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democrattotheend

democrattotheend's Journal
democrattotheend's Journal
July 28, 2020

Morning Consult polls have Biden up +2 in Texas, +1 in Georgia, +10 in MI...but only +3 in MN?

Check out these new Morning Consult polls:

WI Biden 50 Trump 43 (D+7)
VA Biden 52 Trump 41 (D+11)
TX Biden 47 Trump 45 (D+2)
PA Biden 50 Trump 42 (D+8)
OH Biden 45 Trump 48 (R+3)
NC Biden 47 Trump 47 (Tie)
MN Biden 47 Trump 44 (D+3)
MI Biden 52 Trump 42 (D+10)
GA Biden 47 Trump 46 (D+1)
FL Biden 49 Trump 46 (D+3)
CO Biden 52 Trump 39 (D+13)
AZ Biden 49 Trump 42 (D+7)
National Biden 51 Trump 43 (D+8)

Anyone else find this odd? How could Biden be winning by 7 in Arizona, 10 in Michigan, 7 in Wisconsin, 8 in Pennsylvania, and even be up slightly in Georgia and Texas, but only up by 3 in Minnesota? Do you think there's a backlash to the unrest that occurred after the George Floyd shooting? I remember thinking at the time when I saw the fires and broken windows in Minneapolis that those images would play right into Trump's hands. Fortunately it seems to have had the opposite effect everywhere else, but I've been saying for a while Minnesota is a state we shouldn't take for granted this year. Hillary barely won it in 2016 (ditto for New Hampshire), and I'd hate to see a repeat of 2016 where states we took for granted end up costing Biden the election. If his big national lead and lead in other states holds Minnesota should be fine (and we don't even need it, though it would be a sad loss, since other than DC it has the longest Democratic voting streak in presidential elections). But if, as in 2016, the polls tighten nationally, states like Minnesota could be Trump's ace in the hole like PA, MI and WI were in 2016.

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Member since: Wed Jan 30, 2008, 03:33 PM
Number of posts: 11,605

About democrattotheend

I'm a lawyer representing workers and consumers and a longtime Democratic activist. Nothing I say on here, including any comments about legal topics, should be construed as legal advice or creating an attorney-client relationship.
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