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Member since: Tue Nov 8, 2016, 02:02 PM
Number of posts: 12,344

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Democrat pulls ahead by 438 in CA CD-21

This would be the 40th pickup.

Sorry for multiple edits, got confused with a correct read but wrong graphic.

10 takeaways from exit polls

Some surprising answers. Voters agree with Democrats on a lot of issue. A majority even think immigrants help the country. But you can see the basis of Trumps strategy - He won voters who thought immigration is the top issue by over 50 points.

Take away immigration somehow, and Trump loses his biggest issue.

Posted by marylandblue | Wed Nov 7, 2018, 09:14 PM (7 replies)

Moveon has a plan for Session's firing, it's not break glass time yet.

They will demand the investigation be protected.

Posted by marylandblue | Wed Nov 7, 2018, 03:44 PM (6 replies)

The Upshot: Small changes from polls can make a big difference

Two takeaways. 1) Small sample size and few polls means House polls can be off by an average of 8 points either way. 2) Dems in early voting are overrepresented compared to polling models, which suggests a systematic polling error on our favor.

Posted by marylandblue | Tue Nov 6, 2018, 02:41 PM (0 replies)

Swing Left needs people to call rainy swing districts for GOTV

Go here to start calling from home.

Posted by marylandblue | Tue Nov 6, 2018, 11:54 AM (0 replies)

Report on GOTV in VA-05 (Cockburn-D vs. Riggleman-R)

I was in a very red part of a red district. Every Democrat I spoke to was definitely voting, no convincing needed. I saw many Cockburn signs but only one for Riggleman. 538 rates it a tossup but if what I saw means anything, this is a Dem pickup. Charlottesville is in VA-05, so winning here would be very symbolic.
Posted by marylandblue | Sat Nov 3, 2018, 04:16 PM (2 replies)
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