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steve2470
steve2470's Journal
steve2470's Journal
July 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/GeoffRBennett/status/1289163999553171456
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/postal-service-backlog-sparks-worries-that-ballot-delivery-could-be-delayed-in-november/2020/07/30/cb19f1f4-d1d0-11ea-8d32-1ebf4e9d8e0d_story.html
The U.S. Postal Service is experiencing backlogs of mail after a top Trump donor running....
WaPo: The U.S. Postal Service is experiencing backlogs of mail after a top Trump donor running the agency put in place new procedures, alarming postal workers who warn that the policies could undermine their ability to deliver ballots on time.
https://twitter.com/GeoffRBennett/status/1289163999553171456
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/postal-service-backlog-sparks-worries-that-ballot-delivery-could-be-delayed-in-november/2020/07/30/cb19f1f4-d1d0-11ea-8d32-1ebf4e9d8e0d_story.html
The U.S. Postal Service is experiencing days-long backlogs of mail across the country after a top Trump donor running the agency put in place new procedures described as cost-cutting efforts, alarming postal workers who warn that the policies could undermine their ability to deliver ballots on time for the November election.
As President Trump ramps up his unfounded attacks on mail balloting as being susceptible to widespread fraud, postal employees and union officials say the changes implemented by Trump fundraiser-turned-postmaster general Louis DeJoy are contributing to a growing perception that mail delays are the result of a political effort to undermine absentee voting.
The backlog comes as the president, who is trailing presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in the polls, has escalated his efforts to cast doubt about the integrity of the November vote, which is expected to yield record numbers of mail ballots because of the coronavirus pandemic.
On Thursday, Trump floated the idea of delaying the Nov. 3 general election, a notion that was widely condemned by Democrats and Republicans alike. He has repeatedly gone after the Postal Service, recently suggesting that the agency cannot be trusted to deliver ballots.
As President Trump ramps up his unfounded attacks on mail balloting as being susceptible to widespread fraud, postal employees and union officials say the changes implemented by Trump fundraiser-turned-postmaster general Louis DeJoy are contributing to a growing perception that mail delays are the result of a political effort to undermine absentee voting.
The backlog comes as the president, who is trailing presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden in the polls, has escalated his efforts to cast doubt about the integrity of the November vote, which is expected to yield record numbers of mail ballots because of the coronavirus pandemic.
On Thursday, Trump floated the idea of delaying the Nov. 3 general election, a notion that was widely condemned by Democrats and Republicans alike. He has repeatedly gone after the Postal Service, recently suggesting that the agency cannot be trusted to deliver ballots.
July 31, 2020
"The virus had hit blue states hardest, a national plan was unnecessary..would not make sense..."
https://www.vanityfair.com/news/2020/07/how-jared-kushners-secret-testing-plan-went-poof-into-thin-airAgainst that background, the prospect of launching a large-scale national plan was losing favor, said one public health expert in frequent contact with the White House’s official coronavirus task force.
Most troubling of all, perhaps, was a sentiment the expert said a member of Kushner’s team expressed: that because the virus had hit blue states hardest, a national plan was unnecessary and would not make sense politically. “The political folks believed that because it was going to be relegated to Democratic states, that they could blame those governors, and that would be an effective political strategy,” said the expert.
That logic may have swayed Kushner. “It was very clear that Jared was ultimately the decision maker as to what [plan] was going to come out,” the expert said.
On April 27, Trump stepped to a podium in the Rose Garden, flanked by members of his coronavirus task force and leaders of America’s big commercial testing laboratories, Quest Diagnostics and LabCorp, and finally announced a testing plan: It bore almost no resemblance to the one that had been forged in late March, and shifted the problem of diagnostic testing almost entirely to individual states.
Most troubling of all, perhaps, was a sentiment the expert said a member of Kushner’s team expressed: that because the virus had hit blue states hardest, a national plan was unnecessary and would not make sense politically. “The political folks believed that because it was going to be relegated to Democratic states, that they could blame those governors, and that would be an effective political strategy,” said the expert.
That logic may have swayed Kushner. “It was very clear that Jared was ultimately the decision maker as to what [plan] was going to come out,” the expert said.
On April 27, Trump stepped to a podium in the Rose Garden, flanked by members of his coronavirus task force and leaders of America’s big commercial testing laboratories, Quest Diagnostics and LabCorp, and finally announced a testing plan: It bore almost no resemblance to the one that had been forged in late March, and shifted the problem of diagnostic testing almost entirely to individual states.
