Prediction: The polls are significantly overestimating Trump

[WSHazel]

38. Likely Voter Screens

I agree that I think the polls are over-sampling old white men because that is who turned out in 2016. The "likely voter" screen in most polls is heavily dependent on past voting, so new voters and those that stayed home in 2016 will often be left out of "likely voter" polls.

I expect a lot of new voters and returns of voters that sat 2016 out. Even if that is only 1 or 2 million people, it would turn a relatively close election into a landslide.