honest.abe
honest.abe's JournalUnfortunately looks like the big call is not going to happen tonight.
Is that the way you all are seeing it?
Michigan! Biden lead just jumped to 46,000!
Michigan
96% reporting
Biden: 49.7% 2,613,025
Trump: 48.8% 2,566,923
Joe's got this!
Ohio looking very good.
Kornaki going through the counties comparing Biden to Clinton 2016. Biden doing much better than Clinton in most cases. A win there and its over.
Texas is looking interesting.
I know it’s early but Biden has a 14 point lead with about 25% in.
I am getting the feeling there are a ton of black folks voting today.
This could be like in 2008 when Obama inspired many to vote, especially younger voters.
This year it appears Trump is the inspiration!
Mild weather could boost voter turnout on Election Day
From the Hill..
President Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden are fighting over one of the most expansive battlegrounds in modern history, and minor adjustments in turnout in key swing states could make an outsized impact in who ultimately takes the White House.
Research has shown that the weather on Election Day can have a noticeable impact on voter turnout. A 2007 study showed that rain “significantly reduces voter participation by a rate of just less than 1% per inch, while an inch of snowfall decreases turnout by almost .5%” and that rain also had the power to further depress turnout.
https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/523790-mild-weather-could-boost-turnout-on-election-day
I think this is not a problem, even though there is an expectation of a large number of Trump voters to turn out on election day, good weather can also help our side. I suspect many young voters who were not sure about voting before might now show up if the weather is nice wanting to be part of the blue tsunami. Also other Democrats who may be infrequent voters might turn up tomorrow if the sun is shining and not too cold.
Regardless the more people vote, the better the results for Democrats. That has always been the rule and dont see that changing now. I am predicting a massive win for Biden.
I think Trump's threats to challenge the election are all fake.
Im sure his advisors are telling him it wont do any good if Biden wins by a substantial margin which is nearly certain he will. Trump's entire game plan has been to suppress the Democratic vote. This idea he will mount a legal challenge to the vote and win regardless of the vote tally is sending a message to Democrats that their vote doesnt matter so why bother.
Its not going to work as most Democrats are onto his lies and fake absurd claims, and in fact this could cause even more to show up that might not have.
We are gong to win big Tuesday and there's nothing Trump can do it about.
Mitch McConnell says a coronavirus stimulus package is 'unlikely in the next three weeks'
The White House and Democrats have restarted last-ditch talks toward an elusive relief deal. Speaking in his home state of Kentucky, the Republican told reporters “the situation’s kind of murky” while negotiators try to “elbow for political advantage” as Americans cast their ballots.
“I’d like to see us rise above that like we did back in March and April, but I think that’s unlikely in the next three weeks,” he said.
https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/09/coronavirus-stimulus-mitch-mcconnell-says-relief-deal-unlikely-soon.html
As I suspected there is not enough time to get it done before the election or McConnel is more interested in a SCOTUS nominee. Either way Trumpy is going to go ape shit. He was hoping for a glam shot of him signing the bill just prior to the election.
Just got a fundraising email from Michael Moore saying CNN poll has Biden only up by 1 point.
I did a search of latest polls and could not find this. Is this bogus? i really dont trust this guy anymore.
Update: Its an old poll from August which he cherry picked the data. It’s garbage. Also it appears not to be from Moore directly. It’s from some org named voter protection project that used Moore’s statements and photo.
Even DrudgeReport is featuring Trump's "losers" and "suckers" comments about those killed in war.
Plus a series of articles that support Trump's negative view of dead, wounded and MIA military personnel.
I know Drudge has not been Trump's friend for quite sometime but this appears to be a full attack on him.
I do get the feeling Trump crossed the line with these comments. I think he is finished.
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Member since: Sun Dec 3, 2017, 10:40 AMNumber of posts: 8,678