July 31, 2020
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/310854.shtml
260
WTNT34 KNHC 310854
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
Hurricane Isaias Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE
BAHAMAS...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 73.3W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SE OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas including Andros Island, New Providence,
Eleuthera, Abacos Islands, Berry Islands, Grand Bahamas Island, and
Bimini
* Southeastern Bahamas including the Acklins, Crooked Island, Long
Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands
* Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island,
Rum Cay, and San Salvador
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dominican Republic entire southern and northern coastlines
* North coast of Haiti from Le Mole St Nicholas eastward to the
northern border with the Dominican Republic
* Turks and Caicos Islands
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East coast of Florida from Ocean Reef to Sebastian Inlet
* Lake Okeechobee
Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United
States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional
watches or warnings may be required for a portion of the Florida
peninsula later today.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Isaias was located
near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 73.3 West. Isaias is moving
toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a generally
northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected
for the next couple of days followed by turn toward the
north-northwest. On the forecast track, the center of Isaias will
move near or over the Southeastern Bahamas today. Isaias is
forecast to be near the Central Bahamas tonight and move near
or over the Northwestern Bahamas and near or east of the Florida
peninsula on Saturday and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible today, and Isaias is
expected to remain a hurricane for the next few days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Isaias can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore
winds in the Bahamas.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of
the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and the Turks and Caicos this
morning. Hurricane conditions are expected to begin in the
southeastern Bahamas this morning and spread into the central and
northwestern Bahamas tonight and into Saturday.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Florida
beginning Saturday.
RAINFALL: Isaias is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Saturday:
Dominican Republic and northern Haiti: 4 to 8 inches, with isolated
maximum totals of 12 inches.
Bahamas, Turks and Caicos: 4 to 8 inches.
Cuba: 1 to 2 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 4 inches.
These rainfall amounts will lead to life-threatening flash flooding
and mudslides, as well as river flooding. Urban and small stream
flooding is expected for the U.S. Virgin Islands and Hispaniola.
From Friday night through Monday:
South Florida into east-Central Florida: 2 to 4 inches, with
isolated maximum totals of 6 inches.
These rainfall amounts could result in isolated flash and urban
flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained areas.
Heavy rains associated with Isaias may begin to affect the eastern
Carolinas by early next week. This rain could result in isolated
flash and urban flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained
areas, as well as isolated minor river flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Isaias are affecting portions of Puerto
Rico, the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands and the
southeastern Bahamas. These swells will spread along the coast of
Cuba and into the central and northwestern Bahamas later today and
along the east coast of Florida on Saturday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Tropical Storm Watches issued for a portion of the southeast Florida coast
https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1288945960547123210https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/310854.shtml
260
WTNT34 KNHC 310854
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
Hurricane Isaias Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020
...HURRICANE CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY OVER PORTIONS OF THE
BAHAMAS...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 73.3W
ABOUT 15 MI...25 KM SSW OF GREAT INAGUA ISLAND
ABOUT 385 MI...620 KM SE OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...990 MB...29.24 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Northwestern Bahamas including Andros Island, New Providence,
Eleuthera, Abacos Islands, Berry Islands, Grand Bahamas Island, and
Bimini
* Southeastern Bahamas including the Acklins, Crooked Island, Long
Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands
* Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island,
Rum Cay, and San Salvador
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dominican Republic entire southern and northern coastlines
* North coast of Haiti from Le Mole St Nicholas eastward to the
northern border with the Dominican Republic
* Turks and Caicos Islands
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East coast of Florida from Ocean Reef to Sebastian Inlet
* Lake Okeechobee
Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United
States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional
watches or warnings may be required for a portion of the Florida
peninsula later today.
A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, expected
somewhere within the warning area. A warning is typically issued
36 hours before the anticipated first occurrence of
tropical-storm-force winds, conditions that make outside
preparations difficult or dangerous. Preparations to protect life
and property should be rushed to completion.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Isaias was located
near latitude 20.9 North, longitude 73.3 West. Isaias is moving
toward the northwest near 17 mph (28 km/h), and a generally
northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected
for the next couple of days followed by turn toward the
north-northwest. On the forecast track, the center of Isaias will
move near or over the Southeastern Bahamas today. Isaias is
forecast to be near the Central Bahamas tonight and move near
or over the Northwestern Bahamas and near or east of the Florida
peninsula on Saturday and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is possible today, and Isaias is
expected to remain a hurricane for the next few days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles
(335 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 990 mb (29.24 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Isaias can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore
winds in the Bahamas.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of
the Dominican Republic, Haiti, and the Turks and Caicos this
morning. Hurricane conditions are expected to begin in the
southeastern Bahamas this morning and spread into the central and
northwestern Bahamas tonight and into Saturday.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Florida
beginning Saturday.
