Biden campaign predicts Texas upset over Sanders

[honest.abe]

Texas is crucial to Biden’s effort to make the Democratic primary a one-on-one contest against frontrunner Bernie Sanders, who’s expected to win the biggest state of all on Super Tuesday, California.

“I expect to win Texas,” boasted Cristobal Alex, a senior adviser to Biden and native of El Paso, Texas. “The polls don’t account for results in South Carolina, which are game-changing. ...This is more than anything a numbers game and it’s about math.”

--snip--

Sanders made a swing through the Lone Star State after dominating in Nevada Feb. 20 -- right as early voting started, making prognosticators in the state predict those numbers will favor Sanders.

However, three-quarters of the electorate that cast early ballots are over the age of 40 according to Ryan Data & Research, a Texas political analytics firm that tracks early votes. That could be an advantage for Biden, who generally polls well with middle-aged and older voters.

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/03/03/biden-texas-sanders-super-tuesday-119207

I think Biden wins TX by 10+ pts. The rally last night and Beto's big endorsement are huge. Biden's campaign is running on all cylinders at the moment. Sanders is stuck in 2nd gear.

[Peacetrain]

1. From your lips to Gods' ears honest.abe!!

[still_one]

2. I don't think it is wise to make such predictions from the campaign

[honest.abe]

3. Unless they are very sure.

Which I suspect they are.

[still_one]

4. They better be, or they will look very foolish. I hope they are right. There are reports that

Texas has closed a number of polling places where many African Americans live


https://www.democraticunderground.com/1287617609

[honest.abe]

5. Indeed. Failing to meet expectations is a killer.

I think they are trying generate additional enthusiasm.. like a "jump on band-wagon" effect.

[still_one]

7. That is a reasonable strategy. Enthusiasm is a positive motivation

[The_Counsel]

6. I Dunno About "10+ pts," But I'll Definitely Take a Win. Even If by 0.5.

Having more delegates than anyone else running? Sold: American!

If Biden can pull TX and at least get SOMEWHAT close in CA he would be in what we describe in my neighborhood as "the Cat Bird Seat."

If Warren and/or Bloomberg are also viable, all the better....