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In reply to the discussion: Stop it, stop saying Social Security needs reform, you are a Democrat, right? [View all]dkf
(37,305 posts)160. He did it by creating a real estate bubble that almost caused a systemic collapse.
That is why I don't think we will see sub 5% UE in the future. Moreover look at where technology is taking us...robots and 3d printing will be significant. So we see manufacturing is growing in the US but jobs in manufacturing are not.
Rogoff and Reinhart's research show that historically when debt to GDP goes over 90% and above there is a 1% drag on GDP that lasts on average 26 years.
Then you have financial repression:
Deeply indebted developed world sovereigns face fiscal challenges that suggest a new era of global financial repression is at hand. Investors need to prepare by relying less on historical relationships, and instead consider how repressionary policies are likely to reshape risk and return across developed markets in the years ahead and create new and different challenges in developing nations.
Financial repression is growing in prevalence throughout the world. Both developed and emerging economies use its tactics: developed sovereigns that struggle with explosive increases in their outstanding debt, and emerging market countries that face increasingly scarce external demand. Investors need to be especially alert to increasing financial repression, because it transfers value from savers, investors and creditors to government debtors. We are likely on the cusp of a new era of global financial repression, with important and far-reaching investment ramifications.
Financial repression is growing in prevalence throughout the world. Both developed and emerging economies use its tactics: developed sovereigns that struggle with explosive increases in their outstanding debt, and emerging market countries that face increasingly scarce external demand. Investors need to be especially alert to increasing financial repression, because it transfers value from savers, investors and creditors to government debtors. We are likely on the cusp of a new era of global financial repression, with important and far-reaching investment ramifications.
The most common motive for financial repression is to improve a countrys ability to finance government debt without resorting to painful fiscal adjustment. By artificially lowering the cost of debt financing below what would be demanded by free market forces, governments are able to reduce borrowing costs and slow down debt accumulation rates. One can think of financial repression as a form of stealthy default: a gentlemanly way for modern countries with fiat currencies to stiff their creditors while still ostensibly paying interest and principal in full.
Costs and Risks of Financial Repression
Beyond the pain of low real returns imposed on savers and investors, there are other costs and risks associated with financial repression. It can inhibit growth over the medium to longer term because it tends to promote very inefficient capital allocation and to crowd out more productive investment. In addition, repression can potentially lead the economy toward significant (unintended) market distortions: asset booms/busts, uncontrollable bouts of inflation, sudden stops in economic activity from loss of confidence, or capital flight.
http://www.pimco.com/EN/Insights/Pages/A-New-Era-of-Global-Financial-Repression.aspx
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Stop it, stop saying Social Security needs reform, you are a Democrat, right? [View all]
FogerRox
Mar 2013
OP
Alas, I am not on Twitter. But there are other ways to contact the people involved.
CaliforniaPeggy
Mar 2013
#10
We want to blow up twitter and Facebook with these graphics and #HandsOffSocialSecurity #noSScuts SS
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#12
Raising the income cap is a no-brainer. It's so frustrating that we can't even get this simple
Flatulo
Mar 2013
#67
The SS Trust Fund is not part of the General fund. It never was Since it was set up Jan 1 1940
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#34
No. From the beginning of Social Security, any excess SS taxes were borrowed by the federal
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#85
I think that's why he did it too. And not him, really -- Greenspan and his allies. And also to
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#89
that's always been my feeling about the reagan-era changes. there was no reason to jack
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#106
I've posted it here before, without much interest, but I'll look for the post and try again.
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#138
i kicked it again and it didn't show up either. weird. i have another op that the same thing
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#194
it's you who's misunderstanding. nothing changed under johnson in the disposition of SS funds.
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#84
"how to win an election then abandon the reasons you won - coming soon to amazon nt
msongs
Mar 2013
#5
no. that's not a problem. it's being sold to you as a problem, but it's not.
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#92
Currently Ave male 18k, average female 13k, max benefit 30k, I know the numbers by heart
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#64
The people who created the program knew what they were doing. Lifting the cap means
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#93
1937? The Trust Fund was started in 1940. 2037 is total bullshit, an unrealistic prediction
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#27
It's best to study the SS Trustees' reports for oneself, instead of relying on what politicians say.
