Democratic Primaries

highplainsdem

(48,910 posts) Mon Mar 9, 2020, 10:20 AM Mar 2020

538's delegate projection has Biden gaining 53 delegates over Sanders tomorrow, 140 on 3/17

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Our mean projection has Biden gaining 53 delegates (note: very wide confidence interval) on Sanders in tomorrow's primaries.

That's not great for Bern but the bigger problem is the FL/OH/AZ/IL primaries on 3/17, where Biden is set to gain 140 delegates.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

7 replies

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538's delegate projection has Biden gaining 53 delegates over Sanders tomorrow, 140 on 3/17 (Original Post) highplainsdem Mar 2020 OP

a consrvative project as well. Sanders is walking dead, but he aint getting out of it beachbumbob Mar 2020 #1

and the count in cali continues to narrow.... getagrip_already Mar 2020 #2

3/17 is when Bernie becomes no longer plausible Renew Deal Mar 2020 #3

Question DownriverDem Mar 2020 #4

Because I am Renew Deal Mar 2020 #5

Fair enough... we don;t have a primary here until May. Happy Hoosier Mar 2020 #6

K&R Tarheel_Dem Mar 2020 #7

beachbumbob

(9,263 posts)

1. a consrvative project as well. Sanders is walking dead, but he aint getting out of it

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Mar 9, 2020, 10:22 AM

Mar 2020

as long as he has money to throw away, remember he wasted $220 MIILLION to lose in 2016. Not the kind of manager of money I would have faith in

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

getagrip_already

(14,618 posts)

2. and the count in cali continues to narrow....

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Mar 9, 2020, 10:26 AM

Mar 2020

Now only a 42 delegate gain, down from almost 60 on election night. Still a lot of votes left to count, and they are biden rich.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Renew Deal

(81,845 posts)

3. 3/17 is when Bernie becomes no longer plausible

Reply to highplainsdem (Original post)

Mon Mar 9, 2020, 10:28 AM

Mar 2020

That's where a reasonable person would drop out to allow the party to focus on the GE.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided

DownriverDem

(6,226 posts)

4. Question

Reply to Renew Deal (Reply #3)

Mon Mar 9, 2020, 10:31 AM

Mar 2020

How can you be undecided with the comment you made?

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Joe Biden

Renew Deal

(81,845 posts)

5. Because I am

Reply to DownriverDem (Reply #4)

Mon Mar 9, 2020, 10:33 AM

Mar 2020

I vote in April. I will vote for Biden if both are still running. If not, I will probably vote for someone that dropped out. It's a head vs. heart problem. Biden was not my first choice. I also try to be fair.

If I were to vote in a presidential
primary today, I would vote for: Undecided