General Discussion

Jerry2144

(2,080 posts)

2. Define suspicious birthdays

Thu Jan 14, 2021, 06:31 PM

Jan 2021

The Term suspicious birthdays is meaningless. What is so suspicious about it? Everybody has a birthday. It’s an incomplete thought. Percentiles make sense when you’re talking about height, weight, side of a physical characteristic, income. But percentile is meaningless. People with birthdays on January 1 are in the 0.3 percentile while people with birthdays on December 31 are in the 99.7 percentile

Edit history

Please sign in to view edit histories.

66 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

I need some debunking help, arguing against math-based claims of voter fraud in PA [View all] Bucky Jan 2021 OP

Brings to mind an aphorism from the office...there's liars, damn liars and statisticians. lol n/t CincyDem Jan 2021 #1

This message was self-deleted by its author Chin music Jan 2021 #3

Define suspicious birthdays Jerry2144 Jan 2021 #2

It's in the article. They're reporting an unlikely occurrence of DOBs on the 5th, 10th, 15th, & 20th Bucky Jan 2021 #8

It is still meaningless Jerry2144 Jan 2021 #37

Do they offer the years along with the days? angstlessk Jan 2021 #39

I only skimmed that article Hav Jan 2021 #56

If people do not provide a birthday they will choose Jan 1,1900 Bev54 Jan 2021 #34

birthdays? for real? stillcool Jan 2021 #4

Is the data even correct? LeftInTX Jan 2021 #5

Who the hell knows? I don't know how to go about looking up the answer Bucky Jan 2021 #13

I don't know of any Snopes or anything..the amount of data here is too much for an amateur LeftInTX Jan 2021 #28

Well the birthday stuff is cherry picked horseshit ismnotwasm Jan 2021 #6

I imagine so. But do you have a math-based argument to support that claim? Bucky Jan 2021 #15

If you're fighting fire with fire, try The Birthday Paradox: Denzil_DC Jan 2021 #55

Do you mean meth-based claims? mobeau69 Jan 2021 #7

LOL! Bucky Jan 2021 #25

Note lack of links to studies Bobstandard Jan 2021 #59

They were using a default date when the birth date exboyfil Jan 2021 #9

I thought of that, but the "default date" computerized registrations use are always the 1st... Bucky Jan 2021 #17

I have no idea what a suspicious birthday is JonLP24 Jan 2021 #10

The full article does. It's the high frequency of DOBs landing on the 5th, 10th, 15th, 20th, etc Bucky Jan 2021 #18

Everything they use to "expose" fraud ends up being 100% horseshit. Don't even play the game. kysrsoze Jan 2021 #11

I'm dealing with someone being suckered into their worldview, not the bullshitters themselves Bucky Jan 2021 #21

i was given an assignment in a statistics class KayF Jan 2021 #12

Yes, "what the judge said when he took it to court" is exactly what I need. Bucky Jan 2021 #30

There is no fact on the face of the Earth frazzled Jan 2021 #14

I'm not taking the lazy way out. Sorry Bucky Jan 2021 #31

Knock yourself out frazzled Jan 2021 #33

Here's compiled links debunking voter fraud, inc Pennsylvania blm Jan 2021 #16

Wait, are you saying voter fraud in PA hasn't been debunked? Bucky Jan 2021 #35

Links Debunking fraud INCLUDING Pennsylvania. blm Jan 2021 #51

Two things come to mind. Pobeka Jan 2021 #19

Thanks. Bucky Jan 2021 #38

The wording isn't even clear! Buckeye_Democrat Jan 2021 #20

Yeah, bad mathematicians tend to write like that. Bucky Jan 2021 #40

I majored in math (and physics), so I've seen... Buckeye_Democrat Jan 2021 #46

Don't try to challenge the data: you won't win brooklynite Jan 2021 #22

Good argument TheRealNorth Jan 2021 #29

Good stuff. nt Quixote1818 Jan 2021 #32

This is good, but I'm good at doing those types of meta arguments. They're not persuasive. Bucky Jan 2021 #41

You could tell this person to download the datasets and look themselves LeftInTX Jan 2021 #49

This... LeftInTX Jan 2021 #43

If you must argue with a nut job then SharonClark Jan 2021 #44

Here you go Binkie The Clown Jan 2021 #23

THIS was what I was looking for! Thanks! Bucky Jan 2021 #45

I'm a math nerd, so I'm subscribed to his channel. :) nt Binkie The Clown Jan 2021 #47

Don't waste your time arguing with idiots and bad faith fascists greenjar_01 Jan 2021 #24

I'm arguing with someone being pulled by mathy talk from the gullible middle Bucky Jan 2021 #48

Would really need to see more on the methodology.... TheRealNorth Jan 2021 #26

I started reading that analysis about anomalies regarding vote updates Hav Jan 2021 #27

Yeah, that was my takeaway too. Bucky Jan 2021 #54

german nazis had all kinds of data and statistics to prove their claims nt msongs Jan 2021 #36

And science! OilemFirchen Jan 2021 #61

You are most likely wasting your time. These people get angry when presented with Irish_Dem Jan 2021 #42

The courts repeatedly said there is no evidence of fraud SoonerPride Jan 2021 #50

Tell him he should report what he knows. gibraltar72 Jan 2021 #52

You can't argue people out of their religious beliefs. Mariana Jan 2021 #53

The Second One Is Statistical Nonsense ProfessorGAC Jan 2021 #57

Who are the experts? What is their expertise with voter data? LiberalFighter Jan 2021 #58

They didn't factor in the MPVFB*. OilemFirchen Jan 2021 #60

Yesterday nine of my FB friends had birthdays. Today only one. onenote Jan 2021 #62

This looks like complete and utter bullshit and quackery BumRushDaShow Jan 2021 #63

Faulty "Assumptions" is their main problem. mackdaddy Jan 2021 #64

If this is just facebook debating, I suggest you turn it off. rgbecker Jan 2021 #65

This leaves out three salient points... jmowreader Jan 2021 #66