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In reply to the discussion: 538: Trump's Approval is Going Nowhere [View all]customerserviceguy
(25,183 posts)It doesn't matter what someone willing to hang on to the phone for a poll tells someone, it matters what decision they make in the voting booth. I don't remember Trump's approval or popularity being strong at any time before the election, and we see how that went.
I suspect there are a number of reasons for the disconnect between the polling and the election. First, I don't think pollsters do a good job figuring out the rural vote. Maybe they happen to hit someone living in the heart of a small town, who needs to be close to shopping, doctors, etc, because they can't operate or afford to operate a motor vehicle. Such people would tend to be more progressive, but they don't represent the people around them.
Second, I think that a lot of Trump voters are not necessarily happy with the stupid things he says and does, but when faced with the choice at the ballot, they decide he's the lesser of two evils.
Third, I think some Trumpsters out there just lie their asses off rather than provoke some sort of reaction from someone calling them for a poll.