General Discussion
In reply to the discussion: This woman is ON FIRE!!! She knows her numbers!! [View all]GopherGal
(2,008 posts)330 million people; 41 million COVID cases =1/8 chance of catching COVID
41 million cases; 670000 deaths = 1/61 of people WHO CATCH COVID die of it.
670000 out of 330 million people ~ 1/493 people in the US die of COVID.
For the vaccinated:
173 million vaccinated; 12908 breakthrough cases = 1/13402 chance of getting COVID if fully vaccinated. (But looking more closely at the CDC page, it appears this is not "cases" but cases requiring hospitalization and/or deaths)
2432 COVID deaths among the vaccinated (I'd use this number rather than round down since this is worst case) = 1/71135 chance of death from COVID if you're fully vaccinated.
Or REALLY worst case: 7400 deaths (for any reason) after being vaccinated = 1/23378 chance of dying if vaccinated.
Cause of death unknown, so those could be due to COVID, could be caused by the vaccine (if you're an outrageously paranoid anti-vaxer), could be due to old age (an important consideration, since the early-vaccinated population was skewed toward older age groups. though honestly I expect such deaths are probably not 100% reported in the VAERS system).
So if vaccinated, your death risk may range somewhere from 1/23378 to 1/71135. Regardless of where exactly it falls in that range, it's still far superior to the 1/493 chance of dying of COVID among the unvaccinated.