Welcome to DU!
The truly grassroots left-of-center political community where regular people, not algorithms, drive the discussions and set the standards.
Join the community:
Create a free account
Support DU (and get rid of ads!):
Become a Star Member
Latest Breaking News
General Discussion
The DU Lounge
All Forums
Issue Forums
Culture Forums
Alliance Forums
Region Forums
Support Forums
Help & Search
Demovictory9
Demovictory9's Journal
Demovictory9's Journal
October 25, 2020
58,663,263 Mail Ballots: 39,762,072 In-Person Votes: 18,901,191
https://electproject.github.io/Early-Vote-2020G/index.html
October 25, 2020
A surge in coronavirus cases in counties critical to President Donald Trump’s victory may disrupt his plans to drive up in-person voting on Nov. 3, potentially reducing Republican turnout in areas the president can least afford it.
In Kenosha, a Wisconsin county that voted for Barack Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016, the positivity rate for COVID-19 test results has reached 27%. In relatively populous Westmoreland County in Western Pennsylvania where Trump won by more than 50,000 votes four years ago, the positivity rate for coronavirus cases has nearly tripled in two weeks, according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
And Calhoun County, Michigan, which gave Trump a double-digit margin of victory in 2016 after narrowly voting for Obama in 2012, has recently seen the fastest spread of the virus of any county in the state’s lower peninsula.
Epidemiologists and political experts alike believe numbers like these point to an increasingly dire Election Day picture, in which spiking cases and diminishing hospital capacity in counties where Trump must run up the score could scare voters away from the polls.
“I think we can assume that around the time of the election, unfortunately, we’re going to see increased rates of death in particular, given the acceleration we’re seeing in many parts of the country,” said Dr. Laura Jarmila Rasmussen-Torvik, chief of epidemiology in the Department of Preventive Medicine at Northwestern University’s Feinberg School of Medicine.
Surging coronavirus endangers Trump plan to counter Biden edge with Election Day vote
https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article246586573.htmlA surge in coronavirus cases in counties critical to President Donald Trump’s victory may disrupt his plans to drive up in-person voting on Nov. 3, potentially reducing Republican turnout in areas the president can least afford it.
In Kenosha, a Wisconsin county that voted for Barack Obama in 2012 and Trump in 2016, the positivity rate for COVID-19 test results has reached 27%. In relatively populous Westmoreland County in Western Pennsylvania where Trump won by more than 50,000 votes four years ago, the positivity rate for coronavirus cases has nearly tripled in two weeks, according to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette.
And Calhoun County, Michigan, which gave Trump a double-digit margin of victory in 2016 after narrowly voting for Obama in 2012, has recently seen the fastest spread of the virus of any county in the state’s lower peninsula.
Epidemiologists and political experts alike believe numbers like these point to an increasingly dire Election Day picture, in which spiking cases and diminishing hospital capacity in counties where Trump must run up the score could scare voters away from the polls.
“I think we can assume that around the time of the election, unfortunately, we’re going to see increased rates of death in particular, given the acceleration we’re seeing in many parts of the country,” said Dr. Laura Jarmila Rasmussen-Torvik, chief of epidemiology in the Department of Preventive Medicine at Northwestern University’s Feinberg School of Medicine.
October 25, 2020
New Poll Confirms That High Youth Turnout Would Doom Trump
Republicans have long known that America’s rising generations were going to be a problem for their party. The only questions have been “How big?” and “How soon?”
The bulk of Americans born between 1981 and 1996 saw Bill Clinton preside over an age of (relative) peace and prosperity — and then George W. Bush steer their nation into failed wars and economic collapse. Zoomers, meanwhile, are coming of age amid, well, [gestures broadly at a landscape littered with foreclosed houses, police executions, pandemic breadlines, and melting ice sheets, all watched over by a billionaire Fox News addict who’s focused on his tweets].
Political science research suggests that a voter’s partisan preferences tend to be deeply informed by their evaluations of presidential performance in adolescence and early adulthood. Americans who came of age during the Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon presidencies leaned Democratic for years after. Those who attained a sense of self amid Jimmy Carter’s losing battle against stagflation — and/or Ronald Reagan’s boom times — remained disproportionately Republican as they aged.
