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WarGamer

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Name: J
Gender: Male
Hometown: SoCal
Home country: USA
Current location: Socal
Member since: Mon Feb 1, 2021, 08:27 PM
Number of posts: 7,424

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I don't get the Russian strategy (or lack thereof).

Background.

For people who study these things, it's common to look at all sides of conflict. For example, how does Rommel win at El Alamein? How does Germany win at Stalingrad? How do you beat Napoleon at Austerlitz?

These events are looked at with the eyes of an analyst, not a partisan or an interested party.





So... Ukraine.

I think we can all see the initial phase of the war. Putin and the Armed Forces thought the Ukrainians would fold quickly and they'd be able to install a new Leader ASAP.

Russia flailed about for months but without a clear strategy. They never sought to achieve air superiority but continued to feed helicopter and ground attack craft to the MANPADS.

They never concentrated their forces. They never made a concerted drive on Kyiv.

Blunder after blunder.

But at SOME POINT.

At some point, SOME Russian leader had to observe the situation and put together some kind of strategy.

I don't think it can all be blamed on "they suck".

There are things they COULD do but have NOT. And I've been racking my brain trying to figure it out.

WHY haven't the Russians

1) Turned the lights off in Kyiv and every major city East of Lviv? Easy to do. Can be accomplished with cruise missiles or other standoff weapons.

2) Turned off the heat?

3) Destroyed ALL rail and highway infrastructure?

4) Hit command and control targets in Kyiv? Daily.

5) Starve Ukraine by cutting off supply routes from the Western border


These are ALL asymmetrical tactical options. That means 1000 Russians can affect 100,000 Ukrainians.

I've been studying war since I was maybe 8-9 years old when my mother would take me to the Library and I'd leave with a foot tall stack of war books.

And I've NEVER seen a more lopsided affair.

It's NOT just the "Orcs suck and UKR troops are Godz" stuff... there's more to it.

The decision making has been beyond terrible. It's been unbelievable.

Next stop $7/gallon... I paid 6.99 tonight.

Holy hell... SoCal gas prices up like $1/gal in the last 10 days...

Just a coincidence that election is 40 days away and gas prices are racing, right?

San Bernardino PD thankful to the Hurricane for taking their teenager killing off the news.

This story just disgusts me.

What a shock.

So the murdering father is running from the cops, shooting at them... tells the daughter to put the helmet and vest on cuz... it's a gunfight..

And as the truck is hit by more gunfire, the man is mortally wounded and the truck comes to a stop.

15 year old girl, freaked out... jumps out of the truck and runs to police... TO BE RESCUED... fleeing this traumatic scene. UNARMED.

And Rambo, Joker, Dirty Harry and the Punisher shoot her dead.

SMDH.

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/sep/28/murder-suspect-daughter-killed-kidnapping-california

This is why the Earth is screwed. And no, your Tesla and digital thermostat don't help.

In just 48 years, the world population has doubled in size, jumping from four to eight billion. Of course, humans are not equally spread throughout the planet, and countries take all shapes and sizes. The visualizations in this article aim to build context on how the eight billion people are distributed around the world.

China + India + Pakistan = 10x US population.

CO2 footprint, per capita in China/India and Pakistan is growing around 5% per year... reflecting billions of people getting access to modern amenities.

Must be Election (horse race) Season. MSM busy "debunking" DEM claims...

Gotta keep the advertising dollars flowing... with no horse race, no bonuses and overtime. Election season commercials are almost as expensive as Super Bowl commercials...

The latest... from WAPO no less...

Where are the debunked GOP lies and nonsense?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/09/27/false-claim-that-senate-republicans-plan-end-social-security-medicare/


The Pinocchio Test

Murray tweeted that if Senate Republicans win control of the Senate, they plan to end Social Security and Medicare.

This is yet another example in which Democrats strain to conjure up a nonexistent GOP plan regarding Social Security and Medicare. Murray earns Four Pinocchios.

By Glenn Kessler, Washington Post Fact Checker

Glenn Kessler has reported on domestic and foreign policy for more than three decades. Send him statements to fact check by emailing him or sending a DM on Twitter.


A solution to affordable housing... that Americans just don't seem to like.

Travel pretty much anywhere in Europe, particularly Central Europe... and you see these large apartment block buildings.

They're pretty much non-existent in the US, except for some in large cities.

But ever seen one in Orange County, CA? Or in the DFW metroplex?

These are large buildings with hundreds of residential homes inside.

I Know... I know...

Someone is going to slide in here and say "Yeah they're called the Projects and people trash them because they have no Pride of Ownership"

That's the thing. You have to build them nice. Integrate them into shopping areas, hiking trailheads, mass transit (if possible) and build them GREEN with modern efficiencies. MAKE THEM NICE.

And about crime? Undesirable criminal behavior? People abusing the property?

Make the buildings have a Residents Board. Have onsite security. Have the ability to kick people out for undesirable conduct.

KEEP them nice.

Think about it... If you build a couple big ass tract developments of SFH, you might have 150 homes with 500 residents.

You can have 500 people in one building.

It's much more efficient and you can build 2+2 1200sf homes for $150k-ish...

As long as people want their own little McMansion with the 1/4 acre lot and the construction companies make BIG profit off of those, we'll never see affordable housing.



California gas prices headed up again...

I saw $6/gal again tonight...

Pricey station, ritzy part of town but it's still mid-5's elsewhere too...

OPEC has to give a favor to the GOP I guess...

https://www.latimes.com/business/story/2022-09-21/gas-prices-are-rising-with-los-angeles-average-jumping-8-5-cents-overnight

Los Angeles County’s average gas price rose Wednesday to $5.545 for a gallon of self-service regular, up 8.5 cents from the day before, AAA data show, as refinery problems accelerated increases that began nearly three weeks ago.

Nationwide, a 99-day run of falling gasoline prices — a streak that gave consumers a glimmer of hope that red-hot inflation might be cooling — has ended, with pump prices still much higher than a year ago.

Police: Driver admitted to intentionally killing teen at North Dakota street after political dispute

Keep a cool head, everyone... this doesn't help.



Prosecutors allege moments before he was killed, 18-year-old Cayler Ellingson called his mom to come rescue him because 41-year-old Shannon Brandt was chasing him in the city of McHenry, where the street dance had just wrapped up.

By the time she could get there, her son was dead.

Court papers show Brandt called 911 around 2:30 a.m. Sunday and told the 911 dispatcher that he just hit Ellingson, claiming the teen was part of a Republican extremist group and was calling people to come get Brandt after a political argument.



https://www.grandforksherald.com/news/north-dakota/police-driver-admitted-to-intentionally-killing-teen-at-north-dakota-street-dance-after-political-dispute


The monthly payment for a 500k mortgage today is... 3300/mo

The monthly payment for a 800k mortgage earlier this year was 3300/mo

Just wait until the FED raises the rate AGAIN later this year.





The Fed will tell you THIS is how inflation is defeated.

Defeated... in the same way that cancer is defeated when one burns to death in a house fire.

Jerome Powell must want Trump back in the White House really really bad...

The latest from Georgia... polls.

Walker vs Warnock

4 polls in September

Walker+2
Warnock+2
Warnock+6
Walker+3


Kemp vs Abrams

Kemp+11,+8,+2,+8



Just curious... does the strength of Kemp help Walker? So far polling shows SOME Kemp supporters possibly voting for Warnock??

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2022/governor/ga/georgia_governor_kemp_vs_abrams-7538.html
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