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applegrove

applegrove's Journal
applegrove's Journal
June 11, 2012

You know McCain and Liz Cheney were called out to cast aspersions on the White House re: the leak.

Why did the GOP go to two people who were popular on the right the last major election season 4 years ago? Are their own current politicians, like Boehner, held in contempt by most independents? I just think it strange that when they want to set up a nasty narrative that they have to reach into the past to find the people with enough gravitas to accuse the Obama White House of the leak. Perhaps their own internal polls tell them Americans do not trust the current crop of Republicans as far as they can throw them. The current crop of the GOP have done nothing to help Americans in the last 4 years. Makes sense nobody will take them seriously.

June 6, 2012

"Shy Elephant Factor" at Ballot Pedia

Shy Elephant Factor

at Ballot Pedia


http://ballotpedia.org/wiki/index.php/Shy_Elephant_Factor

"SNIP...........................................................

The Shy Elephant Factor, is a term used to demonstrate a party bias in polling results, more specifically exit polls in major United States Elections. The term indicates that statisitcs prove that conservatives are not likely to particpate in exit polls or other types of opinion polls over liberals. Because of these statistics, there tend to be a significantly higher liberal bias in exit polls which may result in a false positive result. In other countries, the term can be closely aligned with the British Shy Tory Factor.
Elephant

The elephant in the term is used to align conservative voters with the closest related U.S. Republican Party. The official symbol of the Republican party is the Elephant.[1]

Statistics

Following the 2004 election, the National Election Pool (NEP) discovered a discrepency in exit poll results vs. the actual popular vote results. The national sample showed Kerry ahead 51% to 48%, but Bush won the national popular vote by a 2.5% margin (50.7% for Bush and 48.3% for Kerry). On average, the statewide exit polls showed a similar overstatement.

Warren Mistofsky, who headed the 2004 exit polls, appeared following the election and offered a theory: "We suspect that the main reason was that the Kerry voters were more anxious to participate in our exit polls than the Bush voters." Three months later, the report issued by Mitofsky and his partner Joe Lenski again argued that the discrepancy occurred because "Kerry voters were more likely to participate in the exit polls than Bush voters." They also offered "hypothetical completion rates of 56% among Kerry voters and 50% among Bush voters" that would have accounted for the entire discrepancy. This theory was unofficially coined the "reluctant Bush responder" hypothesis.[2]

..................................................................SNIP"


Rove/GOP must have known this and exit polls were released showing kerry was winning by 2PM on election day in 2004. It lit a fire under republican voters and made democrats more relaxed. Was why the MSM, feeling so burned, no longer report exit polls until the polls are closed.
June 3, 2012

With corporate profits soaring in the last three years it proves that the 1% have decoupled

from the rest of us. While we were forced into a crash because of a bubble, corporations lost for a few months and then did great financially. A tight money policy was used in the 1980s and 1990s to slow down an overheated economy and keeps things on an even keel and everyone shared the suffering during those short shallow depressions. Not anymore. Now the middle class fights inflation for the rich by being unemployed or losing their homes long term because of bubbles. The rich like bubbles. Alot of money can be made betting for it or against it. They don't lose their nest eggs when there is a crash like the middle class does. It is unfair for the economy to reflect only the needs of that one percent.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/125142228

May 30, 2012

Is Trump's revival of the 'birther' meme to get the furthest right wing nutters to be sure

to get out and vote. How could you be anything but irate if someone steals the presidency? (sarcasm). Anger gets you to take action. Anger will get them up and out on election day. I'm sure Trump will be available to reignite the issue periodically in the months to come so the nutters won't get sad and passively dissapointed when Mitt tacks to the centre in the months to come.

May 28, 2012

Bill Maher pointed out that Booker was dependant on private equity and other private

donations for his city. I hope that goes viral too. Shows you just what the right is doing with all the money they are making through inequality...coopting people. So that the $$$$$ interests have the power over which cities or people thrive.

May 24, 2012

Video: Roger Martin On Overhauling The Corporate World and his book "Fixing The Game". Talks about

business should go back to being customer driven.

Roger Martin On Overhauling The Corporate World

About the video:

Head of the University of Toronto's Rotman School of Management, Roger Martin talks about his book "Fixing the Game". He says it's time to overhaul the corporate world and to stop believing that corporations exist only to maximize shareholder value. Businesses should go back to being customer-based.

http://ww3.tvo.org/video/176537/roger-martin-overhauling-corporate-world

May 23, 2012

What makes Biden such a great campaigner? I think it is his fight. He's got more that a little

bit of the scrappy guy in him, the type of person who inspires others to back him. Reminds me of former Prime Minister Jean Chrétien, "the little guy from Shawinigan". And a little bit of anger (or fight) goes a long way towards voters voting, encouraging others to gregariously get out and vote, and not ceding their power to the other side.

May 18, 2012

Occupy has changed the focus of political discussion to the growing inequality in the USA. That is

something that slipped under the radar for 30 years. Now it is the basis of the 2012 election. That is big stuff. All occupy did was get a majority of americans to say to themselves 'I am part of the 99%' instead of 'I am religious' or 'I have to think and feel what some hierarchy wants me to think or feel'. Occupy freed people to connect with what is real for them. And to connect Americans once again to each other instead of being sliced and diced up by the Republicans. They became part of something greater than themselves. It undid 30 years of hard & relentless work on the part of the GOP. Occupy has rocked the world.

May 18, 2012

I have never slammed Occupy. I was thrilled with everything that happened in the fall/winter. I

simply don't want to see the battle over inequality they were winning sacrificed for anti Nato. I certainly did not want to see ethnic cleansing in Kosovo. I also wanted to see bin Laden and al qaeda stopped in Afghanistan. Both things NATO were involved in. That is my very point. More than 50% of Americans liked Occupy in the fall. I want to see Occupy succeed and become entrenched in all our psyches as the anti-inequality movement of the 99%. I'm sure many right wing 1% are thrilled to see Occupy morph into something that will be less palatable to the majority of Americans: being against NATO. In fact I would imagine they are dancing a jig.

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