Thus, millennials and Zoomers were already likely to lean left, even if their generations hadn’t been more diverse, highly educated, and atheistic than their predecessors. But they are. And since all of those traits correlate with ideological liberalism, it’s none too surprising that the kids are all left (or, almost all left, anyway).
A new poll from Axios and SurveyMonkey-Tableau reveals that — despite our nation’s deeply ingrained regional political divisions — young Americans are rejecting conservatism from sea-to-shining sea, with only a few stray patches of red in between. In a survey of 640,328 likely voters across the country, Axios found voters under 35 backing Biden in 40 of 50 states. Young voters broke for Trump in five, and split their votes about evenly in the remaining states.
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/10/2020-polls-young-voters-biden-trump-youth-turnout.html
Poll Confirms That High Youth Turnout Would Doom Trump - young Americans are rejecting conservatism
New Poll Confirms That High Youth Turnout Would Doom Trump
Republicans have long known that America’s rising generations were going to be a problem for their party. The only questions have been “How big?” and “How soon?”
The bulk of Americans born between 1981 and 1996 saw Bill Clinton preside over an age of (relative) peace and prosperity — and then George W. Bush steer their nation into failed wars and economic collapse. Zoomers, meanwhile, are coming of age amid, well, [gestures broadly at a landscape littered with foreclosed houses, police executions, pandemic breadlines, and melting ice sheets, all watched over by a billionaire Fox News addict who’s focused on his tweets].
Political science research suggests that a voter’s partisan preferences tend to be deeply informed by their evaluations of presidential performance in adolescence and early adulthood. Americans who came of age during the Kennedy, Johnson, and Nixon presidencies leaned Democratic for years after. Those who attained a sense of self amid Jimmy Carter’s losing battle against stagflation — and/or Ronald Reagan’s boom times — remained disproportionately Republican as they aged.
Thus, millennials and Zoomers were already likely to lean left, even if their generations hadn’t been more diverse, highly educated, and atheistic than their predecessors. But they are. And since all of those traits correlate with ideological liberalism, it’s none too surprising that the kids are all left (or, almost all left, anyway).
A new poll from Axios and SurveyMonkey-Tableau reveals that — despite our nation’s deeply ingrained regional political divisions — young Americans are rejecting conservatism from sea-to-shining sea, with only a few stray patches of red in between. In a survey of 640,328 likely voters across the country, Axios found voters under 35 backing Biden in 40 of 50 states. Young voters broke for Trump in five, and split their votes about evenly in the remaining states.
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/10/2020-polls-young-voters-biden-trump-youth-turnout.html
October 25, 2020
The latest IBD/TIPP Trump vs. Biden poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden with a wider lead over President Donald Trump. The tracking poll, which includes five days of polling, includes only one day after the last debate, but the initial sign doesn't suggest a big change in the race, the IBD/TIPP presidential poll update shows.
The latest 2020 election poll update shows the Democratic challenger leading the Republican incumbent by 6.4 points, 50.7%-44.3%, in a four-way presidential poll of likely voters. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen has the support of 2.2%, and Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins 0.7%.
2020 Presidential Poll Trend: Four-Way Race
The IBD/TIPP 2020 Presidential Election Tracking Poll shows Biden with his biggest lead in the past week. Biden's lead peaked at 8.6 points in IBD/TIPP's Oct. 13 presidential poll. The race's tightest point came on Tuesday, Oct. 20, when Biden led by 2.3 points.
Biden's support has climbed back over the key 50% level for the first time in more than a week. Trump's support has backslid after peaking at 46%, right below his 2016 vote total, on Oct. 21.
Trump Vs. Biden Race Tilts Toward Democrat After Last Debate, IBD/TIPP Presidential Poll Shows
https://www.investors.com/news/trump-vs-biden-poll-favors-democrat-after-debate-ibd-tipp-presidential-poll/The latest IBD/TIPP Trump vs. Biden poll finds former Vice President Joe Biden with a wider lead over President Donald Trump. The tracking poll, which includes five days of polling, includes only one day after the last debate, but the initial sign doesn't suggest a big change in the race, the IBD/TIPP presidential poll update shows.
