October 25, 2022

Seven Rules for Surviving the Media's Election Mania...

https://newrepublic.com/article/168271/midterms-2022-polls-ad-buys-democrats


Take a deep breath folks... and keep working at getting Democrats elected!

snippet:

"Remember That Polling May Be Broken in Ways That We Will Only Understand After the Election

Political mavens have grown increasingly sophisticated about how they consume polls. Over the past decade, we have witnessed the rise of survey averages such as the ones at RealClear Politics and intricate polling models such as the one pioneered by Nate Silver at FiveThirtyEight.

Polling averages and models remain a better snapshot than any one individual survey. But this could be a year when all these corrective efforts collapse under the weight of flaws in the underlying polling itself. As Jenn Ridder, who was swing-state director for Joe Biden’s 2020 campaign, said in an interview, “The data isn’t telling us enough anymore. It’s too scattered and too confusing.”