2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: It breaks my heart as a statistical analyst to do this, but the polling. The polling done be [View all]JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)Turnouts are small and local motivation on the day of the vote is everything. Silver's too far up the bunghole of his own successes to admit this even to himself, it seems. When you data-driven guys have everyone wired via brain chip - I'm sure some of you are looking forward to that - you might manage this feat.
Meanwhile every other post on this site is oooooh, 98 point lead for Hillary in State X! Stop the fight! We see what the effects of this voter suppression strategy have been: higher turnouts for the Republicans, who are eating up all the coverage with their shitshow. (It probably won't work out for them in the end, for obvious reasons, dick size, etc. We will learn if there is a bottom to underestimating the intelligence of the American public...)