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#96
Actually, it wasn't until around 1985 that the tax was raised to create a cushion
JDPriestly
Mar 2013
#177
Did you make up the 1937 date? Original Law 1935, SS ammedments wet into effect in Jan 1, 1940
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#49
Since there's $3 trillion owed to SS, why do you want to raise the cap and collect even*more* money
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#94
Raise income taxes on capital and let them PAY BACK THE MONEY THEY BORROWED FIRST.
reteachinwi
Mar 2013
#139
create jobs and raise min wage SS is good thru 2090 according to the Trustees 2012 low cost scenario
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#36
A few years ago it was 10 years. I got a flyer in the mail from the Soc Sec Admin.
Honeycombe8
Mar 2013
#188
The ratio of FICA that goes into the 2 funds, (OAS & DI) has been changed in the past.
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#77
The SS Trustees, in their middle forecast, say it will go into the red in 21 years. That's the
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#99
It makes sense that current forecasts would be depressed because of the recession.
Honeycombe8
Mar 2013
#190
yes indeed. one reason why the numbers should be taken with a big grain of salt. as should
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#100
Because in fact, the low-cost forecast has been the most accurate over time. And because
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#101
I think anyone who claims to be able to guess what long-term unemployment will be from 2030 to
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#134
He did it by creating a real estate bubble that almost caused a systemic collapse.
dkf
Mar 2013
#160
" The intermediate assumptions reflect the Trustees' best estimate for the future behavior "
dkf
Mar 2013
#51
The pessimistic projections are used by people like you to advocate for SS abolition
duffyduff
Mar 2013
#88
The same is true of investments in the stock market and for the same reason.
JDPriestly
Mar 2013
#63
"We have to raise the minimum wage and the cap on income subject to Social Security taxes."
ProSense
Mar 2013
#105
I'm actually not surprised at your attempt to blur the distinction between LABOR INCOME &
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#109
The cap on income is raised every year. There's a good reason for having a cap, it's the
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#108
this year's cap is $113.7 K. Only wage income has SS taxes taken out, not capital income.
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#117
I believe the people who set up SS were wiser than you. The cap exists for a reason, and that
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#122
yes, raising the cap to keep it around 90% is fine by me. I read different accounts in the media
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#128
link? it's a bit unbelievable to me that $215K = 90% of covered income when $250K = top 2%.
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#176
The question is, *why* did my hypothetical high earner receive an income tax cut, while
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#123
I don't think we're following each other. At least, i have no idea what you're talking about.
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#129
I agree that the Social Security tax should be imposed on all income including
JDPriestly
Mar 2013
#198
I would impose the Social Security tax on all income regardless of the source.
JDPriestly
Mar 2013
#197
IT'll be better after creating 20 million jobs, I think Sir, you bypassed that little tid bit.
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#74
When did anyone other than you, and then as a strawman, say "everything is better the way it is"?
AnotherMcIntosh
Mar 2013
#90
If people are not working, they sure as hell are not paying in, and Richie Rich knows that. Why do
lonestarnot
Mar 2013
#68
Amen HiPointDem, good to see you in the House. SKinner said yes to my request for
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#81
I'm not on facebook or twitter but if you want me to do something here i'll be happy to.
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#111
Bill Gates doesn't pay social security taxes. david rockefeller doesn't pay social security taxes.
HiPointDem
Mar 2013
#119
I want to know what we are prepared to about it when they come out with their "compromise"?
Egalitarian Thug
Mar 2013
#110
JFK said "Ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country"
graham4anything
Mar 2013
#133
If you don't like Iraq, blame Ralph Nader and Ron and Rand Paul.They got the Bush's elected
graham4anything
Mar 2013
#202
2 ways, you can click the facebook logo that says like, found at the bottom of the OP
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#143
Rasie the cap? Hom much- just enough for a COLA, Ok sure. Increasing benefits
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#152
Eliminate the cap completely. There is no logical or moral justification for it.
Romulox
Mar 2013
#156
:~) well okay, Social Security isnt about progressive taxation, its wage insurance.
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#161
Nonsense. If Social Security is "welfare", then the entire government is "welfare".
Romulox
Mar 2013
#165
Onnce more. IF we remove the cap, and then cap benefits, we are means testing SS, yes or no?
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#167
Of course. It's your framing of "welfare" I reject, not the mathematics of the thing.
Romulox
Mar 2013
#172
I appreciate you making shit up, its indicative of your character. Pleasant dreams.
FogerRox
Mar 2013
#169