Democratic Primaries
Related: About this forumIs anyone else becoming completely skeptical of polls?
I will grant I am not the political junkie that many of you are, but all I've heard this entire winter is Bernie Bernie Bernie ahead in the polls.
Double digits.
No one close.
How is this happening?
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Codeine
(25,586 posts)in polls. They dont stay undecided forever, and when they break they sometimes break hard.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
TwilightZone
(25,464 posts)538 also noted that and said that anything between then and now was a big guessing game, including their projections.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hoyt
(54,770 posts)primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
beachbumbob
(9,263 posts)I never place much value in them
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
emmaverybo
(8,144 posts)Bernie influenced by portraying Biden as anti-immigration. Biden was way front-running for almost a year. True, MSM has been positively hostile to him, so when he slipped they erased him.
Hes back where the most qualified, experienced, job-specific knowledgeable candidate should be.
He has the broadest appeal and staked out themes that are finally being echoed by the public because of the SC success.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Hortensis
(58,785 posts)behind the lone front runner, Biden, never able to break out, and then suddenly within less than a month their positions reversed with Sanders bizarrely double digits ahead and Biden in third and fourth place?
Oh, yes. Deja vu all over again for the 2016 GE with Trump and Hillary when the polls suddenly went crazy after over a year of all polls showing Hillary far ahead and bringing the senate and house along on her coattails.
I also know that pollsters failed for years to ask the questions, or offer the analysis, that should have shown that most Democrats want strong action (not revolution!), so Democratic candidates offered the bland nothing pollsters said voters wanted, with devastating, devastating effects on turnout.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
LongtimeAZDem
(4,494 posts)than the polls will reflect.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Jamastiene
(38,187 posts)At least, since 2000, I have been skeptical of them. They seem to get more and more off as years go by.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Blue_true
(31,261 posts)They have not figured out how to get past cellphones having callerID by name when people program in known numbers. I don't answer unknown numbers, and my guess is a lot of cell users don't either.
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden