Sanders Surges in Texas, Leads Among Dems: Poll

[OliverQ]

https://www.usnews.com/news/elections/articles/2020-02-14/bernie-sanders-surges-in-texas-leads-among-democrats-poll

[OliverQ]

1. While it's still unlikely, with over 1 million new voters since

2018 elections, Texas could be in play. If someone could win Texas, Republicans are finished.

[TexasTowelie]

2. I don't believe that they released the cross-tabs on this poll.

It was an Internet survey and 538 rates the poll as B/C. The margin of error is also 4.09%.

I think that Biden has a better chance at winning in Texas than Bernie though.

[bluewater]

4. That's a decent rating and typical margin of error.

The polls are what the polls are.

[TexasTowelie]

5. I suspect that the sample is overweighted with young voters

who typically do not turn out to vote. I believe that the sample indicated registered voters rather than likely voters. We'll see if this poll is accurate or an outlier.

[Nanjeanne]

6. Here is the data you are looking for.

https://static.texastribune.org/media/files/cec848fe193c737af94db49a047028d8/ut-tt-2020-02-summary-1.pdf?_ga=2.179230564.1718521915.1581808847-1074035563.1581808847


AGE. Please indicate your age group.

1. 18-29 10%
2. 30-44 25
3. 45-64 37
4. 65andup 20

35% 44 and under

57% 45 and above.

Only 10% of if was 18-29 but 20% was over 65.

Hope this helps.

[TexasTowelie]

7. Thank you.

I'll look through them later.

[Nanjeanne]

8. I posted the age answer to your question in my post.

The rest of the data is fascinating as well.

[TexasTowelie]

9. The age information that you provided summed up to 92%.

What's up with that? Did 8% choose not to respond?

[Nanjeanne]

10. Maybe. Go to the link. They mention that the #s may not add up to 100 but I didn't really

focus on it.

There are soooooo many different questions.

[TexasTowelie]

11. So if the demographics of 8% are unknown,

I think that somewhat effects the 4.09% MOE claim for the survey.

I haven't seen any evidence of Bernie signs, bumper stickers, etc. and there was one barnstorming event here on MLK weekend. One of the bands in Austin that I follow on Facebook decided that they supported Bernie and they received lukewarm comments. I also follow two Democratic groups on Facebook and there isn't any Bernie surge there either.

[Skya Rhen]

12. How do you think Bloomberg will fare in Texas?

[TexasTowelie]

13. I don't think that he will make the 15% threshold for viability.

I'm thinking that he will pull 7%-8% at this point. Of course, the debates will have a significant effect to see how well he thinks off the cuff.

[Skya Rhen]

16. Wow... Does the endorsement of Sylvester Turner count for much?

[TexasTowelie]

17. I don't think that endorsement will mean very much,

but I don't think many endorsements are meaningful.

[Skya Rhen]

18. Thanks for your insight.

[Hassin Bin Sober]

3. Oh my

[TomCADem]

14. Bernie Sanders Sponsored the Texas Low-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal Compact Consent Act

I guess Texas is fine about Bernie's sponsorship of a bill to allow nuclear waste from Vermont to be dumped in Texas near a Latino Community:

Texas Low-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal Compact Consent Act - Grants the consent of the Congress to the Texas Low-Level Radioactive Waste Disposal Compact entered into by the States of Maine, Texas, and Vermont. Declares that such consent is granted: (1) subject to the provisions of the Low-Level Radioactive Waste Policy Act; and (2) only for so long as the regional commission established in the Compact complies with all provisions of such Act. Authorizes the Congress to modify or repeal this Act with respect to the Compact after expiration of the ten-year period following the date of enactment of this Act, and at intervals thereafter as provided in the Compact.

Bernie ignored requests by activists from Texas to visit the dumping area to see how they were impacted:

https://archives.texasobserver.org/issue/1998/09/11#page=11

[BlueIdaho]

15. Texas has been

The Democrats great white whale.