Marquette poll: Biden leads Sanders by 28 in WI; Trump by 3

[Drunken Irishman]

The last Marquette poll had Biden and Trump tied - so, he's made some improvements.

Sanders actually trails Trump in WI by two.

Link to tweet

[DarthDem]

1. Biden 48-45 over Mr. Trump

Just to be clear. Sanders trailing by two.

[honest.abe]

2. Wisconsin will be a challenge in Nov.

If Trump wins it again we have to pick up at least one other state to replace it to win. Perhaps AZ or NC.

[Drunken Irishman]

4. No doubt. If Trump wins WI he'll be reelected.

[dsc]

5. Not necessarily he is doing worse in AZ than in WI

and has been for some time. I think we are actually more likely to win AZ than WI

[Drunken Irishman]

11. I don't and I'd hate to bank on a state that's gone blue only once in 50 years.

I remember talk of Hillary putting Arizona into play in 2016 because she was doing surprisingly well in the polls there.

In fact, from March, 2016 all the way through Ocrober, she led or tied Trump in 8 polls there.

I would not count on Arizona. It'll be a swing state but, like, say Michigan, it's one that still favors a certain party. It doesn't mean he can't win it, as Trump managed to take MI four years ago...just means it'll be very tough.

[BidenBacker]

18. My gut says you'll be pleasantly surprised

Hillary didn't lose here as badly as some people may think. AZ already has one Dem Senator and will likely have 2 next January. And we have more Dem House members than Pubbie ones.

McSally is one of the 10 most unpopular Senators and it's only gotten worse for her since the impeachment...

https://www.newsweek.com/gop-senator-susan-collins-replaces-mitch-mcconnell-senates-most-unpopular-member-poll-1482665

We rejected her in 2018 and Commander Kelly will likely make her a 2-time loser.

And a lot of folks in Arizona don't appreciate the way Drumpf treated McCain. AZ is surrounded by blue states (not counting all them conservative Mormons to the north) but methinks come November it'll blend right in on the electoral map.

[Drunken Irishman]

19. We'll see. Still don't see it, tho.

[BidenBacker]

20. Not saying to bet the house on it

Don't want you living under an overpass on top of all the other shit we're all going through.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/president/az/arizona_trump_vs_biden-6807.html

It'll probably be fairly close but not impossible, for sure.

[Drunken Irishman]

22. Def not impossible but WI is a state that still feels more favorable.

Democratic governor. Democratic AG.

Hopefully he wins both, tho, and this is moot.

[Cha]

25. Like reading your analysis.. Thanks, BB.

[Demsrule86]

9. This is why blue wall states are so important as we speak now, we have no path to the presidency

without them...Wisconsin is particularly important...even with Nevada we only get to 269 without Wisconsin.

[exboyfil]

3. How can they have so many morons in WI

and Iowa of course (my state). Are people really this stupid? We are seeing the worst executive performance in a crisis situation in history.

The discussion should be now who would be the best caretaker President to get us through this crisis. It sure ain't Trump or Pence.

[Sloumeau]

6. Biden is kicking Sanders' ass in the industrial belt.

Here's how Bernie did actually did in vote totals percentages against Hillary in Wisconsin 2016

[link:https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2016_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries|]

Hillary..........Bernie
43.1%.........56.6%

Going from 56.6% vs 43.1% in 2016 to 34% vs 62% in 2020 represents a 22.6% drop for Bernie from 2016 and a 22.9% Increase for Joe over Hillary in 2016. That is a 45.5% swing in total. Biden is crushing Sanders compared to 2016.

[BidenBacker]

13. Plus WI is over 80% white

Bernie not even holding on to his palefaces.

Biden seems to be building a coalition that is just as strong if not stronger than Obama's. Might be slightly lower in AA support (but not by much from the looks of things) and maybe a little less among younger voters but appears to be pulling in more older folks and white blue-collar middle class types.

Bodes well going forward, even if WI is still screwed up. There are maybe half a dozen other purple swing states that could easily step up and replace them if they don't come to their senses.

[BidenBacker]

7. WTF is wrong with WI?

Think the cheese those Green Bay fans wear on their heads at Packers games has seeped into their brains.

[murielm99]

10. So have the beer and brats.

I have family and friends there. They are all Democrats.

[BidenBacker]

14. WI

is in many ways the birthplace of progressivism long ago. I hate to see a state like that slip over to the Dark Side.

But I still got faith WI will pull through in the end and do the right thing in November. Just a lot closer than it really should be given the choices.

[comradebillyboy]

8. "Nearly every non-Sanders voter rushed to Biden in one of Sanders's best 2016 states".

I remember when all the polls told me Sanders was everybody's second choice. What happened?

[Sloumeau]

12. They got to know "Kentucky Fried Brain" Sanders a little better? :) nt

[peggysue2]

17. I remember that, too!

I mean really. What happened?

[OrlandoDem2]

15. Hillary didn't campaign much in WI. Biden better campaign like our lives depend on it.

Plus, the DNC needs a massive, well-funded, and well-organized GOTV in Milwaukee this time.

[BidenBacker]

16. Spot on

Of course, if you could deliver your Florida for us then we won't need to nail-bite over Wisconsin.

Looks pretty iffy there right now but not impossible for a state that voted for Obama not once but twice.

[OrlandoDem2]

24. I hear you. I'm doing my part.

[Tetrachloride]

21. Wisconsin is a challenge because national leaders do not take Wisconsin seriously.

1. I have not seen a single Facebook ad by Joe or related PAC or anti-Trump PAC or issue oriented. Nothing.

(I don't watch broadcast television nor cable TV, so I can be wrong on the extent of neglect.

2. .. rather than rant at what I have not seen, perhaps some members can post what they have seen.

[Gothmog]

23. According to Harry Enten, sanders has no chance

Link to tweet

?s=20

[Cha]

26. The View should have Harry Enten on! TY Goth!

[Gothmog]

27. This amuses me

Link to tweet