2016 Postmortem
In reply to the discussion: Just look at one county in PA and its just mind blowing and shocking... the results are very shady [View all]MyNameIsKhan
(2,205 posts)The voter registration data does show:
1. Many D voters were always voting R, they changed preference to vote in primary, PA, I guess is a closed state. This does show excitement for Trump.
2. The population is stable in this county, this means not major movement has happened and natural decline due to aging.
3. Whatever shifts have happened, Census does show rise in AA, Asian, Hispanic population and whites declining, yes this does not show how will actually vote but provides one more point to consider.
The only way Trump can win here by 20 points by pulling D votes... The history shows they have been very consistent...
I will try to compile database of MI, PA to see what exactly happened... WI is different story, we lost due to low turnout...