RAINFALL: Isaias is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Saturday:
Dominican Republic and northern Haiti: 4 to 8 inches, with isolated
maximum totals of 12 inches.
Bahamas, Turks and Caicos: 4 to 8 inches.
Cuba: 1 to 2 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 4 inches.
These rainfall amounts will lead to life-threatening flash flooding
and mudslides, as well as river flooding. Urban and small stream
flooding is expected for the U.S. Virgin Islands and Hispaniola.
From Friday night through Monday:
South Florida into east-Central Florida: 2 to 4 inches, with
isolated maximum totals of 6 inches.
These rainfall amounts could result in isolated flash and urban
flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained areas.
Heavy rains associated with Isaias may begin to affect the eastern
Carolinas by early next week. This rain could result in isolated
flash and urban flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained
areas, as well as isolated minor river flooding.
SURF: Swells generated by Isaias are affecting portions of Puerto
Rico, the Dominican Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands and the
southeastern Bahamas. These swells will spread along the coast of
Cuba and into the central and northwestern Bahamas later today and
along the east coast of Florida on Saturday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Blake
July 31, 2020
https://twitter.com/donwinslow
https://twitter.com/donwinslow/status/1289006608488439808
Don Winslow's latest film: " Trump's Evil Plan
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Don_Winslowhttps://twitter.com/donwinslow
https://twitter.com/donwinslow/status/1289006608488439808
July 31, 2020
Holy shite, Nixon 2.0/Stasi 2.0
The reporter for the article is Shane Harris. The editor of Lawfare is Benjamin Wittes. Mike Baker is the reporter for the New York Times.
DHS compiled 'intelligence reports' on journalists who published leaked documents
Source: Washington Post
The Department of Homeland Security has compiled "intelligence reports" about the work of American journalists covering protests in Portland, Ore., in what current and former officials called an alarming use of a government system meant to share information about suspected terrorists and violent actors.
Over the past week, the department's Office of Intelligence and Analysis has disseminated three Open Source Intelligence Reports to federal law enforcement agencies and others, summarizing tweets written by two journalists -- a reporter for the New York Times and the editor in chief of the blog Lawfare -- and noting they had published leaked, unclassified documents about DHS operations in Portland. The intelligence reports, obtained by The Washington Post, include written descriptions and images of the tweets and the number of times they had been liked or retweeted by others.
Some of the leaked DHS documents the journalists posted and wrote about revealed shortcomings in the department's understanding of the nature of the protests in Portland, as well as techniques that intelligence analysts have used. A memo by the department's top intelligence official, which was tweeted by the editor of Lawfare, says personnel relied on "FINTEL," an acronym for financial intelligence, as well as finished intelligence "Baseball cards" of arrested protesters to try to understand their motivations and plans. Historically, military and intelligence officials have used such cards for biographical dossiers of suspected terrorists, including those targeted in lethal drone strikes.
The DHS intelligence reports, which are unclassified, are traditionally used for sharing the department's analysis with federal law enforcement agencies, state and local officials, and some foreign governments. They are not intended to disseminate information about American citizens who have no connection to terrorists or other violent actors and who are engaged in activity protected by the First Amendment, current and former officials said.
Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/national-security/dhs-compiled-intelligence-reports-on-journalists-who-published-leaked-documents/2020/07/30/5be5ec9e-d25b-11ea-9038-af089b63ac21_story.html
Holy shite, Nixon 2.0/Stasi 2.0
The reporter for the article is Shane Harris. The editor of Lawfare is Benjamin Wittes. Mike Baker is the reporter for the New York Times.
July 30, 2020
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/302054.shtml
000
WTNT34 KNHC 302054
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Isaias Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020
...ISAIAS CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 70.6W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM WNW OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for the northwest Bahamas.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the east coast of
Florida from Ocean Reef northward to Sebastian Inlet.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dominican Republic entire southern and northern coastlines
* North coast of Haiti from Le Mole St Nicholas eastward to the
northern border with the Dominican Republic
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* Southeastern Bahamas including the Acklins, Crooked Island, Long
Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands
* Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island,
Rum Cay, and San Salvador
* Northwestern Bahamas including Andros Island, New Providence,
Eleuthera, Abacos Islands, Berry Islands, Grand Bahamas Island, and
Bimini
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East coast of Florida from Ocean Reef to Sebastian Inlet
The Tropical Storm Warnings for the central and northwest Bahamas
may be upgraded to Hurricane Warnings this evening or tonight.
Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United
States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional
watches or warnings may be required for a portion of the Florida
peninsula tonight or Friday.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Isaias was
located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 70.6 West. Isaias is
moving toward the northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h) and a
northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected
over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of
Isaias will move near the Southeastern Bahamas by late tonight.
Isaias is forecast to be near the Central Bahamas Friday night and
move near or over the Northwest Bahamas and near South Florida on
Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Isaias is
forecast to become a hurricane on Friday or Friday night.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations in the Dominican Republic is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Isaias can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore
flow in the central and northwest Bahamas. Storm surge will raise
water level by as much as 1 to 3 ft above normal tide levels in the
southeastern Bahamas.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread across
portions of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the southeastern Bahamas
and Turks and Caicos within the warning area tonight. Tropical storm
conditions are expected to begin in the central Bahamas Friday
morning and spread into the northwestern Bahamas beginning late
Friday. Hurricane conditions are expected within portions of the
the central and northwestern Bahamas Friday night and Saturday.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Florida
beginning Saturday.
RAINFALL: Isaias is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations:
Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic and northern Haiti: 4 to 8 inches,
with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches.
Bahamas, Turks and Caicos: 4 to 8 inches.
Cuba: 1 to 2 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 4 inches.
These rainfall amounts will lead to life-threatening flash flooding
and mudslides, as well as river flooding. Urban and small stream
flooding is expected for the U.S. Virgin Islands, eastern and
southwestern Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola.
Heavy rains associated with Isaias may begin to affect eastern
Florida over the weekend. This rain could result in isolated flash
and urban flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained
areas.
SURF: Swells generated by Isaias are affecting portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern
Bahamas. These swells will spread along the coast of Cuba and into
the central and northwestern Bahamas over the next day or two.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Brown
Tropical Storm Watches issued for a portion of the southeast Florida coast
https://twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1288945960547123210https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT4+shtml/302054.shtml
000
WTNT34 KNHC 302054
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Isaias Advisory Number 10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020
500 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2020
...ISAIAS CONTINUES TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...
...FORECAST TO BECOME A HURRICANE FRIDAY OR FRIDAY NIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.5N 70.6W
ABOUT 155 MI...250 KM WNW OF PUNTA CANA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM SE OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of the Bahamas has issued a Tropical Storm Warning
for the northwest Bahamas.
A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for the east coast of
Florida from Ocean Reef northward to Sebastian Inlet.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Dominican Republic entire southern and northern coastlines
* North coast of Haiti from Le Mole St Nicholas eastward to the
northern border with the Dominican Republic
* Turks and Caicos Islands
* Southeastern Bahamas including the Acklins, Crooked Island, Long
Cay, the Inaguas, Mayaguana, and the Ragged Islands
* Central Bahamas, including Cat Island, the Exumas, Long Island,
Rum Cay, and San Salvador
* Northwestern Bahamas including Andros Island, New Providence,
Eleuthera, Abacos Islands, Berry Islands, Grand Bahamas Island, and
Bimini
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* East coast of Florida from Ocean Reef to Sebastian Inlet
The Tropical Storm Warnings for the central and northwest Bahamas
may be upgraded to Hurricane Warnings this evening or tonight.
Interests elsewhere along the southeast coast of the United
States should monitor the progress of this system. Additional
watches or warnings may be required for a portion of the Florida
peninsula tonight or Friday.
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours.
For storm information specific to your area in the United
States, including possible inland watches and warnings, please
monitor products issued by your local National Weather Service
forecast office. For storm information specific to your area
outside of the United States, please monitor products issued by
your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Isaias was
located near latitude 19.5 North, longitude 70.6 West. Isaias is
moving toward the northwest near 20 mph (31 km/h) and a
northwestward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected
over the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of
Isaias will move near the Southeastern Bahamas by late tonight.
Isaias is forecast to be near the Central Bahamas Friday night and
move near or over the Northwest Bahamas and near South Florida on
Saturday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and Isaias is
forecast to become a hurricane on Friday or Friday night.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 240 miles (390 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations in the Dominican Republic is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Isaias can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4, WMO header WTNT44 KNHC, and
on the web at www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.
STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge will raise water levels by as
much as 3 to 5 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore
flow in the central and northwest Bahamas. Storm surge will raise
water level by as much as 1 to 3 ft above normal tide levels in the
southeastern Bahamas.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue to spread across
portions of the Dominican Republic, Haiti, the southeastern Bahamas
and Turks and Caicos within the warning area tonight. Tropical storm
conditions are expected to begin in the central Bahamas Friday
morning and spread into the northwestern Bahamas beginning late
Friday. Hurricane conditions are expected within portions of the
the central and northwestern Bahamas Friday night and Saturday.
Tropical storm conditions are possible in the watch area in Florida
beginning Saturday.
RAINFALL: Isaias is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations:
Puerto Rico, Dominican Republic and northern Haiti: 4 to 8 inches,
with isolated maximum totals of 12 inches.
Bahamas, Turks and Caicos: 4 to 8 inches.
Cuba: 1 to 2 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 4 inches.
These rainfall amounts will lead to life-threatening flash flooding
and mudslides, as well as river flooding. Urban and small stream
flooding is expected for the U.S. Virgin Islands, eastern and
southwestern Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola.
Heavy rains associated with Isaias may begin to affect eastern
Florida over the weekend. This rain could result in isolated flash
and urban flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained
areas.
SURF: Swells generated by Isaias are affecting portions of
the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, the Dominican
Republic, the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern
Bahamas. These swells will spread along the coast of Cuba and into
the central and northwestern Bahamas over the next day or two.
These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip
current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 PM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Brown
July 29, 2020
Baghdad soars to 125 blistering degrees, its highest temperature on record
https://www.washingtonpost.com/weather/2020/07/29/baghdad-iraq-heat-record/Record high temperatures have been plaguing the Middle East, the mercury soaring to extreme levels during a blistering and unforgiving heat wave. Baghdad surged to its highest temperature ever recorded Tuesday.
Tuesday’s preliminary high of 125.2 degrees (51.8 Celsius) in Iraq’s capital city shatters its previous record of 123.8 degrees set on July 30, 2015 for any day of the year.
On Wednesday, Baghdad followed up with a temperature of 124 degrees, its second highest temperature on record. On Monday, it had reached 123 degrees.
The crippling heat forced many residents indoors, and street sellers had to seek whatever shade they could find. With the state electricity grid failing, many households were relying on generators to power fridges, fans or air conditioning units, the machines adding a guttural hum to the city’s already-noisy streets.
Tuesday’s preliminary high of 125.2 degrees (51.8 Celsius) in Iraq’s capital city shatters its previous record of 123.8 degrees set on July 30, 2015 for any day of the year.
On Wednesday, Baghdad followed up with a temperature of 124 degrees, its second highest temperature on record. On Monday, it had reached 123 degrees.
The crippling heat forced many residents indoors, and street sellers had to seek whatever shade they could find. With the state electricity grid failing, many households were relying on generators to power fridges, fans or air conditioning units, the machines adding a guttural hum to the city’s already-noisy streets.
July 29, 2020
It’s hard to know what Donald Trump will hate more—that the upcoming two-night drama about the 2016 election so witheringly presents him as vulgar, corrupt, and deeply indebted to the manipulations of Vladimir Putin, or that he has to share the spotlight with James Comey.
The Comey Rule, based on the former FBI director’s memoir A Higher Loyalty, follows the bureau’s leadership during that tumultuous campaign as they parse Democratic contender Hillary Clinton’s email controversies while simultaneously grappling with evidence that Russia was trying to help Republican Trump win the election. Jeff Daniels portrays Comey as someone beholden to the rules of his position and institution nearly to a fault, while Brendan Gleeson’s Trump is a thoughtless exploiter of honor systems who has no problem setting that same rulebook on fire and hurling it at anyone who displeases him.
Writer-director Billy Ray, best known for the true-life films Richard Jewell, Captain Phillips, and Shattered Glass, is braced for rage from Trump and his supporters now that the project’s secrecy has lifted. He’s even expecting some blowback from the left over lingering resentment over Comey’s actions. “I recognize that there is something for everyone to hate in this movie, and I know we’re going to be prejudged by a lot of people who think they know who Comey is, who think they know who Trump is, and who think they know exactly what happened in 2016,” Ray said. “And I understand how polarized the public is out there. And that’s fair.”
