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Democratic Primaries
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Congratulations to our presumptive Democratic nominee, Joe Biden!
538's forecast now has Biden with a 90% chance of having a majority of delegates
The chance of no one having a majority is down to 8%.
Sanders still at a 2% chance of having a majority.
Current delegate estimate, as of their 8:37 am ET update, is Biden 2301, Sanders 1475.
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2020-primary-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
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538's forecast now has Biden with a 90% chance of having a majority of delegates (Original Post)
highplainsdem
Mar 2020
OP
He was at 2290 and 1476 when I went to bed, up 11 for Biden and down 1 for Sanders overnight.
George II
Mar 2020
#2
"Sanders still at a 2% chance of having a majority." -- Next week it will be skim.
NurseJackie
Mar 2020
#3
I think there's a realistic possibility Biden could sweep all 6 states next Tuesday
BidenBacker
Mar 2020
#11
samnsara
(17,570 posts)1. i just want it to be Nov now.. i can stand another minute of trump*
..America cant take it..
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
George II
(67,782 posts)2. He was at 2290 and 1476 when I went to bed, up 11 for Biden and down 1 for Sanders overnight.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)3. "Sanders still at a 2% chance of having a majority." -- Next week it will be skim.
Sanders still at a 2% chance of having a majority.
Next week it will be skim.
No wonder the Sanders campaign and all those associated with it have been cranky and grumpy. The TRUTH is beginning to sink in. They can see the same polling that we do. They read about the same endorsements that we read about.
That helps to explain the dirty tricks we've seen the past couple of days. Lies. Smears. Attacks. Innuendo. Denigrating. Insults.
Is this a preview of what a Sanders administration would have been like?
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
texasfiddler
(1,986 posts)4. The 538 percentages are very fluid
They are accurate for today, but not tomorrow.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
bearsfootball516
(6,369 posts)5. Tuesday can't come fast enough
Joe likely puts the primary on ice on Tuesday with a dominating win in Michigan.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
BidenBacker
(1,089 posts)11. I think there's a realistic possibility Biden could sweep all 6 states next Tuesday
Maybe Bernie will drop out when Joe gets to a 120% chance of getting the nomination on 538.
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
still_one
(91,937 posts)6. I hope so. The 10th and 17th will tell the story I think
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
honest.abe
(8,556 posts)7. My how things have changed!
Joes got this!
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
NCProgressive
(1,315 posts)8. Boom!!! KnR
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
Moderateguy
(945 posts)9. This explains why the Sanders' campaign is in full meltdown mode
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided
4now
(1,596 posts)10. No wonder we are seeing so much from desperation from Sanders surrogates
If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden