New Michigan poll (Monmouth): Biden 51 (+15), Sanders 36

[brooklynite]

Biden Holds Primary Lead; Dems Have Edge in General

West Long Branch, NJ – Joe Biden holds a lead over Bernie Sanders in the crucial Michigan primary contest according to the Monmouth (“Mon-muth”) University Poll. The poll also finds both Democrats with a slight edge over President Donald Trump in hypothetical general election matchups.

Among Michigan voters who are likely to participate in the Democratic primary tomorrow, support currently stands at 51% for Biden and 36% for Sanders. Another 1% back Tulsi Gabbard, 6% say they will vote for a slate of uncommitted delegates, and 2% are undecided. The remainder support one of the candidates who have recently dropped out of the race. This latter group comes almost entirely from the 17% of likely primary voters who have already sent in an absentee ballot.

Biden leads Sanders among both white voters (50% to 36%) and voters of other races (53% to 36%). Biden is winning voters age 50 and over (62% to 24% for Sanders) by a larger margin than Sanders is winning those under 50 years old (49% to 38% for Biden). Women prefer Biden to Sanders (53% to 33%), while men prefer Sanders (49% to 39% for Biden). Michigan does not have party registration, but the poll finds Biden with a strong lead among self-described Democrats (59% to 30% for Sanders), while voters who call themselves independents or Republicans are split between Sanders (44%) and Biden (41%).

“Biden appears to have the advantage because he is doing well among some groups that Sanders won four years ago. But as we learned in 2016, Michigan can defy expectations,” said Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute. The 2016 Michigan Democratic primary is considered to be the biggest polling miss of that cycle. Polls released in the week before the state primary showed Hillary Clinton with anywhere from a 10 to 27 point lead – Monmouth’s poll had her up by 13 points – but Sanders ended up winning the contest by just over a percentage point.

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_MI_030920/

[NurseJackie]

1. DEVASTATING! What a blow to the Sanders campaign!

Bernie needed a BIG WIN. Bernie needed a DECISIVE WIN!

Bernie is going to LOSE BIG! It will be a HUMILIATING DEFEAT!!

Bernie will be REJECTED!

It's time for Bernie to withdraw and go home.



Joe/Kamala or Biden/Harris 2020!!
Jump on the Biden Bandwagon & abandon the revolution!!

[highplainsdem]

2. Sanders is probably reminding himself that the Michigan polls were wrong four years ago, showing

Clinton well ahead, and yet he won the state by a narrow margin. But the states that have already voted show he doesn't have the same support he had four years ago, so I think he's going to lose Michigan, and probably by double digits, even if not by the 30-40% some polls have indicated.