The latest 2020 election poll update shows the Democratic challenger leading the Republican incumbent by 6.4 points, 50.7%-44.3%, in a four-way presidential poll of likely voters. Libertarian candidate Jo Jorgensen has the support of 2.2%, and Green Party candidate Howie Hawkins 0.7%.
2020 Presidential Poll Trend: Four-Way Race
The IBD/TIPP 2020 Presidential Election Tracking Poll shows Biden with his biggest lead in the past week. Biden's lead peaked at 8.6 points in IBD/TIPP's Oct. 13 presidential poll. The race's tightest point came on Tuesday, Oct. 20, when Biden led by 2.3 points.
Biden's support has climbed back over the key 50% level for the first time in more than a week. Trump's support has backslid after peaking at 46%, right below his 2016 vote total, on Oct. 21.
October 25, 2020
Democratic South Carolina Senate candidate Jaime Harrison announced on Saturday that his campaign against incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham raised over $2 million in 48 hours, after he called on his supporters to donate towards a $10 million goal.
"We told y'all we needed to raise $10 million to fight back against Lindsey and Mitch [McConnell]'s super PAC," Harrison tweeted. "And you stepped up! We've raised over $2 million in the last 48 hours."
The Senate Leadership Fund, a Republican super PAC run by allies of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, announced earlier this month that it would contribute a $10 million ad blitz against Harrison in South Carolina to boost Graham's chances in an unexpectedly close race.
In response, Harrison asked his supporters to donate and match the $10 million set forth by the Senate Republican's top super PAC as recent polls show the Democratic candidate's narrow lead.
Jaime Harrison Raises $2 Million in 48 Hours as Polls Show Him Leading Lindsey Graham
https://www.newsweek.com/jaime-harrison-raises-2-million-48-hours-polls-show-him-leading-lindsey-graham-1541893Democratic South Carolina Senate candidate Jaime Harrison announced on Saturday that his campaign against incumbent Senator Lindsey Graham raised over $2 million in 48 hours, after he called on his supporters to donate towards a $10 million goal.
"We told y'all we needed to raise $10 million to fight back against Lindsey and Mitch [McConnell]'s super PAC," Harrison tweeted. "And you stepped up! We've raised over $2 million in the last 48 hours."
The Senate Leadership Fund, a Republican super PAC run by allies of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, announced earlier this month that it would contribute a $10 million ad blitz against Harrison in South Carolina to boost Graham's chances in an unexpectedly close race.
In response, Harrison asked his supporters to donate and match the $10 million set forth by the Senate Republican's top super PAC as recent polls show the Democratic candidate's narrow lead.
October 25, 2020
'I ran because of you, Joe': Trump thanks Ohio for 'firing' the 'depraved' Democrats from the White House in 2016 and brushes off polls showing him trailing because of 'hidden' votes still out there
President Trump brushed off polls showing him losing to Joe Biden
'Well we have ten days, and, you know, nothing worries me,' he said
He said there was a 'hidden vote' out there supporting him
He predicted ' a red wave like you've never seen before'
Trump held three campaign rallies in three critical battleground states Saturday
He was in North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin
'In 2016, Ohio voted to fire this depraved political establishment and you elected an outsider as your president,' he told supporters in Circleville
Trump started his Saturday by voting early and in person in Florida
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8875707/Trump-brushes-polls-showing-trailing-hidden-votes-there.html
Trump thanks Ohio for 'firing' the 'depraved' Democrats from the White House in 2016
'I ran because of you, Joe': Trump thanks Ohio for 'firing' the 'depraved' Democrats from the White House in 2016 and brushes off polls showing him trailing because of 'hidden' votes still out there
President Trump brushed off polls showing him losing to Joe Biden
'Well we have ten days, and, you know, nothing worries me,' he said
He said there was a 'hidden vote' out there supporting him
He predicted ' a red wave like you've never seen before'
Trump held three campaign rallies in three critical battleground states Saturday
He was in North Carolina, Ohio and Wisconsin
'In 2016, Ohio voted to fire this depraved political establishment and you elected an outsider as your president,' he told supporters in Circleville
Trump started his Saturday by voting early and in person in Florida
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8875707/Trump-brushes-polls-showing-trailing-hidden-votes-there.html
Profile Information
Gender: FemaleHometown: California
Member since: Tue Feb 27, 2018, 10:32 PM
Number of posts: 32,449