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crud

(1,019 posts)

9. I think this has changed the race in ways that are totally unpredictable

Reply to TwilightZone (Reply #5)

Mon Jul 22, 2024, 02:17 PM

Jul 2024

but personally, I'm a lot more hopeful today.

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obamanut2012

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saw Kornaki on MSNBC showing Harris had same polling as Biden [View all] leftgirl Jul 2024 OP

And? obamanut2012 Jul 2024 #1

It's still early and polling before she became the presumptive candidate is tough. WarGamer Jul 2024 #3

Yup, that was my point with the OP obamanut2012 Jul 2024 #12

I still think it's a 50/50 election... WarGamer Jul 2024 #14

And it means nothing, except MAYBE that it will be CLOSE election. People really need to stop handwringing over polls. Deek1935 Jul 2024 #20

Polling is all we've got and in this past it HAS been useful to judge trends and in the aggregate form... WarGamer Jul 2024 #21

It's primarily what drove Biden out Arazi Jul 2024 #24

I don't know why they're pulling Kornacki out so soon. She hasn't done any campaigning as nominee yet ecstatic Jul 2024 #2

So Kornacki's numbers are actually good news Bucky Jul 2024 #39

Karnacki is a hack getagrip_already Jul 2024 #4

Kornacki is good at his job. Bucky Jul 2024 #37

No, karnacki has always been a hack, but he is a hack that is good at his job getagrip_already Jul 2024 #41

I hear you, but I've done statistical analysis for a living Bucky Jul 2024 #46

Ive done it as well.... getagrip_already Jul 2024 #48

Actually Kornacki said it would take a few. weeks to see the impact. There JohnSJ Jul 2024 #49

And he's dead right about that. Bucky Jul 2024 #50

Agree...he's just repeating what his RW bosses tell him. Skew the #s any way you want, as long as they favor tsf! PortTack Jul 2024 #52

Anything that happened before Biden's announcement is mostly irrelevant now. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #5

I think this has changed the race in ways that are totally unpredictable crud Jul 2024 #9

Agree on both counts. TwilightZone Jul 2024 #13

That was then Mz Pip Jul 2024 #6

That's total BS. Sogo Jul 2024 #7

Horse race BS RANDYWILDMAN Jul 2024 #8

I think I saw the same thing. BigDemVoter Jul 2024 #10

Unsurprising. maxsolomon Jul 2024 #11

She's been running for President for one day. GoodRaisin Jul 2024 #15

Yes, but TRENDS please!! Zambero Jul 2024 #33

Should we give up? Kingofalldems Jul 2024 #16

A Hypothetical candidate polling is not valid. She is now a candidate. At a JohnSJ Jul 2024 #17

Hopefully. Candidates often are more moonscape Jul 2024 #23

When the media has absolutely nothing to go by Zambero Jul 2024 #34

Tankhaki stays on-script. Kid Berwyn Jul 2024 #18

Said it when Joe was running, am saying it again. Polls mean nothing, and it will be CLOSE no matter what. Deek1935 Jul 2024 #19

It takes at least a week for polls to react to singular events...nt Wounded Bear Jul 2024 #22

It was all hypothetical so while Biden was the nominee people aren't really going to answer and different when Takket Jul 2024 #25

The energy coming out of our Dem Convention oasis Jul 2024 #26

A Big Blue Wave is coming! FSogol Jul 2024 #30

Only the battleground polls matter - the electoral votes. kerry-is-my-prez Jul 2024 #27

Those polls are old angrychair Jul 2024 #28

wait until AFTER the Democratic convention lapfog_1 Jul 2024 #29

Way too early Sympthsical Jul 2024 #31

That was what I saw Johonny Jul 2024 #32

Actually, not that it matters newdayneeded Jul 2024 #35

Even Kornacki admitted... lees1975 Jul 2024 #36

It's a little early to expect the Harris candidacy to impact polling... brooklynite Jul 2024 #38

And now the media begins its laser focus Bettie Jul 2024 #40

It's going to be close, so ... M_Demo_M Jul 2024 #42

If she's starting tied, then with all the ads, she'll climb above lindysalsagal Jul 2024 #43

Captain Khaki Pants can fuck right off. GaYellowDawg Jul 2024 #44

Karnacki is an entertainer, not a serious analyst getagrip_already Jul 2024 #45

The swing states will soon love Kamala! ViewObsessed Jul 2024 #47

Kornacki is a plague bucolic_frolic Jul 2024 #51

I'm predicting a poll bounce in next week or two that will put her 5-10% ahead of Trump. Doodley Jul 2024 #53

Yes. I poked my head out a few times to look at the polls CentralMass Jul 2024 #54

Screw Kornacki, closet rethug that he is. There can't be any poll reflecting... brush Jul 2024 #55