how I ended up choosing Warren,” Gordon said.

...

[Docreed2003]

1. It won't surprise me at all

If Warren pulls the "upset" win

[Scurrilous]

2. Enthusiasm for Bernie among students is usually inverse to their degree of education in civics.

Just an observation.

[Baclava]

3. We got a strong ground game in Iowa, go Liz! Dream big, fight hard!

[Scurrilous]

4. ...

[Amimnoch]

5. Senator Warren is hands down the superior candidate.

And I absolutely do not believe into Bernies statement that a woman can't win the Presidency at all.

[MH1]

6. Absolutely she is the better candidate of the two.

I think there are some people who will not vote for a woman, some who will not vote for a gay candidate, some who will not vote for a minority candidate (or the "wrong" minority, in some cases). There are some who probably would not vote for a candidate from California ("the left coast", the "fruit and nut state" as I heard growing up), or Massachusetts ("Taxachusetts", sigh).

Biden covers all the bases of "no offense to the blatantly prejudiced" but I don't think most of those prejudices comprise a very significant slice of the population, when you account for the group that will never ever ever vote for a Democrat anyway.

I think the slice that won't vote for an avowed "Socialist" is much larger and the effect for Sanders is amplified by his accent and mannerisms. To some extent unfairly, but he could literally "tone it down". I don't know why he acts so oblivious ... unless he is oblivious.