Vanity Fair can reveal the exclusive first trailer for the series below—the first time the Trump election has been explored in a way that’s not satire. “We are the first depiction ever of Donald Trump as a dramatic character,” Ray said, mentioning the spoofs of the president on Saturday Night Live. “This is not Alec Baldwin…whom I love, by the way.”
First Look at The Comey Rule: The TV Drama That Will Enrage Trump
https://www.vanityfair.com/hollywood/2020/07/the-comey-rule-trump-brendan-gleeson-jeff-daniels-tvIt’s hard to know what Donald Trump will hate more—that the upcoming two-night drama about the 2016 election so witheringly presents him as vulgar, corrupt, and deeply indebted to the manipulations of Vladimir Putin, or that he has to share the spotlight with James Comey.
The Comey Rule, based on the former FBI director’s memoir A Higher Loyalty, follows the bureau’s leadership during that tumultuous campaign as they parse Democratic contender Hillary Clinton’s email controversies while simultaneously grappling with evidence that Russia was trying to help Republican Trump win the election. Jeff Daniels portrays Comey as someone beholden to the rules of his position and institution nearly to a fault, while Brendan Gleeson’s Trump is a thoughtless exploiter of honor systems who has no problem setting that same rulebook on fire and hurling it at anyone who displeases him.
Writer-director Billy Ray, best known for the true-life films Richard Jewell, Captain Phillips, and Shattered Glass, is braced for rage from Trump and his supporters now that the project’s secrecy has lifted. He’s even expecting some blowback from the left over lingering resentment over Comey’s actions. “I recognize that there is something for everyone to hate in this movie, and I know we’re going to be prejudged by a lot of people who think they know who Comey is, who think they know who Trump is, and who think they know exactly what happened in 2016,” Ray said. “And I understand how polarized the public is out there. And that’s fair.”
Vanity Fair can reveal the exclusive first trailer for the series below—the first time the Trump election has been explored in a way that’s not satire. “We are the first depiction ever of Donald Trump as a dramatic character,” Ray said, mentioning the spoofs of the president on Saturday Night Live. “This is not Alec Baldwin…whom I love, by the way.”
July 29, 2020
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1288509568578777088
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1288509572223651840
Bullhorn racist tweet: "I am happy to inform all of the people living their Suburban Lifetyle..."
I am happy to inform all of the people living their Suburban Lifestyle Dream that you will no longer be bothered or financially hurt by having low income housing built in your neighborhood...
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1288509568578777088
https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1288509572223651840
July 29, 2020
Yes America! some need deliverance from demon sperm. Here’s the message, enjoy. . There is saying in my village in Cameroon. ‘Nyangha de sleep trouble come wake am’. #CNN #MSNBC let’s play.
https://twitter.com/stella_immanuel/status/1288460112651268096
Who is Dr. Immanuel ?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/07/28/stella-immanuel-hydroxychloroquine-video-trump-americas-frontline-doctors/
Stella Immanuel, M.D.: "Yes America! some need deliverance from demon sperm..."
Yes America! some need deliverance from demon sperm. Here’s the message, enjoy. . There is saying in my village in Cameroon. ‘Nyangha de sleep trouble come wake am’. #CNN #MSNBC let’s play.
https://twitter.com/stella_immanuel/status/1288460112651268096
Who is Dr. Immanuel ?
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2020/07/28/stella-immanuel-hydroxychloroquine-video-trump-americas-frontline-doctors/
After social media companies removed a viral video showing doctors spreading unsubstantiated information about the novel coronavirus, a phrase inspired by one doctor’s past claims began trending on Twitter: demon sperm. It turns out Stella Immanuel has a history of making particularly outlandish statements — including that the uterine disorder endometriosis is caused by sex with demons that takes place in dreams.
The video showed a group that has dubbed itself America’s Frontline Doctors, standing on the steps of the Supreme Court and claiming that neither masks nor shutdowns are necessary to fight the pandemic, despite a plethora of expertise to the contrary. It was live-streamed by the conservative media outlet Breitbart and viewed more than 14 million times — fueled by a tweet by Donald Trump Jr. and multiple retweets by President Trump, which have since been deleted.
The video showed a group that has dubbed itself America’s Frontline Doctors, standing on the steps of the Supreme Court and claiming that neither masks nor shutdowns are necessary to fight the pandemic, despite a plethora of expertise to the contrary. It was live-streamed by the conservative media outlet Breitbart and viewed more than 14 million times — fueled by a tweet by Donald Trump Jr. and multiple retweets by President Trump, which have since been deleted.
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